Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $223.9600 (3%) ($223.9600 - $224.2200) on Thu. Sep. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $223.9600(3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(72%)    ONLN(71%)    IPO(66%)    IWO(66%)    IWF(63%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-11%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $217(3.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $216.73(3.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $212.09(5.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $198.523b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 2.28%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(45%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 4.54%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -3.25%(39%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 6.49%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.26%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2021	188.01	212.09	216.73	217	216.68	220.01	223.96(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	98	100	112	55	1.74	65%	0.07	73.5	2.82%	1.9	1.4	61	1.3
2	Sep_15_2021	187.88	210.48	216.01	215.53	214.9	215.03	217.44(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-0	30	28	1.59	63%	0.05	62.7	2.81%	1.5	0.8	67	1.3
3	Sep_14_2021	187.78	209.37	215.88	214.98	215.05	213.35	214.08(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-16	-50	-27	16	1.26	63%	0.05	61.9	2.83%	-0.4	0.5	66	0.7
4	Sep_13_2021	187.68	208.26	216.26	215.49	215.13	214.76	212.62(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-31	-20	-51	29	1.54	63%	-0.02	63.2	2.84%	-0.8	0.4	69	0.9
5	Sep_10_2021	187.71	207.28	216.14	217.03	216.13	216.76	216.9(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	31	10	16	77	1.29	63%	0.04	71.5	2.83%	0.3	0.9	69	0.4

6	Sep_9_2021	187.64	206.1	215.74	216.34	216.98	215.49	216.61(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-40	8	91	1.2	63%	0.04	74.2	2.83%	1.2	1	74	1
7	Sep_8_2021	187.57	204.97	214.44	216.56	216.17	215.5	214.7(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-27	-30	-62	77	1.64	63%	0.05	72.7	2.84%	-0.9	0.9	74	1.2
8	Sep_7_2021	187.48	203.68	213.22	216.9	217.01	218.47	216.62(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	50	29	125	1.82	63%	-0.16	71.9	2.84%	0.1	1.2	70	1.1
9	Sep_3_2021	187.78	202.01	211.32	217.13	216.95	216.84	220.32(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	-10	36	141	1.74	58%	0.01	63.9	2.82%	1.2	1.5	76	1.6
10	Sep_2_2021	187.77	199.92	209.21	215.14	216.31	215.56	213.43(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10	-18	115	1.59	60%	-0.02	59.3	2.89%	-1.1	1.1	71	1.6

11	Sep_1_2021	187.81	198.38	207.2	215	215.57	217.06	217.75(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	60	22	129	1.89	60%	-0.04	55.1	2.99%	0.4	1.7	74	1.7
12	Aug_31_2021	187.88	197.46	204.54	211.93	214.31	217.07	216.37(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	107	120	95	141	1.55	60%	-0.01	51	2.99%	0.6	1.8	71	1.5
13	Aug_30_2021	187.9	196.08	202.3	208.9	210.81	214.08	217.76(3.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	106	140	97	132	1.65	60%	-0.01	42.4	3.01%	1.4	2.2	77	1.5
14	Aug_27_2021	187.91	194.54	199.49	204.66	206.68	211.55	210.4(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	112	190	109	122	1.83	58%	-0.03	24.8	2.99%	0.4	1.8	77	1.4
15	Aug_26_2021	187.96	193.14	197.58	202.41	203.22	207.55	212.71(5.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	143	160	144	139	3.86	58%	0.04	4.6	2.99%	1.3	2.5	82	0.9

16	Aug_25_2021	187.89	192.3	195.48	198.33	199.84	201.82	202.39(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	89	90	84	104	1.03	55%	-0.02	-13	2.93%	1.6	1.5	71	1.6
17	Aug_24_2021	187.92	192.22	194.57	196.03	197.31	198.89	201.24(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	80	48	69	1.39	55%	0.02	-18.1	2.94%	2.3	1.3	48	1.5
18	Aug_23_2021	187.88	192.04	193.26	194.69	194.73	197.87	196.54(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	110	46	60	1.97	55%	0.04	-19.8	2.93%	0.4	0.6	55	1.5
19	Aug_20_2021	187.8	192.42	191.95	193.48	194.25	195.74	199.18(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	70	97	68	2.12	55%	-0.05	-13.4	2.95%	1.6	0.9	57	1.1
20	Aug_19_2021	187.89	192.78	189.91	192.03	192.07	191.6	192.28(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-12	-20	-19	8	2.22	52%	-0.06	-5	2.97%	-0.2	-0.1	58	-0.2

21	Aug_18_2021	188	193.22	188.96	192.2	191.98	192.76	190.92(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	30	-2	0	1.71	52%	-0.04	6.5	2.98%	-0	-0.3	46	0.5
22	Aug_17_2021	188.08	193.46	189.92	192.84	192.3	192.54	194.55(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	0	28	15	2.12	52%	-0.01	16.1	2.97%	2.6	0.1	45	1.1
23	Aug_16_2021	188.1	193.47	189.44	191.6	192.18	191.2	190.48(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-30	-4	-14	1.49	52%	-0.05	15.6	2.96%	-0.2	-0.4	46	1.5
24	Aug_13_2021	188.2	193.49	189.26	190.07	191.66	192.06	191.91(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	40	14	-32	1.23	52%	-0.03	8	2.99%	-0.5	-0.2	43	1.6
25	Aug_12_2021	188.25	193.18	188.41	187.34	189.38	193.17	193.16(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	45	170	75	-47	1.5	46%		-6.8	2.99%	1.2	-0	42	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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