Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $20.2200 (1.15%) ($19.7800 - $20.2600) on Thu. May. 21, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $20.2200(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(41%)    XLP(26%)    VWO(19%)    EEM(18%)    EWG(17%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(5%)    USO(6%)    PCY(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

Resistance Level   $20.94
5 Day Moving Average   $20.43(-1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.79(-2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.94(-3.44%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $6.928b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.54%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2009	22.06		20.79	20.43	20.46	20.23	20.22(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-70	-22	-100	2.27	41%	-0.14	-17.2	1.75%	0	-1.4	27	0
2	May_20_2009	22.09	20.94	20.89	20.59	20.64	20.57	19.99(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-20	-19	-83	3.34	39%	-0.18	-18.9	1.75%	0	-1.9	37	0
3	May_19_2009	22.13	20.97	21.05	20.83	20.81	20.69	20.75(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-40	-10	-46	1.41	42%	-0.14	-14.2	1.72%	0	-0.5	58	0
4	May_18_2009	22.16	20.98	21.15	20.96	20.93	20.7	20.62(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-80	-15	-20	1.1	39%	-0.14	-5.5	1.73%	0	-0.8	55	0
5	May_15_2009	22.19	21	21.25	21.07	21.09	20.93	20.58(-2.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-10	-50	-15	4	1.64	37%	-0.05	-0.5	1.81%	0	-0.9	51	0

6	May_14_2009	22.2	21.03	21.25	21.19	21.2	21.17	21.03(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10	-6	37	1.8	38%	-0.09	3.3	1.81%	0	0	66	0
7	May_13_2009	22.22	21.04	21.36	21.24	21.26	21.25	21.17(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-0	-3	56	2.53	38%	-0.09	3.7	1.82%	0	0.3	70	0
8	May_12_2009	22.24	21.03	21.31	21.3	21.3	21.23	21.38(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-20	-7	64	1.65	38%	-0.09	4.7	1.82%	0	0.8	68	0
9	May_11_2009	22.26	21.03	21.23	21.37	21.41	21.27	21.18(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-40	-10	66	2.52	38%	-0.09	5.1	1.83%	0	0.4	54	0
10	May_8_2009	22.28	21	21.19	21.47	21.53	21.38	21.2(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-40	-9	72	1.63	38%	-0.04	11.4	1.83%	0	0.4	53	0

11	May_7_2009	22.29	21.01	21.1	21.54	21.58	21.55	21.26(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-0	-2	71	1.66	38%	-0.09	18.8	1.85%	0	0.5	52	0
12	May_6_2009	22.31	21.02	21	21.5	21.59	21.68	21.48(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	40	15	58	1.66	38%	-0.04	17.1	1.86%	0	1	51	0
13	May_5_2009	22.32	21.01	20.88	21.3	21.38	21.61	21.75(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	90	19	33	1.27	38%	-0.04	4	1.86%	0	1.6	57	0
14	May_4_2009	22.33	20.98	20.79	21.06	21.12	21.5	21.65(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	130	22	15	2.48	42%	-0.09	-13.6	1.85%	0	1.5	60	0
15	May_1_2009	22.35	20.95	20.71	20.88	20.89	21.15	21.58(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	22	90	29	-0	2.62	42%	-0.09	-33.5	1.89%	0	1.5	53	0

16	Apr_30_2009	22.37	20.92	20.65	20.61	20.65	20.74	21.02(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	40	15	-35	3.44	39%	-0.09	-60.7	1.87%	0	0.2	42	0
17	Apr_29_2009	22.39	20.94	20.66	20.43	20.5	20.63	20.5(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	50	5	-59	2.01	36%	-0.13	-74	1.84%	0	-1.1	34	0
18	Apr_28_2009	22.42	20.99	20.72	20.4	20.41	20.55	20.55(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	50	2	-68	1.88	36%	-0.09	-75.5	1.84%	0	-1	37	0
19	Apr_27_2009	22.44	21.04	20.75	20.47	20.39	20.36	20.73(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-20	-2	-71	2.48	36%	-0.09	-76.5	1.84%	0	-0.7	43	0
20	Apr_24_2009	22.46	21.09	20.79	20.53	20.51	20.26	20.24(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-90	-16	-71	2.61	38%	-0.09	-72.1	1.86%	0	-2	38	0

21	Apr_23_2009	22.48	21.17	20.92	20.7	20.7	20.41	20.14(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-100	-25	-57	1.62	38%	-0.13	-63.4	1.87%	0	-2.5	34	0
22	Apr_22_2009	22.51	21.25	21.06	20.93	20.94	20.76	20.33(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-60	-17	-33	2.65	38%	-0.09	-54.4	1.87%	0	-2.7	34	0
23	Apr_21_2009	22.53	21.32	21.17	21.08	21.1	21	20.92(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-30	-1	-18	1.84	40%	-0.04	-44.3	1.84%	0	-1.4	37	0
24	Apr_20_2009	22.54	21.37	21.2	21.05	21.09	21.11	21(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	10	-4	-26	1.42	40%	-0.13	-18.6	1.85%	0	-1.2	40	0
25	Apr_17_2009	22.57	21.4	21.21	21.09	21.05	21.21	21.09(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	50	-1	-30	1.84	40%		11.8	1.87%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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