Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $46.9700 (1.14%) ($46.4800 - $47.0200) on Fri. Apr. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $46.9700(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(33%)    XLU(29%)    GDXJ(18%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    EMHY(-5%)    XLF(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.21(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.11(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.68(2.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $16.093b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(37%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(63%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.05%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1.83%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.31%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2014	43.71	45.68	46.11	46.21	46.2	46.47	46.97(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	40	43	91	1.23	62%	0.14	67.2	0.76%	0	2.3	74	0
2	Apr_24_2014	43.65	45.58	45.95	46	46.2	46.15	46.44(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	30	14	69	1.46	57%	0.14	73.6	0.75%	0	1.7	72	0
3	Apr_23_2014	43.59	45.48	45.86	46.02	45.95	45.92	46.1(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10	5	77	1.29	57%	0.11	77.3	0.78%	0	1.2	71	0
4	Apr_22_2014	43.54	45.42	45.8	46.06	46.04	45.75	45.81(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-50	-16	81	1.22	57%	0.11	76.4	0.78%	0	0.8	62	0
5	Apr_21_2014	43.49	45.36	45.74	46.03	46.11	45.98	45.71(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10	-18	73	1.12	59%	0.12	71.4	0.79%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Apr_17_2014	43.44	45.3	45.68	45.98	46.07	46.34	45.93(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	50	19	86	1.44	60%	0.12	56.2	0.79%	0	1.1	63	0
7	Apr_16_2014	43.39	45.21	45.59	45.87	45.9	46.24	46.54(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	58	50	47	90	1.37	63%	0.12	46.6	0.78%	0	2.3	73	0
8	Apr_15_2014	43.34	45.1	45.42	45.68	45.67	45.81	46.32(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	20	30	70	1.66	63%	0.12	49.5	0.78%	0	2.4	75	0
9	Apr_14_2014	43.29	45.04	45.29	45.52	45.53	45.56	45.67(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	12	56	1.87	61%	0.09	68.8	0.76%	0	1.5	65	0
10	Apr_11_2014	43.25	45	45.26	45.4	45.43	45.54	45.44(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	20	8	56	1.49	61%	0.07	85.1	0.76%	0	1.1	63	0

11	Apr_10_2014	43.22	44.97	45.21	45.33	45.38	45.51	45.39(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	20	20	63	1.23	63%	0.09	96.5	0.77%	0	1.1	67	0
12	Apr_9_2014	43.18	44.93	45.17	45.25	45.29	45.33	45.56(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	10	18	67	1.74	63%	0.07	95.7	0.8%	0	1.5	74	0
13	Apr_8_2014	43.15	44.85	45.07	45.11	45.17	45.33	45.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	10	7	54	1.64	63%	0.07	72.8	0.8%	0	1.3	65	0
14	Apr_7_2014	43.12	44.75	44.99	45.03	45.17	45.24	45.1(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	30	4	40	1.44	63%	0.05	57.9	0.79%	0	0.6	47	0
15	Apr_4_2014	43.1	44.67	44.96	45.11	45.11	45.11	45.09(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	0	9	45	1.44	63%	0.05	56.3	0.79%	0	0.7	49	0

16	Apr_3_2014	43.08	44.61	44.9	45.11	45.14	44.98	44.97(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-20	-7	29	1.04	63%	0.07	47.8	0.8%	0	0.6	51	0
17	Apr_2_2014	43.05	44.54	44.81	45.08	45.12	45.11	44.87(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	0	-6	21	1.38	60%	0.07	42.4	0.8%	0	0.5	53	0
18	Apr_1_2014	43.02	44.49	44.81	45.02	45.07	45.29	45.11(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	40	18	32	1.76	60%	0.07	37.2	0.83%	0	1	63	0
19	Mar_31_2014	42.99	44.44	44.77	44.95	44.94	45.13	45.5(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	30	31	59	1.33	62%	0.09	33.3	0.82%	0	1.8	72	0
20	Mar_28_2014	42.95	44.36	44.72	44.8	44.8	44.84	44.95(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	10	15	65	1.29	60%	0.05	25	0.81%	0	1.1	67	0

21	Mar_27_2014	42.93	44.33	44.71	44.69	44.72	44.75	44.95(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	10	13	73	1.71	60%	0.05	18.9	0.81%	0	1.1	63	0
22	Mar_26_2014	42.91	44.28	44.67	44.51	44.63	44.76	44.57(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	13	74	1.43	58%	0.05	4.3	0.81%	0	0.6	63	0
23	Mar_25_2014	42.89	44.26	44.62	44.48	44.46	44.68	44.77(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	30	5	73	1.42	58%	0.07	0.9	0.8%	0	1	61	0
24	Mar_24_2014	42.86	44.24	44.49	44.57	44.47	44.51	44.75(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-0	9	72	2.23	58%	0.05	1.8	0.81%	0	1	55	0
25	Mar_21_2014	42.84	44.22	44.37	44.64	44.6	44.23	44.42(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-60	-23	61	2.05	58%		0	0.8%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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