Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $45.5000 (1.22%) ($44.9900 - $45.6900) on Mon. Mar. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $45.5000(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(33%)    XLU(29%)    GDXJ(18%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    EMHY(-5%)    XLF(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.95(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.77(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.44(2.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $15.59b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(83%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.04%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.42%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.58%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2014	42.99	44.44	44.77	44.95	44.94	45.13	45.5(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	30	31	59	1.33	62%	0.09	33.3	0.82%	0	1.8	72	NAN
2	Mar_28_2014	42.95	44.36	44.72	44.8	44.8	44.84	44.95(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	10	15	65	1.29	60%	0.05	25	0.81%	0	1.1	67	NAN
3	Mar_27_2014	42.93	44.33	44.71	44.69	44.72	44.75	44.95(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	10	13	73	1.71	60%	0.05	18.9	0.81%	0	1.1	63	NAN
4	Mar_26_2014	42.91	44.28	44.67	44.51	44.63	44.76	44.57(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	13	74	1.43	58%	0.05	4.3	0.81%	0	0.6	63	NAN
5	Mar_25_2014	42.89	44.26	44.62	44.48	44.46	44.68	44.77(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	30	5	73	1.42	58%	0.07	0.9	0.8%	0	1	61	NAN

6	Mar_24_2014	42.86	44.24	44.49	44.57	44.47	44.51	44.75(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-0	9	72	2.23	58%	0.05	1.8	0.81%	0	1	55	NAN
7	Mar_21_2014	42.84	44.22	44.37	44.64	44.6	44.23	44.42(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-60	-23	61	2.05	58%	0.05	0	0.8%	0	0.4	55	NAN
8	Mar_20_2014	42.82	44.23	44.31	44.73	44.75	44.43	44.05(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-22	-50	-46	51	1.94	57%	0.02	5.3	0.8%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
9	Mar_19_2014	42.81	44.23	44.26	44.84	44.92	44.97	44.41(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	21	10	3	76	1.52	59%	0.02	14.2	0.79%	0	0.3	54	NAN
10	Mar_18_2014	42.8	44.25	44.2	44.75	44.81	45.07	45.23(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	40	50	82	1.02	66%	0.05	10.2	0.76%	0	1.9	59	NAN

11	Mar_17_2014	42.78	44.23	44.08	44.38	44.43	44.87	45.08(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	70	54	43	1.08	66%	0.02	0	0.77%	0	1.7	55	NAN
12	Mar_14_2014	42.77	44.21	43.96	44.06	44.04	44.56	44.89(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	49	80	63	8	1.25	66%	0.05	-2.8	0.77%	0	1.4	53	NAN
13	Mar_13_2014	42.75	44.2	43.9	43.83	43.74	43.98	44.61(1.52%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.7	33	30	51	-22	1.62	66%	0.05	0.9	0.77%	0	0.9	47	NAN
14	Mar_12_2014	42.73	44.18	43.83	43.61	43.53	43.52	43.94(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10	3	-76	1.38	65%	0.05	0	0.75%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
15	Mar_11_2014	42.71	44.2	43.85	43.57	43.55	43.5	43.36(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10	-18	-95	0.85	63%	0.02	4.8	0.74%	0	-1.8	35	NAN

16	Mar_10_2014	42.7	44.2	43.96	43.74	43.66	43.55	43.5(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-20	-16	-87	1.09	63%	0.02	20	0.74%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
17	Mar_7_2014	42.69	44.23	44.05	43.83	43.82	43.6	43.75(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-40	-27	-94	1.77	63%	0.02	20.2	0.74%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
18	Mar_6_2014	42.68	44.2	44.14	43.97	43.97	43.78	43.5(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-30	-31	-82	1.6	65%	0.07	19.2	0.75%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
19	Mar_5_2014	42.65	44.19	44.26	44.07	44.13	44.05	43.76(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10	-15	-61	1.44	65%	0.05	26	0.77%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
20	Mar_4_2014	42.63	44.18	44.33	44.17	44.15	44.17	44.18(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	0	-8	-47	1.34	68%	0.07	34.9	0.76%	0	0	50	NAN

21	Mar_3_2014	42.6	44.15	44.4	44.22	44.21	44.21	43.95(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-0	-4	-24	1.44	68%	0.05	41	0.76%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
22	Feb_28_2014	42.58	44.14	44.5	44.31	44.3	44.13	44.45(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-7	-30	-12	9	1.92	72%	0.05	56.7	0.73%	0	0.5	69	NAN
23	Feb_27_2014	42.56	44.09	44.53	44.35	44.39	44.21	44.03(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-18	-30	-35	34	2.02	70%	0.07	61	0.73%	0	-0.1	70	NAN
24	Feb_26_2014	42.53	44.04	44.57	44.48	44.59	44.48	44.23(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10	-11	81	1.51	65%	0.09	58	0.73%	0	0.3	68	NAN
25	Feb_25_2014	42.49	43.98	44.58	44.52	44.62	44.58	44.42(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	0	-15	95	1.86	65%		56.6	0.76%	0	0.6	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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