Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 19, 2021

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $227.0500 (2.63%) ($227.0500 - $227.0500) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $227.0500(2.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(71%)    ONLN(70%)    IPO(66%)    IWO(62%)    IWF(61%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    VXX(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-10%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $226.61(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $227.54(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $217.8(4.25%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   68.8%
Market Cap   $201.262b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 5.45% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.26%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.3%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 5.02%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.49%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 5.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2021	170.38	217.8	227.54	226.61	224.74	224.14	227.05(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-40	17	70	1.56	80%	0.58	31.2	3.52%	1.4	0.8	75	1.5
2	Feb_18_2021	169.39	217.05	226.93	226.34	226.5	221.94	221.23(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-32	-140	-59	51	1.33	80%	0.62	33.6	3.57%	-0.4	0.4	69	1.3
3	Feb_17_2021	168.35	216.74	226.06	227.25	227.61	225.33	222.64(-2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-57	-70	-94	55	2.15	80%	0.62	40.5	3.58%	-1	0.5	75	1.4
4	Feb_16_2021	167.32	216.6	225.03	228.71	228.81	231.07	228.02(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	70	11	112	1.87	80%	0.95	60.4	3.56%	-0.2	1	67	1.2
5	Feb_12_2021	165.74	215.42	222.83	229.37	229.29	229.9	234.12(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	20	55	135	1.63	80%	0.76	75.3	3.51%	1.8	1.6	66	1.5

6	Feb_11_2021	164.49	214.17	219.47	228.74	228.58	226.56	225.67(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-60	-33	90	1.36	82%	0.7	98.8	3.53%	-0.9	1.1	58	1.3
7	Feb_10_2021	163.35	213.19	217.23	227.64	229.24	228.69	225.82(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	0	-4	88	1.31	82%	0.67	118	3.68%	-1	1.2	58	1
8	Feb_9_2021	162.26	212.11	214.18	224.52	227.42	230.61	229.93(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	140	61	86	1.14	68%	0.73	128.3	3.68%	-0.6	1.8	58	1.1
9	Feb_8_2021	161.08	209.81	211.48	220.6	222.49	229.79	231.29(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	102	260	112	73	2.23	68%	0.77	112.7	4.33%	0.7	1.9	54	1.1
10	Feb_5_2021	159.85	207.07	208.98	215.23	217.26	224.23	230.98(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	138	250	159	75	3.71	70%	0.79	89.1	4.33%	1.2	2	64	1.1

11	Feb_4_2021	158.59	204.11	206.92	208.98	211.3	215.2	220.18(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	83	160	100	30	2.87	70%	0.72	64.1	4.34%	1.6	1.2	55	1.1
12	Feb_3_2021	157.45	201.56	205.94	205.45	206.19	210.29	210.22(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	150	54	1	1.56	68%	0.66	47.5	4.34%	0.5	0.6	53	0.7
13	Feb_2_2021	156.42	199.88	206.33	202.23	204.26	207.41	210.35(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	140	92	11	1.7	69%	0.65	38.4	4.35%	1.3	0.7	54	-0.1
14	Feb_1_2021	155.41	198.05	207.21	200.97	200.21	202.1	204.43(2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	50	10	-5	1.61	69%	0.62	29.4	4.36%	0.9	0.4	65	-1.3
15	Jan_29_2021	154.45	196.78	207.3	201.81	200.1	201.12	199.73(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	10	10	15	1.92	62%	0.6	27.2	4.5%	-0.3	0.2	67	-2.7

16	Jan_28_2021	153.53	195.99	208.47	204.58	202.33	198.33	202.51(4.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-15	-170	-31	33	0	60%	0.61	27.5	4.55%	0.3	0.4	71	-2.2
17	Jan_27_2021	152.6	194.76	208.99	206.59	205.19	199.08	194.15(-4.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-81	-230	-118	32	3.37	61%	0.57	27.6	4.57%	-1.7	-0	70	-3
18	Jan_26_2021	151.74	194.04	210.29	210.87	209.78	206.33	204.01(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-40	-130	-81	85	7.59	63%	0.36	30.9	4.54%	-1.8	0.6	69	0.3
19	Jan_25_2021	151.2	193.31	208.53	214.27	212.67	211.3	208.64(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-70	-40	129	2.04	63%	0.67	37.1	4.53%	-1.3	0.8	73	0.8
20	Jan_22_2021	150.19	192.3	205.54	213.48	215.76	213.24	213.57(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	41	-50	5	148	1.7	63%	0.68	38.1	4.51%	-0.9	1.2	70	1.5

21	Jan_21_2021	149.18	191.33	201.48	212.92	213.9	214.04	212.56(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	20	-42	124	2.59	59%	0.62	44.5	4.51%	-1.3	1.2	65	1.8
22	Jan_20_2021	148.26	190.04	197.14	211.76	213.46	218.28	215.57(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	90	180	67	159	3.07	59%	0.64	50.9	4.65%	0.6	1.5	69	1.7
23	Jan_19_2021	147.32	188.64	193.06	209.63	211.27	213.76	220.99(7.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	114	110	97	165	3.83	59%	0.91	57.6	4.65%	1.3	2.1	71	1.3
24	Jan_15_2021	145.99	186.81	188.02	202.02	207.25	208.64	204.7(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	120	51	108	3.05	57%	0.59	60.3	4.53%	-1.1	1.4	56	0.7
25	Jan_14_2021	145.14	185.61	185.21	196.19	201.36	208.78	210.76(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	108	340	110	100	4.78	57%		59.4	4.51%	0.5	2.1	59	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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