Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $53.2600 (-0.89%) ($53.0500 - $53.8100) on Mon. Jan. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $53.2600(-0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(34%)    XLU(27%)    GDXJ(19%)    LQD(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-13%)    UUP(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    XOP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.27(-1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.16(-1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.97(0.55%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $18.248b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.94%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.74%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2015	48.44	52.97	54.16	54.27	54.11	53.49	53.26(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-90	-46	106	1.4	65%	0.19	52.9	1.18%	0	0.2	64	0
2	Jan_2_2015	48.35	52.89	54.15	54.75	54.74	53.84	53.74(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-120	-58	143	1.7	65%	0.31	66.9	1.17%	0	0.5	62	0
3	Dec_31_2014	48.2	52.77	53.98	55.01	55.22	54.73	53.52(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-50	-42	170	1.97	67%	0.23	77.1	1.17%	0	0.5	62	0
4	Dec_30_2014	48.09	52.65	53.76	55.05	55.29	55.64	54.67(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	63	60	19	195	1.63	70%	0.23	81.6	1.14%	0	1.3	63	0
5	Dec_29_2014	47.98	52.45	53.39	54.73	54.83	55.72	56.15(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	112	120	81	204	2.2	75%	0.27	78.7	1.08%	0	2.3	75	0

6	Dec_26_2014	47.85	52.16	52.87	54.04	54.05	54.94	55.67(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	105	120	84	166	1.68	75%	0.4	79.7	1.08%	0	2.6	76	0
7	Dec_24_2014	47.66	51.85	52.45	53.48	53.41	53.94	55.02(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	89	70	74	133	1.56	74%	0.27	77.4	1.07%	0	2.7	71	0
8	Dec_23_2014	47.53	51.57	52.09	52.84	52.91	53.15	53.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	40	46	92	2.47	72%	0.23	70.8	1.04%	0	2.1	69	0
9	Dec_22_2014	47.42	51.38	51.91	52.29	52.44	52.89	53.06(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	70	44	68	1.2	69%	0.19	63.6	1.04%	0	1.8	66	0
10	Dec_19_2014	47.33	51.24	51.79	51.82	51.92	52.66	52.7(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	57	110	57	57	3.05	69%	0.19	62.1	1.05%	0	1.6	67	0

11	Dec_18_2014	47.24	51.1	51.64	51.51	51.44	51.99	52.87(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	52	70	54	44	2.08	69%	0.17	58.9	1.05%	0	2.1	69	0
12	Dec_17_2014	47.16	50.95	51.5	51.27	51.19	51.19	51.84(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-0	16	34	2.33	67%	0.13	58.7	1.04%	0	1.1	71	0
13	Dec_16_2014	47.1	50.85	51.44	51.23	51.2	50.89	50.97(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-18	-40	-34	31	2.24	67%	0.11	53.5	1.02%	0	0.2	68	0
14	Dec_15_2014	47.05	50.78	51.47	51.49	51.51	51.2	50.73(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-40	-32	60	1.28	67%	0.11	52.1	1.05%	0	-0.1	59	0
15	Dec_12_2014	47	50.69	51.48	51.73	51.79	51.51	51.14(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-30	-18	87	1.19	64%	0.13	45.5	1.04%	0	0.5	59	0

16	Dec_11_2014	46.94	50.6	51.44	51.77	51.85	51.81	51.68(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-0	-9	101	1.44	66%	0.15	44.3	1.06%	0	1.1	67	0
17	Dec_10_2014	46.87	50.49	51.25	51.75	51.77	52.07	51.65(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	40	16	109	1.63	66%	0.13	38	1.06%	0	1.2	67	0
18	Dec_9_2014	46.81	50.43	51.05	51.66	51.62	51.89	52.24(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	30	34	111	2.67	66%	0.15	42.9	1.05%	0	1.9	76	0
19	Dec_8_2014	46.74	50.34	50.82	51.45	51.38	51.48	51.95(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	10	22	100	2.19	66%	0.13	47.3	1.06%	0	1.9	76	0
20	Dec_5_2014	46.68	50.27	50.65	51.2	51.16	51.35	51.33(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	14	100	1.93	66%	0.13	51.7	1.06%	0	1.4	78	0

21	Dec_4_2014	46.62	50.17	50.51	51.06	50.98	51.27	51.56(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	40	36	108	1.77	66%	0.15	50	1.07%	0	1.9	72	0
22	Dec_3_2014	46.55	50.12	50.34	50.68	50.68	50.97	51.22(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	40	37	91	1.56	66%	0.11	54.5	1.07%	0	1.6	67	0
23	Dec_2_2014	46.5	50.03	50.19	50.34	50.31	50.68	51.2(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	50	30	60	1.89	64%	0.15	48.4	1.07%	0	1.9	53	0
24	Dec_1_2014	46.43	49.95	50.01	50.1	50.03	50.39	50.69(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	50	26	31	2.27	64%	0.11	51.8	1.07%	0	1.3	47	0
25	Nov_28_2014	46.38	49.88	49.83	50.03	49.94	49.94	50.64(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10	17	5	1.36	64%		56.3	1.08%	0	1.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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