Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $40.2500 (-0.17%) ($40.0400 - $40.3900) on Mon. Jan. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $40.2500(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(32%)    LQD(18%)    TLT(17%)    XLP(17%)    SHY(12%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-4%)    XOP(-3%)    EMHY(-3%)    REMX(-2%)    IWM(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.02(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.5(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.37(2.24%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $13.791b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(11%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(89%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.21%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -1.14%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.46%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.75%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2013	38.79	39.37	39.5	40.02	39.97	40.18	40.25(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	30	29	95	1.24	68%	0.08	54.6	0.86%	0	1.9	65	NAN
2	Jan_25_2013	38.76	39.3	39.39	39.81	39.8	39.99	40.32(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	30	42	74	1.56	68%	0.05	35.8	0.86%	0	2.2	57	NAN
3	Jan_24_2013	38.74	39.21	39.28	39.49	39.53	39.76	39.91(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	40	34	35	1.39	66%	0.05	9.3	0.86%	0	1.7	53	NAN
4	Jan_23_2013	38.72	39.17	39.19	39.24	39.24	39.61	39.77(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	26	70	35	-1	1.8	63%	0.05	-8.8	0.86%	0	1.5	46	NAN
5	Jan_22_2013	38.7	39.14	39.11	39.08	39.03	39.29	39.85(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	25	40	39	-16	2.12	63%	0.05	-14	0.87%	0	1.8	59	NAN

6	Jan_18_2013	38.68	39.12	39.04	39.08	38.87	38.88	39.21(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-0	5	-36	2.84	61%	0.05	-27.6	0.84%	0	0.3	62	NAN
7	Jan_17_2013	38.66	39.13	39.07	38.92	38.9	38.77	38.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-20	-18	-33	3.49	60%	0.03	-31.5	0.83%	0	-1.2	51	NAN
8	Jan_16_2013	38.65	39.17	39.16	39.04	39.02	38.87	38.67(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-30	-20	-7	2.33	60%	0.03	-20.7	0.84%	0	-1.5	51	NAN
9	Jan_15_2013	38.64	39.21	39.28	39.04	39.14	39.04	38.98(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-9	18	1.84	62%	0.03	-11.5	0.84%	0	-0.7	48	NAN
10	Jan_14_2013	38.63	39.2	39.29	39.13	39.17	39.18	39.04(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	0	-5	18	1.99	62%	0.03	-20.2	0.85%	0	-0.5	48	NAN

11	Jan_11_2013	38.62	39.21	39.24	39.17	39.15	39.24	39.19(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	10	-2	6	1.53	62%	0.03	-14.6	0.85%	0	-0.1	46	NAN
12	Jan_10_2013	38.61	39.21	39.21	39.26	39.18	39.16	39.31(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10	-1	5	1.53	60%	0.03	-2.2	0.85%	0	0.2	47	NAN
13	Jan_9_2013	38.6	39.24	39.21	39.31	39.29	39.06	39.12(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-40	-23	-13	2.16	60%	0.03	14.9	0.86%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
14	Jan_8_2013	38.59	39.25	39.16	39.45	39.47	39.2	39(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-50	-25	-2	2.76	60%	0.03	32	0.86%	0	-0.7	47	NAN
15	Jan_7_2013	38.58	39.25	39.18	39.47	39.61	39.52	39.21(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10	2	20	1.94	60%	0	40.4	0.86%	0	-0.1	57	NAN

16	Jan_4_2013	38.58	39.26	39.21	39.32	39.45	39.74	39.64(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	60	23	15	1.42	63%	0.03	42.6	0.86%	0	1	52	NAN
17	Jan_3_2013	38.57	39.24	39.21	39.14	39.16	39.71	39.6(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	100	50	5	1.59	63%	0.03	45.7	0.86%	0	1	48	NAN
18	Jan_2_2013	38.56	39.19	39.18	38.98	38.9	39.17	39.82(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	32	40	47	-12	1.42	63%	0	36	0.85%	0	1.8	52	NAN
19	Dec_31_2012	38.56	39.13	39.11	38.84	38.73	38.62	39.08(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-30	-6	-46	1.65	62%	-0.03	28.9	0.82%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
20	Dec_28_2012	38.57	39.13	39.08	38.87	38.83	38.63	38.44(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-40	-33	-66	1.27	60%	0	42	0.8%	0	-1.7	41	NAN

21	Dec_27_2012	38.57	39.11	39.17	39.08	39.01	38.84	38.78(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-40	-27	-42	1.34	62%	-0.03	57.1	0.8%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
22	Dec_26_2012	38.58	39.08	39.27	39.21	39.21	39.02	38.77(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-30	-26	-20	1.75	62%	-0.05	60.2	0.8%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
23	Dec_24_2012	38.6	39.06	39.27	39.39	39.34	39.18	39.15(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-30	-18	21	0.74	67%	0	66.4	0.79%	0	0.2	61	NAN
24	Dec_21_2012	38.6	39.02	39.35	39.42	39.42	39.39	39.23(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10	2	41	3.21	67%	0	59.1	0.82%	0	0.4	60	NAN
25	Dec_20_2012	38.6	38.95	39.36	39.31	39.36	39.5	39.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	30	10	43	1.78	67%		53	0.82%	0	0.8	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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