Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $45.0500 (1.44%) ($44.5000 - $45.1300) on Thu. Aug. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $45.0500(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(31%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(17%)    XLP(16%)    SHY(12%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-5%)    XOP(-4%)    EMHY(-4%)    REMX(-3%)    IWM(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.46(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.52(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.84(2.76%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $15.435b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.46%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -7.28%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.23%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.89%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2013	43.23	43.84	44.52	44.46	44.42	44.62	45.05(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	30	18	32	1.43	46%	0.07	66.7	1.24%	0	1.1	69	NAN
2	Jul_31_2013	43.2	43.66	44.47	44.32	44.26	44.41	44.41(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	20	10	35	1.74	44%	0.05	60.1	1.24%	0	0.6	66	NAN
3	Jul_30_2013	43.18	43.51	44.43	44.28	44.22	44.23	44.57(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-0	1	46	1.3	44%	0.05	57.2	1.24%	0	0.8	74	NAN
4	Jul_29_2013	43.16	43.34	44.37	44.35	44.25	44.12	44.04(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-30	-12	64	1.71	44%	0.05	60.6	1.23%	0	0.5	73	NAN
5	Jul_26_2013	43.14	43.25	44.38	44.47	44.43	44.2	44.23(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-40	-14	96	1.89	44%	0.05	69.4	1.24%	0	0.7	78	NAN

6	Jul_25_2013	43.12	43.12	44.3	44.59	44.56	44.37	44.37(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-30	-17	128	1.07	44%	0.05	79.6	1.23%	0	0.9	83	NAN
7	Jul_24_2013	43.1	42.97	44.19	44.64	44.69	44.66	44.17(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	39	-0	-1	160	1.01	44%	0.05	80.3	1.23%	0	0.9	78	NAN
8	Jul_23_2013	43.08	42.79	44.02	44.6	44.64	44.75	44.92(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	20	14	182	0.8	46%	0.05	70.4	1.22%	0	1.5	88	NAN
9	Jul_22_2013	43.06	42.55	43.75	44.39	44.45	44.72	44.68(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	50	17	184	0.94	45%	0.07	59.8	1.22%	0	1.5	85	NAN
10	Jul_19_2013	43.03	42.34	43.47	44.27	44.26	44.53	44.83(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	40	32	185	1.12	47%	0.09	53.5	1.22%	0	1.8	73	NAN

11	Jul_18_2013	42.99	42.07	43.1	43.96	43.99	44.19	44.62(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	30	26	157	1	47%	0.07	40.9	1.24%	0	1.8	74	NAN
12	Jul_17_2013	42.96	41.9	42.78	43.67	43.7	43.99	43.93(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	50	27	145	1.03	44%	0.07	39.2	1.23%	0	1.6	74	NAN
13	Jul_16_2013	42.93	41.81	42.5	43.35	43.42	43.8	43.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	70	39	138	1.53	46%	0.07	38.7	1.24%	0	1.8	77	NAN
14	Jul_15_2013	42.9	41.71	42.23	43.01	42.99	43.41	44.1(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	64	70	42	130	0.96	44%	0.07	34	1.25%	0	2.2	81	NAN
15	Jul_12_2013	42.87	41.59	42	42.54	42.59	43.05	43.28(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	80	46	121	1.02	42%	0.05	24.1	1.25%	0	1.8	75	NAN

16	Jul_11_2013	42.85	41.51	41.83	42.11	42.17	42.57	43.14(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	61	70	42	117	1.3	42%	0.05	14.1	1.25%	0	1.9	78	NAN
17	Jul_10_2013	42.83	41.41	41.63	41.76	41.71	42.12	42.33(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	70	30	92	1.02	41%	0.02	2.2	1.23%	0	1.2	56	NAN
18	Jul_9_2013	42.82	41.36	41.45	41.52	41.47	41.77	42.19(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	50	31	56	1.16	41%	-0.02	-6.7	1.24%	0	1.1	46	NAN
19	Jul_8_2013	42.83	41.35	41.25	41.33	41.25	41.31	41.76(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	0	3	12	1.18	41%	0.02	-12.4	1.23%	0	0.6	47	NAN
20	Jul_5_2013	42.82	41.37	41.12	41.38	41.31	41.16	41.13(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-30	-10	-8	0.77	39%	0.05	-6	1.21%	0	-0.3	43	NAN

21	Jul_3_2013	42.8	41.4	40.98	41.5	41.49	41.19	41.38(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-50	-14	-27	0.73	39%	0.02	-3.9	1.21%	0	-0	46	NAN
22	Jul_2_2013	42.79	41.39	40.96	41.48	41.63	41.46	41.13(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-20	-8	-26	1.41	39%	0	-8.4	1.21%	0	-0.4	51	NAN
23	Jul_1_2013	42.79	41.41	41.09	41.36	41.59	41.79	41.25(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	10	50	17	-13	2.24	39%	0	-18.4	1.21%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
24	Jun_28_2013	42.79	41.44	41.16	41.14	41.26	41.8	42.02(0.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	27	100	42	-18	3.03	42%	0.02	-32.6	1.19%	0	0.8	49	NAN
25	Jun_27_2013	42.78	41.42	41.15	40.81	40.8	41.39	41.74(1.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	33	100	56	-38	1.84	42%		-56.4	1.2%	0	0.4	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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