Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $57.3500 (0.28%) ($56.7400 - $57.8200) on Mon. Mar. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $57.3500(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(34%)    VCIT(23%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLU(20%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-13%)    IYT(-10%)    INDA(-10%)    XLF(-9%)    IWC(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.3(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.01(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.17(2.1%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $19.65b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.47%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 0.87%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(27%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.76%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.1%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2016	52.59	56.17	57.01	57.3	57.35	57.41	57.35(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	10	-3	110	1.66	51%	0.13	69.3	1.09%	0	1.1	82	INF
2	Mar_18_2016	52.52	56.07	56.89	57.18	57.24	57.63	57.19(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	50	26	133	3.06	46%	0.11	74.1	1.1%	0	1	81	INF
3	Mar_17_2016	52.46	55.95	56.73	57.05	56.99	57.29	57.84(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	59	30	34	135	2.63	48%	0.13	74.4	1.14%	0	1.7	80	INF
4	Mar_16_2016	52.39	55.77	56.42	56.79	56.73	56.85	57.39(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	10	11	97	1.41	54%	0.11	65.5	1.14%	0	1.5	53	INF
5	Mar_15_2016	52.33	55.58	56.12	56.68	56.69	56.7	56.75(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	0	4	71	1.99	54%	0.1	59.2	1.19%	0	1.1	52	INF

6	Mar_14_2016	52.28	55.44	55.88	56.67	56.67	56.62	56.74(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10	2	58	1.58	54%	0.1	59.6	1.19%	0	1.2	56	INF
7	Mar_11_2016	52.23	55.28	55.64	56.54	56.65	56.67	56.55(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	10	10	47	1.66	54%	0.08	50.8	1.19%	0	1.2	58	INF
8	Mar_10_2016	52.19	55.15	55.46	56.34	56.42	56.72	56.5(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	40	26	45	2.16	47%	0.1	41.7	1.19%	0	1.2	62	INF
9	Mar_9_2016	52.14	55.06	55.45	55.97	55.98	56.62	56.87(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	80	47	50	1.65	47%	0.1	30.9	1.3%	0	1.7	66	INF
10	Mar_8_2016	52.09	54.94	55.36	55.46	55.37	56.12	56.69(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	90	59	52	1.96	47%	0.1	17.1	1.3%	0	1.8	70	INF

11	Mar_7_2016	52.04	54.81	55.25	54.97	54.71	55.34	56.11(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	70	46	40	2.66	47%	0.08	0.6	1.3%	0	1.5	65	INF
12	Mar_4_2016	52	54.73	55.16	54.61	54.36	54.63	55.54(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	20	29	30	1.84	51%	0.08	-6.6	1.3%	0	1	65	INF
13	Mar_3_2016	51.96	54.69	55.08	54.45	54.21	54.08	54.63(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-12	-30	-19	10	1.19	49%	0.06	-2	1.32%	0	-0.1	57	INF
14	Mar_2_2016	51.93	54.74	55.07	54.86	54.53	54.09	54.34(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-22	-70	-35	19	1.8	46%	0.08	30.1	1.33%	0	-0.5	47	INF
15	Mar_1_2016	51.89	54.78	55.01	55.24	55.22	54.34	54.23(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-24	-110	-41	26	2.11	46%	0.06	58.8	1.36%	0	-0.7	48	INF

16	Feb_29_2016	51.86	54.8	55	55.56	55.62	54.97	54.3(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-31	-80	-53	35	1.81	46%	0.08	87.4	1.35%	0	-0.6	53	INF
17	Feb_26_2016	51.82	54.78	54.94	55.77	55.9	56.09	54.77(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	12	30	-3	58	1.57	46%	0.06	105.8	1.34%	0	-0	51	INF
18	Feb_25_2016	51.79	54.71	54.87	55.75	55.77	56.26	56.66(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	54	60	47	73	1.06	51%	0.14	109.4	1.28%	0	2.1	60	INF
19	Feb_24_2016	51.72	54.49	54.67	55.31	55.23	55.71	56.23(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	60	43	45	1.72	51%	0.12	101.2	1.28%	0	1.9	51	INF
20	Feb_23_2016	51.66	54.29	54.5	54.77	54.77	55.28	55.84(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	70	43	16	1.6	51%	0.1	80.7	1.29%	0	1.6	53	INF

21	Feb_22_2016	51.61	54.08	54.31	54.37	54.31	54.75	55.34(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	27	50	38	-8	1.28	51%	0.1	65.2	1.29%	0	1.2	54	INF
22	Feb_19_2016	51.56	53.9	54.22	54.01	53.96	54.26	54.67(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	40	25	-25	2.49	51%	0.1	51.2	1.28%	0	0.7	56	INF
23	Feb_18_2016	51.51	53.71	54.24	53.85	53.76	53.87	54.46(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	10	3	-28	1.8	54%	0.08	39	1.28%	0	0.6	60	INF
24	Feb_17_2016	51.47	53.55	54.35	53.95	53.83	53.67	53.54(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-30	-12	-3	1.37	47%	0.08	39	1.29%	0	-0	61	INF
25	Feb_16_2016	51.43	53.51	54.5	54.18	54.08	53.65	53.86(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-60	-18	27	1.78	50%		48.7	1.33%	0	0.2	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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