Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $57.0700 (1.12%) ($56.4900 - $57.3200) on Mon. May. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $57.0700(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(34%)    VCIT(23%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLU(19%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-13%)    IYT(-10%)    INDA(-10%)    XLF(-9%)    IWM(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.2(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.97(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.32(1.33%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $19.554b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.59%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.03%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2016	54.53	56.32	55.97	56.2	56.11	56.47	57.07(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	40	49	6	1.33	40%	0.15	-66.9	1.01%	0	0.9	52	0
2	Apr_29_2016	54.45	56.38	55.95	55.88	55.76	55.92	56.44(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	10	21	-20	1.39	36%	0.15	-62.9	1.01%	0	0.1	47	0
3	Apr_28_2016	54.37	56.48	55.95	55.67	55.58	55.75	56.06(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	20	18	-36	1.49	41%	0.11	-60.9	1.02%	0	-0.4	40	0
4	Apr_27_2016	54.31	56.59	55.95	55.47	55.46	55.6	56.05(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	20	17	-55	1.66	41%	0.09	-61.4	1.04%	0	-0.5	43	0
5	Apr_26_2016	54.26	56.7	55.97	55.38	55.32	55.4	55.36(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	10	-15	-82	1.34	37%	0.07	-57.3	1.03%	0	-1.2	36	0

6	Apr_25_2016	54.22	56.86	56.1	55.72	55.55	55.33	55.5(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-40	-19	-69	1.22	37%	0.09	-46.9	1.03%	0	-1.2	35	0
7	Apr_22_2016	54.17	56.97	56.22	56.04	55.99	55.23	55.4(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-100	-47	-82	1.69	43%	0.11	-37.8	1.03%	0	-1.5	25	0
8	Apr_21_2016	54.11	57.1	56.38	56.31	56.37	55.78	55.02(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-69	-70	-62	-88	2.8	43%	0.11	-33.3	1.05%	0	-2.1	20	0
9	Apr_20_2016	54.05	57.26	56.58	56.52	56.69	56.75	55.64(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	20	-10	-71	1.67	40%	0.09	-28	1.05%	0	-1.8	29	0
10	Apr_19_2016	54	57.36	56.58	56.61	56.59	56.96	57.04(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	40	22	-66	1.48	50%	0.11	-24.8	1.07%	0	-0.4	35	0

11	Apr_18_2016	53.94	57.37	56.71	56.54	56.43	56.63	57.12(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	20	23	-81	1.61	50%	0.13	-24.1	1.1%	0	-0.3	34	0
12	Apr_15_2016	53.87	57.38	56.83	56.44	56.38	56.23	56.72(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-20	-6	-93	1.89	50%	0.06	-24.1	1.11%	0	-0.8	41	0
13	Apr_14_2016	53.84	57.44	57.02	56.5	56.51	56.24	56.1(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-30	-26	-90	1.7	47%	0.11	-15.1	1.11%	0	-1.7	34	0
14	Apr_13_2016	53.78	57.51	57.24	56.64	56.79	56.54	56.07(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-20	-19	-78	1.75	47%	0.11	-7.9	1.12%	0	-2	33	0
15	Apr_12_2016	53.72	57.56	57.48	56.81	56.9	56.79	56.67(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10	-16	-63	1.76	47%	0.11	-1.7	1.1%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Apr_11_2016	53.66	57.57	57.66	56.89	56.96	57.05	56.63(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	10	-17	-50	1.7	47%	0.09	6	1.1%	0	-1.4	45	0
17	Apr_8_2016	53.61	57.58	57.79	57.28	57.19	57.01	57.05(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-30	-16	-25	1.79	47%	0.13	28.8	1.1%	0	-0.8	51	0
18	Apr_7_2016	53.54	57.56	57.88	57.63	57.57	56.88	56.8(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-90	-42	-17	1.8	47%	0.11	54.5	1.1%	0	-1.1	41	0
19	Apr_6_2016	53.48	57.56	58	57.94	57.95	57.36	56.89(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-45	-70	-59	-4	2.05	47%	0.15	83.7	1.11%	0	-1	48	0
20	Apr_5_2016	53.4	57.57	58.08	58.24	58.29	58.26	57.08(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-12	-0	-27	32	2.3	47%	0.11	110.4	1.11%	0	-0.7	56	0

21	Apr_4_2016	53.34	57.53	58.13	58.53	58.46	58.55	58.59(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	20	76	1.29	54%	0.17	124.3	1.05%	0	1.4	72	0
22	Apr_1_2016	53.25	57.38	57.99	58.37	58.34	58.31	58.8(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	22	-10	6	68	1.52	54%	0.17	115.8	1.05%	0	1.7	77	0
23	Mar_31_2016	53.16	57.18	57.89	58.17	58.24	58.38	58.34(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	6	70	2.43	50%	0.15	86.9	1.06%	0	1.2	75	0
24	Mar_30_2016	53.08	56.98	57.79	58.09	58.15	58.37	58.39(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	30	25	78	1.2	50%	0.17	67	1.08%	0	1.3	68	0
25	Mar_29_2016	52.99	56.78	57.63	57.91	57.93	58.09	58.53(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	20	21	69	1.31	50%		51.9	1.08%	0	1.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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