Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 23, 2018

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $19.9400 (-0.45%) ($19.9100 - $20.2500) on Tue. Jan. 23, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $19.9400(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(68%)    SKYY(57%)    ARKK(56%)    IWF(56%)    IWO(56%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-6%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    VXX(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.55(-27.03%)
Resistance Level   $20.32
5 Day Moving Average   $19.8(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.95(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.32(-1.87%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   26.7%
Market Cap   $17.675b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.94%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.66%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.86%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 7.12%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.58%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2018	17.92	20.32	19.95	19.8	19.82	19.96	19.94(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	50	13	-39	0.77	59%	0.11	-45.6	2.01%	0	-0.7	40	0.1
2	Jan_22_2018	17.9	20.4	19.98	19.68	19.71	19.76	20.03(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	20	8	-52	1.03	59%	0.22	-38.7	2.07%	0	-0.6	46	0.9
3	Jan_19_2018	17.86	20.44	20	19.59	19.64	19.67	19.7(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	20	-7	-71	1.54	59%	0.22	-35.2	2.07%	0	-1.1	40	1
4	Jan_18_2018	17.82	20.48	20.06	19.76	19.6	19.66	19.6(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-0	-8	-67	1.05	59%	0.17	-25.4	2.07%	0	-1.3	38	0
5	Jan_17_2018	17.79	20.54	20.14	19.89	19.78	19.62	19.74(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-70	-12	-76	0.79	59%	0.23	-16	2.07%	0	-1.2	31	0

6	Jan_16_2018	17.75	20.58	20.25	20.12	19.98	19.54	19.35(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-180	-23	-74	1.44	59%	0.34	1.3	2.07%	0	-1.9	28	0
7	Jan_12_2018	17.69	20.63	20.37	20.32	20.22	19.94	19.54(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-110	-21	-76	3.06	59%	0.23	21.3	2.06%	0	-2	28	0
8	Jan_11_2018	17.65	20.67	20.48	20.46	20.42	20.41	20.56(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	2	-61	0.78	64%	0.28	44.6	1.95%	0	-0.2	50	0
9	Jan_10_2018	17.6	20.66	20.51	20.39	20.32	20.51	20.26(-3.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	60	1	-62	2.65	64%	0.28	59.1	1.95%	0	-0.8	52	0
10	Jan_9_2018	17.55	20.65	20.65	20.42	20.31	20.42	20.9(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	20	8	-46	2.52	67%	0.29	79.8	1.91%	0	0.5	52	0

11	Jan_8_2018	17.5	20.57	20.71	20.41	20.3	20.13	20.32(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-70	-5	-38	1.92	66%	0.29	97	1.89%	0	-0.5	50	0
12	Jan_5_2018	17.45	20.51	20.85	20.43	20.42	20.2	20.25(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-80	-13	-17	2.38	66%	0.29	107.7	1.9%	0	-0.4	54	0
13	Jan_4_2018	17.4	20.45	20.91	20.51	20.54	20.46	20.23(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-20	-13	-3	2	63%	0.29	113.5	1.9%	0	-0.3	53	0
14	Jan_3_2018	17.35	20.36	20.93	20.63	20.65	20.65	20.41(-2.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-9	0	-15	8	2.23	63%	0.29	112.3	1.93%	0	0.1	55	0
15	Jan_2_2018	17.3	20.25	20.97	20.9	20.82	20.63	20.83(1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-80	-13	43	1.9	65%	0.35	110.7	1.92%	0	0.6	62	0

16	Dec_29_2017	17.24	20.06	20.95	21.07	21.06	20.65	20.45(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-140	-27	70	1.29	65%	0.23	86.1	1.92%	0	0.3	65	0
17	Dec_28_2017	17.2	19.88	20.93	21.33	21.35	21.01	20.65(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-110	-16	118	1.51	65%	0.29	79	1.91%	0	0.5	71	0
18	Dec_27_2017	17.15	19.67	20.89	21.35	21.51	21.48	20.82(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	10	2	151	1.77	65%	0.29	70.6	1.91%	0	0.7	74	0
19	Dec_26_2017	17.1	19.49	20.84	21.25	21.34	21.69	21.75(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	130	19	191	2.65	70%	0.53	67.7	1.82%	0	1.3	89	0
20	Dec_22_2017	17.01	19.25	20.65	21.05	21.05	21.54	21.69(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	78	160	32	215	2.04	70%	0.47	66.4	1.82%	0	1.4	89	0

21	Dec_21_2017	16.93	19.02	20.42	20.81	20.81	20.99	21.76(5.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	85	60	33	239	2.98	70%	0.47	67.7	1.82%	0	1.7	93	0
22	Dec_20_2017	16.85	18.77	20.13	20.49	20.54	20.56	20.72(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	69	10	6	258	1.29	67%	0.36	67	1.73%	0	1.2	92	0
23	Dec_19_2017	16.79	18.57	19.94	20.38	20.44	20.64	20.31(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	80	80	6	302	1.87	65%	0.36	67.9	1.71%	0	1.1	92	0
24	Dec_18_2017	16.73	18.39	19.74	20.36	20.34	20.52	20.77(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	102	60	21	346	1.62	68%	0.36	68.8	1.68%	0	1.6	84	0
25	Dec_15_2017	16.67	18.17	19.46	20.19	20.18	20.23	20.5(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	104	20	19	357	3.11	64%		68	1.68%	0	1.6	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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