Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $20.2100 (1.4%) ($19.8200 - $20.2500) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $20.2100(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(68%)    IWO(56%)    SKYY(56%)    ARKK(55%)    IWF(55%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-6%)    TBT(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)    TLT(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.43(4.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.37(10.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.58(14.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.4%
Market Cap   $17.915b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 7% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 36 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(56%) Average negative next day return: -2.51%(44%) Sample size 36 Average positive next three day return: 2.56%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -4.22%(53%) Sample size 36 Average positive next weekly return: 6.24%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.8%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2017	16.5	17.58	18.37	19.43	19.45	19.85	20.21(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	103	150	44	280	2.44	62%	0.36	63.3	1.73%	0	2.1	80	0
2	Dec_11_2017	16.44	17.4	18.04	19.03	19.05	19.42	19.93(3.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	94	140	43	248	3.62	64%	0.31	60	1.73%	0	2.4	81	0
3	Dec_8_2017	16.39	17.22	17.73	18.62	18.65	19.05	19.32(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	93	150	50	221	3.25	62%	0.31	59.3	1.72%	0	2.3	80	0
4	Dec_7_2017	16.34	17.07	17.49	18.13	18.23	18.67	18.96(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	87	190	55	184	2.5	62%	0.25	51.7	1.71%	0	2.5	79	0
5	Dec_6_2017	16.3	16.94	17.27	17.63	17.68	18.25	18.74(3.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	75	230	55	135	2.71	62%	0.25	38.4	1.73%	0	2.9	77	0

6	Dec_5_2017	16.26	16.84	17.08	17.14	17.16	17.79	18.19(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	52	260	42	83	4.2	60%	0.25	24.9	1.7%	0	2.9	71	0
7	Dec_4_2017	16.22	16.78	16.91	16.9	16.84	17.12	17.91(6.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	38	110	33	52	5.03	60%	0.19	19.1	1.7%	0	3.2	67	0
8	Dec_1_2017	16.19	16.71	16.76	16.71	16.68	16.54	16.83(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-2	-60	-7	12	2.92	53%	0.06	3.5	1.51%	0	0.5	52	0
9	Nov_30_2017	16.18	16.69	16.72	16.77	16.78	16.56	16.46(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-11	-90	-19	14	2.15	50%	0.12	14.6	1.48%	0	-1	51	0
10	Nov_29_2017	16.16	16.7	16.73	16.85	16.95	16.82	16.32(-3.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-6	-40	-17	26	1.99	50%	0.06	41.7	1.48%	0	-1.6	48	0

11	Nov_28_2017	16.15	16.72	16.76	16.98	16.98	17.01	16.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	10	3	48	2.37	56%	0.12	81.1	1.41%	0	1.2	51	0
12	Nov_27_2017	16.13	16.71	16.73	16.91	16.96	17.09	16.98(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	60	15	32	2.23	56%	0.12	97.6	1.41%	0	1.3	44	0
13	Nov_24_2017	16.11	16.7	16.7	16.81	16.87	16.95	17.12(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	40	19	22	1.09	56%	0.25	98.3	1.42%	0	2.1	59	0
14	Nov_22_2017	16.07	16.65	16.63	16.67	16.73	16.83	16.87(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	50	10	-1	1.53	54%	0.06	62.8	1.41%	0	0.8	58	0
15	Nov_21_2017	16.06	16.6	16.6	16.59	16.66	16.78	16.93(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	60	13	-16	1.62	54%	0.12	36.3	1.41%	0	1	53	0

16	Nov_20_2017	16.04	16.55	16.58	16.59	16.66	16.63	16.65(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	30	3	-27	2.81	51%	0.12	22.3	1.41%	0	0.3	49	0
17	Nov_17_2017	16.02	16.51	16.62	16.52	16.59	16.54	16.47(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	-6	-21	2.2	51%	0.06	15.1	1.4%	0	-0.1	45	0
18	Nov_16_2017	16.01	16.5	16.64	16.57	16.59	16.55	16.42(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-20	-5	-17	6.43	51%	0.06	17.5	1.4%	0	-0.2	43	0
19	Nov_15_2017	16	16.5	16.65	16.59	16.63	16.64	16.47(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	10	-3	-9	2.06	51%	0.13	18.9	1.4%	0	-0.1	56	0
20	Nov_14_2017	15.98	16.49	16.68	16.6	16.59	16.71	16.59(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	50	-1	14	1.79	51%	0.06	19.7	1.46%	0	0.3	67	0

21	Nov_13_2017	15.97	16.47	16.69	16.65	16.56	16.63	16.65(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	10	-5	42	1	51%	0.13	21.5	1.46%	0	0.5	69	0
22	Nov_10_2017	15.95	16.45	16.69	16.75	16.67	16.46	16.72(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-100	0	79	1.04	51%	0.13	28.6	1.48%	0	0.8	69	0
23	Nov_9_2017	15.93	16.44	16.7	16.75	16.75	16.48	16.51(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-110	-15	81	1.95	51%	0.13	24.4	1.47%	0	0.2	53	0
24	Nov_8_2017	15.91	16.43	16.68	16.72	16.81	16.88	16.51(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	50	-8	86	2.04	51%	0.19	20.7	1.48%	0	0.2	56	0
25	Nov_7_2017	15.88	16.42	16.62	16.77	16.78	17.01	16.86(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	100	15	93	3.84	55%		21.6	1.46%	0	1.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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