Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $16.9300 (1.68%) ($16.5700 - $17.0600) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $16.9300(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(68%)    IWO(56%)    SKYY(56%)    ARKK(55%)    IWF(55%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-6%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    TLT(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.59(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.6(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.6(1.99%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $15.007b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(27%) Average negative next three day return: -2.03%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.26%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.04%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2017	16.06	16.6	16.6	16.59	16.66	16.78	16.93(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	60	13	-16	1.62	54%	0.12	36.3	1.41%	0	1	53	0
2	Nov_20_2017	16.04	16.55	16.58	16.59	16.66	16.63	16.65(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	30	3	-27	2.81	51%	0.12	22.3	1.41%	0	0.3	49	0
3	Nov_17_2017	16.02	16.51	16.62	16.52	16.59	16.54	16.47(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	-6	-21	2.2	51%	0.06	15.1	1.4%	0	-0.1	45	0
4	Nov_16_2017	16.01	16.5	16.64	16.57	16.59	16.55	16.42(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-20	-5	-17	6.43	51%	0.06	17.5	1.4%	0	-0.2	43	0
5	Nov_15_2017	16	16.5	16.65	16.59	16.63	16.64	16.47(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	10	-3	-9	2.06	51%	0.13	18.9	1.4%	0	-0.1	56	0

6	Nov_14_2017	15.98	16.49	16.68	16.6	16.59	16.71	16.59(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	50	-1	14	1.79	51%	0.06	19.7	1.46%	0	0.3	67	0
7	Nov_13_2017	15.97	16.47	16.69	16.65	16.56	16.63	16.65(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	10	-5	42	1	51%	0.13	21.5	1.46%	0	0.5	69	0
8	Nov_10_2017	15.95	16.45	16.69	16.75	16.67	16.46	16.72(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-100	0	79	1.04	51%	0.13	28.6	1.48%	0	0.8	69	0
9	Nov_9_2017	15.93	16.44	16.7	16.75	16.75	16.48	16.51(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-110	-15	81	1.95	51%	0.13	24.4	1.47%	0	0.2	53	0
10	Nov_8_2017	15.91	16.43	16.68	16.72	16.81	16.88	16.51(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	50	-8	86	2.04	51%	0.19	20.7	1.48%	0	0.2	56	0

11	Nov_7_2017	15.88	16.42	16.62	16.77	16.78	17.01	16.86(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	100	15	93	3.84	55%	0.19	21.6	1.46%	0	1.3	57	0
12	Nov_6_2017	15.85	16.39	16.52	16.73	16.67	16.73	17.15(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	10	13	79	3.44	59%	0.19	11.6	1.46%	0	2.2	64	0
13	Nov_3_2017	15.82	16.35	16.38	16.65	16.63	16.56	16.59(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-4	35	2.46	69%	0.19	-6	1.98%	0	0.8	54	0
14	Nov_2_2017	15.79	16.35	16.35	16.68	16.66	16.61	16.5(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-20	0	38	1.11	69%	0.19	-5.5	2.03%	0	0.5	49	0
15	Nov_1_2017	15.76	16.36	16.32	16.63	16.67	16.61	16.73(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	20	13	38	1.21	69%	0.19	-14.8	2.04%	0	1.2	59	0

16	Oct_31_2017	15.73	16.34	16.28	16.45	16.52	16.71	16.7(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	90	16	22	1.18	69%	0.19	-35.7	2.04%	0	1.1	55	0
17	Oct_30_2017	15.7	16.35	16.22	16.26	16.31	16.64	16.71(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	150	22	2	0.83	69%	0.26	-46.8	2.05%	0	1	54	0
18	Oct_27_2017	15.66	16.35	16.18	16.07	16.06	16.34	16.75(2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	7	120	16	-22	1.44	69%	0.19	-56.6	2.06%	0	1	53	0
19	Oct_26_2017	15.63	16.37	16.15	15.99	15.86	15.99	16.27(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	30	5	-38	1.74	66%	0.13	-65.5	2.03%	0	-0.3	41	0
20	Oct_25_2017	15.61	16.4	16.14	15.98	15.92	15.79	15.81(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-70	-6	-50	1.26	62%	0.19	-66.8	2.02%	0	-1.5	38	0

21	Oct_24_2017	15.58	16.46	16.19	16.09	16	15.73	15.74(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-130	-16	-47	1.37	62%	0.13	-64.1	2.02%	0	-1.9	35	0
22	Oct_23_2017	15.56	16.52	16.26	16.18	16.15	16.05	15.76(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-50	-15	-48	2.96	62%	0.13	-65.1	2.02%	0	-2.2	29	0
23	Oct_20_2017	15.54	16.58	16.34	16.3	16.28	16.28	16.38(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-0	-1	-44	0.72	73%	0.19	-64.8	1.96%	0	-0.6	33	0
24	Oct_19_2017	15.51	16.62	16.37	16.32	16.31	16.26	16.19(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-20	-2	-46	1.07	73%	0.19	-61.8	1.96%	0	-1.3	38	0
25	Oct_18_2017	15.48	16.66	16.4	16.33	16.35	16.28	16.36(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-30	-1	-51	0.51	73%		-71.2	1.98%	0	-0.9	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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