Trading Signals: ETHE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ETHE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: ETHE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 20, 2019 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Ethereum Trust)
ETHE latest price $199.0000 (12.43%) ($189.0600 - $219.0000) on Wed. Jun. 3, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.31% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $199.0000(12.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ETHE advances 13.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETHE advances 22.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETHE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(32%)    IDRV(24%)    SMH(24%)    SPY(24%)    XLY(24%)
Factors Impacting ETHE price   ETHE will decline at least -5.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-27%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-22%)    VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.655% (StdDev 11.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $149.3(33.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.57(54.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.62(70.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   381.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ETHE price fluctuates within 22.25% (three month std-dev: 11.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 14.69%(14%) Average negative next day return: -12.57%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 7.09%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -10.14%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 16.61%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.37%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2020	87.78	116.62	128.57	149.3	154.64	183.21	199(12.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	226	1400	231	212	0.08	68%	1.97	60.2	11.31%	0	3.2	80	1.7
2	Jun_2_2020	86.08	111.1	118.54	131.3	132.17	149.93	177(28.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	159	960	166	139	0.15	68%	1.83	54.1	11.28%	0	3.7	79	1.3
3	Jun_1_2020	84.53	106.82	110.92	116.9	117.89	126.07	137.5(12.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	82	510	85	72	0.03	64%	1.38	56.5	10.96%	0	3.3	74	1
4	May_29_2020	83.38	104.44	106.95	110.1	110.24	114.41	122(9.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	40	270	42	32	0.04	62%	1.19	49.1	10.95%	0	2.6	59	1.3
5	May_28_2020	82.4	103.22	105.26	105.2	105.98	109.71	111(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	270	25	10	0.01	58%	1.07	40	10.98%	0	1.5	51	0.9

6	May_27_2020	81.53	102.84	104.86	104.3	103.43	106.08	109(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	150	21	11	0.01	61%	1.02	49.2	11.18%	0	1.2	62	1.5
7	May_26_2020	80.71	102.23	104.22	103.55	102.37	102.24	105(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-40	3	5	0.01	57%	1.73	57.6	11.33%	0	0.6	59	1.3
8	May_22_2020	79.34	101.8	103.66	103.95	103.3	100.78	103.5(6.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-190	-10	1	0.01	53%	1.02	65.7	11.66%	0	0.3	57	1.2
9	May_21_2020	78.54	101.26	104.07	103.25	104.96	102.5	97.5(-8.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-110	-20	3	0.02	55%	0.26	64.6	11.73%	0	-0.7	58	1.1
10	May_20_2020	78.34	101.13	105.34	105.15	106.07	105.81	106.5(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	10	-10	17	0.02	55%	1.07	78.5	11.76%	0	0.9	57	1.5

11	May_19_2020	77.51	100.41	104.33	105.45	107.23	107.43	105.25(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	60	6	21	0.01	55%	1.07	85.9	11.76%	0	0.7	52	0.9
12	May_18_2020	76.69	99.45	103.49	104.98	107.09	106.33	107(7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	4	19	0.02	58%	1.11	81.9	11.76%	0	1.1	58	1.4
13	May_15_2020	75.85	98.38	102.6	103.38	105.52	107.03	100(-6.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	160	-2	13	0.01	58%	1.01	77.7	12.07%	0	0.2	55	1
14	May_14_2020	75.09	97.78	101.94	104.98	104.09	107.86	107(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	230	14	25	0.02	60%	0.44	79	12.13%	0	1.2	63	0.8
15	May_13_2020	74.76	96.73	101.1	105.58	104.42	104	108(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-60	21	32	0.01	57%	1.14	66	12.26%	0	1.3	62	0.1

16	May_12_2020	73.92	95.1	100.63	103.08	103.41	100.32	102.9(3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-200	-13	17	0.02	59%	1.04	46.6	12.49%	0	0.9	61	1.2
17	May_11_2020	73.16	93.98	100.04	101.75	102.02	104.83	99(-8.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	200	-5	23	0.03	59%	0.97	33.8	12.7%	0	0.6	64	2.3
18	May_8_2020	72.46	93.08	99.79	101.55	101.49	106.5	108(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	340	44	48	0.03	59%	1.12	31.2	12.57%	0	1.6	71	2
19	May_7_2020	71.66	92.13	98.17	98.35	97.45	99.21	110(15.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	100	19	31	0.04	61%	1.14	27.1	12.66%	0	2.1	70	1.4
20	May_6_2020	70.85	91.37	96.42	96.15	95.49	96.49	95.5(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	50	-3	21	0.02	61%	1.07	39.5	12.71%	0	0.6	63	0.8

21	May_5_2020	70.1	91.21	96.13	97.95	96.67	95.69	96.25(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-110	1	37	0.01	63%	1.07	58.8	12.83%	0	0.7	74	1.1
22	May_4_2020	69.36	91.06	95.11	98.1	98.16	94.5	98(6.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-260	-13	35	0.02	63%	0.43	73.5	12.97%	0	1	67	0.5
23	May_1_2020	69.06	90.33	93.87	98.1	98.68	97.65	92(-7.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-40	-17	37	0.01	64%	0.96	80.7	12.91%	0	0.2	64	0.4
24	Apr_30_2020	68.4	89.93	93.45	97.7	98.92	101.81	99(-5.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	240	14	49	0.03	64%	1.09	83.9	12.87%	0	1.2	57	1.3
25	Apr_29_2020	67.66	88.55	92.15	96.61	97.2	99.72	104.5(7.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	200	24	45	0.04	64%		70.4	12.84%	0	2	54	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.