Trading Signals: ETHE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 29, 2020

Trading Signals: ETHE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 20, 2019 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Ethereum Trust)
ETHE latest price $122.0000 (9.91%) ($112.0000 - $125.5000) on Fri. May. 29, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.95% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $122.0000(9.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ETHE advances 4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETHE advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETHE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(32%)    IDRV(24%)    SMH(24%)    SPY(24%)    FIVG(23%)
Factors Impacting ETHE price   ETHE will decline at least -5.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-26%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.475% (StdDev 10.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.1(10.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.95(14.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.44(16.81%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   195.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ETHE price fluctuates within 6.39% (three month std-dev: 10.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 44 Average positive next day return: 2.93%(61%) Average negative next day return: -3.23%(39%) Sample size 44 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -5.15%(57%) Sample size 44 Average positive next weekly return: 4.97%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.76%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2020	83.38	104.44	106.95	110.1	110.24	114.41	122(9.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	40	270	42	32	0.04	62%	1.19	49.1	10.95%	0	2.6	59	1.3
2	May_28_2020	82.4	103.22	105.26	105.2	105.98	109.71	111(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	270	25	10	0.01	58%	1.07	40	10.98%	0	1.5	51	0.9
3	May_27_2020	81.53	102.84	104.86	104.3	103.43	106.08	109(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	150	21	11	0.01	61%	1.02	49.2	11.18%	0	1.2	62	1.5
4	May_26_2020	80.71	102.23	104.22	103.55	102.37	102.24	105(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-40	3	5	0.01	57%	1.73	57.6	11.33%	0	0.6	59	1.3
5	May_22_2020	79.34	101.8	103.66	103.95	103.3	100.78	103.5(6.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-190	-10	1	0.01	53%	1.02	65.7	11.66%	0	0.3	57	1.2

6	May_21_2020	78.54	101.26	104.07	103.25	104.96	102.5	97.5(-8.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-110	-20	3	0.02	55%	0.26	64.6	11.73%	0	-0.7	58	1.1
7	May_20_2020	78.34	101.13	105.34	105.15	106.07	105.81	106.5(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	10	-10	17	0.02	55%	1.07	78.5	11.76%	0	0.9	57	1.5
8	May_19_2020	77.51	100.41	104.33	105.45	107.23	107.43	105.25(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	60	6	21	0.01	55%	1.07	85.9	11.76%	0	0.7	52	0.9
9	May_18_2020	76.69	99.45	103.49	104.98	107.09	106.33	107(7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	4	19	0.02	58%	1.11	81.9	11.76%	0	1.1	58	1.4
10	May_15_2020	75.85	98.38	102.6	103.38	105.52	107.03	100(-6.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	160	-2	13	0.01	58%	1.01	77.7	12.07%	0	0.2	55	1

11	May_14_2020	75.09	97.78	101.94	104.98	104.09	107.86	107(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	230	14	25	0.02	60%	0.44	79	12.13%	0	1.2	63	0.8
12	May_13_2020	74.76	96.73	101.1	105.58	104.42	104	108(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-60	21	32	0.01	57%	1.14	66	12.26%	0	1.3	62	0.1
13	May_12_2020	73.92	95.1	100.63	103.08	103.41	100.32	102.9(3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-200	-13	17	0.02	59%	1.04	46.6	12.49%	0	0.9	61	1.2
14	May_11_2020	73.16	93.98	100.04	101.75	102.02	104.83	99(-8.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	200	-5	23	0.03	59%	0.97	33.8	12.7%	0	0.6	64	2.3
15	May_8_2020	72.46	93.08	99.79	101.55	101.49	106.5	108(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	340	44	48	0.03	59%	1.12	31.2	12.57%	0	1.6	71	2

16	May_7_2020	71.66	92.13	98.17	98.35	97.45	99.21	110(15.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	100	19	31	0.04	61%	1.14	27.1	12.66%	0	2.1	70	1.4
17	May_6_2020	70.85	91.37	96.42	96.15	95.49	96.49	95.5(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	50	-3	21	0.02	61%	1.07	39.5	12.71%	0	0.6	63	0.8
18	May_5_2020	70.1	91.21	96.13	97.95	96.67	95.69	96.25(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-110	1	37	0.01	63%	1.07	58.8	12.83%	0	0.7	74	1.1
19	May_4_2020	69.36	91.06	95.11	98.1	98.16	94.5	98(6.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-260	-13	35	0.02	63%	0.43	73.5	12.97%	0	1	67	0.5
20	May_1_2020	69.06	90.33	93.87	98.1	98.68	97.65	92(-7.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-40	-17	37	0.01	64%	0.96	80.7	12.91%	0	0.2	64	0.4

21	Apr_30_2020	68.4	89.93	93.45	97.7	98.92	101.81	99(-5.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	240	14	49	0.03	64%	1.09	83.9	12.87%	0	1.2	57	1.3
22	Apr_29_2020	67.66	88.55	92.15	96.61	97.2	99.72	104.5(7.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	200	24	45	0.04	64%	1.18	70.4	12.84%	0	2	54	1.7
23	Apr_28_2020	66.87	87.11	89.17	94.11	95.02	96.03	97(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	100	12	24	0.01	64%	1.07	62.7	12.82%	0	1.3	53	1.2
24	Apr_27_2020	66.16	86.04	87.44	91.71	93.94	94.69	96(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	130	13	10	0.02	65%	1.04	54.4	12.82%	0	1.3	52	1.4
25	Apr_24_2020	65.48	84.87	85.82	89.51	91.11	94.01	92(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	280	7	-1	0.01	66%		46.8	12.87%	0	0.9	59	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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