Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $51.6200 (-0.12%) ($51.3000 - $52.1500) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $51.6200(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(34%)    XLU(24%)    GDXJ(19%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-12%)    IWN(-9%)    IWO(-8%)    XOP(-6%)    XLF(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.51(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.99(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.94(3.36%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $17.686b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.31%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.25%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.05%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2015	48.53	49.94	50.99	51.51	51.48	51.54	51.62(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	10	18	144	1.37	54%	0.02	71.9	0.9%	0	1.2	72	INF
2	Aug_19_2015	48.52	49.73	50.79	51.35	51.31	51.44	51.68(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	20	15	143	1.53	54%	0.02	66.1	0.9%	0	1.4	79	INF
3	Aug_18_2015	48.51	49.54	50.54	51.19	51.11	51.42	51.47(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	40	28	151	1.8	54%	0.02	65.5	0.9%	0	1.4	81	INF
4	Aug_17_2015	48.5	49.34	50.31	50.98	50.92	51.19	51.61(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	30	45	158	1.26	54%	0.02	63.7	0.9%	0	1.7	83	INF
5	Aug_14_2015	48.49	49.13	50.12	50.66	50.63	50.8	51.18(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	20	28	153	0.89	58%	0.04	63.9	0.91%	0	1.7	83	INF

6	Aug_13_2015	48.47	48.96	49.97	50.39	50.39	50.65	50.79(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	40	32	168	1.41	55%	0	67.4	0.91%	0	1.6	84	INF
7	Aug_12_2015	48.47	48.83	49.77	50.13	50.1	50.45	50.91(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	74	50	42	169	1.3	55%	0	71.9	0.94%	0	1.9	83	INF
8	Aug_11_2015	48.47	48.66	49.5	49.8	49.78	50.12	50.41(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	50	39	154	1.19	54%	-0.02	71.4	0.93%	0	1.8	73	INF
9	Aug_10_2015	48.48	48.5	49.28	49.54	49.54	49.75	50.02(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	30	24	141	1.83	54%	-0.02	67.2	0.92%	0	1.6	74	INF
10	Aug_7_2015	48.49	48.35	49.07	49.5	49.4	49.43	49.8(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-0	3	136	2.14	54%	-0.02	72.2	0.93%	0	1.5	72	INF

11	Aug_6_2015	48.5	48.21	48.82	49.49	49.49	49.32	49.53(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-20	2	129	1.56	54%	-0.02	75.4	0.93%	0	1.4	65	INF
12	Aug_5_2015	48.51	48.07	48.6	49.34	49.54	49.37	49.24(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	0	107	0.84	50%	0	80	0.94%	0	1.3	58	INF
13	Aug_4_2015	48.51	47.96	48.46	49.15	49.33	49.65	49.1(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	60	15	98	1.01	50%	-0.02	87.6	0.98%	0	1.3	62	INF
14	Aug_3_2015	48.52	47.87	48.3	48.95	49.01	49.72	49.85(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	79	110	68	111	1.81	52%	0.02	90.1	0.97%	0	2.3	72	INF
15	Jul_31_2015	48.51	47.69	48.06	48.55	48.53	49.02	49.72(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	78	70	73	92	2	52%	0	93	0.98%	0	2.7	73	INF

16	Jul_30_2015	48.51	47.52	47.86	48.05	48.04	48.29	48.77(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	40	35	55	1.36	45%	0	97.7	0.95%	0	2	70	INF
17	Jul_29_2015	48.51	47.36	47.8	47.77	47.75	48.04	48.29(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	40	21	46	1.17	43%	-0.02	77.8	0.99%	0	1.4	68	INF
18	Jul_28_2015	48.52	47.22	47.74	47.68	47.59	47.79	48.12(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	20	23	48	1.31	43%	-0.02	64.6	0.99%	0	1.2	60	INF
19	Jul_27_2015	48.53	47.1	47.66	47.56	47.55	47.45	47.87(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-20	8	33	1.21	43%	-0.02	51.2	1%	0	1	55	INF
20	Jul_24_2015	48.54	47	47.58	47.5	47.5	47.38	47.21(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-20	-22	26	2.54	41%	-0.06	44.8	0.99%	0	0.3	61	INF

21	Jul_23_2015	48.57	46.92	47.56	47.64	47.59	47.65	47.35(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	10	-11	46	2.69	41%	-0.06	37.8	1%	0	0.5	60	INF
22	Jul_22_2015	48.6	46.84	47.5	47.83	47.75	47.62	47.83(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-20	4	81	3.47	42%	-0.04	35.6	1%	0	1.1	72	INF
23	Jul_21_2015	48.62	46.74	47.43	47.81	47.8	47.53	47.52(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-40	-16	94	1.68	40%	-0.06	31.6	0.99%	0	0.9	71	INF
24	Jul_20_2015	48.65	46.69	47.42	47.76	47.81	47.89	47.58(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	10	-1	118	1.26	40%	-0.1	34	1.02%	0	1	71	INF
25	Jul_17_2015	48.7	46.64	47.3	47.66	47.69	48.07	47.92(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	60	32	130	1.25	40%		35.2	1.02%	0	1.5	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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