Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $20.2800 (1.91%) ($19.0100 - $21.1100) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $20.2800(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(41%)    XLP(26%)    VWO(19%)    EEM(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(5%)    USO(6%)    PCY(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.6%

Resistance Level   $21.03
5 Day Moving Average   $20.16(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.04(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.03(-3.57%)
To recent high   -19%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $6.948b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 5.42% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -7.03%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -17.22%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -31.63%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2009	22.73	21.03	20.04	20.16		20.09	20.28(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-20	2	-117	22.26	35%	-0.04	-78.8	1.95%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
2	Mar_13_2009	22.74	21.2	20.1	20	20.15	20.33	19.9(-3.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	90	4	-134	4.27	32%	-0.04	-76.6	2.06%	0	-1	36	NAN
3	Mar_12_2009	22.75	21.4	20.29	20.02	20	20.21	20.57(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	70	16	-132	1.66	34%	-0.04	-74.7	2.04%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
4	Mar_11_2009	22.76	21.55	20.41	19.84	19.93	19.96	20.1(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	20	3	-159	1.85	30%	-0.04	-79.5	2.05%	0	-1	29	NAN
5	Mar_10_2009	22.77	21.74	20.6	19.88	19.86	19.78	19.97(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-30	-6	-163	1.49	30%	-0.09	-78.1	2.06%	0	-1.2	31	NAN

6	Mar_9_2009	22.79	21.96	20.84	19.9	19.98	19.91	19.45(-2.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-10	-20	-176	1.57	25%	-0.04	-74.7	2.08%	0	-1.6	22	NAN
7	Mar_6_2009	22.8	22.24	21.08	20.22	20.22	19.95	20(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-90	-26	-186	4.14	27%	0	-67.3	2.04%	0	-1.5	21	NAN
8	Mar_5_2009	22.8	22.49	21.29	20.6	20.56	20.06	19.68(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-77	-180	-40	-189	2.47	27%	0	-59.4	2.04%	0	-1.8	18	NAN
9	Mar_4_2009	22.8	22.76	21.59	21.07	21.08	20.5	20.29(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-190	-37	-167	1.53	26%	0	-51.5	2.05%	0	-1.7	24	NAN
10	Mar_3_2009	22.8	22.96	21.81	21.44	21.53	21.06	20.07(-4.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-68	-140	-39	-156	2	26%	-0.09	-48.1	2.14%	0	-2.1	20	NAN

11	Mar_2_2009	22.82	23.17	22.12	21.9	21.9	21.66	21.05(-3.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-80	-17	-135	1.79	29%	0.09	-45.8	2.09%	0	-1.8	21	NAN
12	Feb_27_2009	22.8	23.32	22.42	22.05	22.08	22.01	21.91(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-36	-20	-5	-129	5.35	28%	0.09	-45.6	2.15%	0	-1.3	23	NAN
13	Feb_26_2009	22.78	23.43	22.61	22.08	22.11	22.15	22.01(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-38	20	-5	-136	2.11	28%	0	-44.9	2.17%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
14	Feb_25_2009	22.78	23.53	22.78	22.2	22.12	22.14	22.15(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-37	-0	-2	-143	1.53	28%	0	-41.9	2.17%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
15	Feb_24_2009	22.78	23.64	22.96	22.25	22.2	22.08	22.4(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-40	-9	-148	1.61	28%	-0.04	-38.8	2.17%	0	-1.3	36	NAN

16	Feb_23_2009	22.79	23.73	23.16	22.4	22.37	22.09	21.77(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-90	-29	-145	1.47	22%	-0.13	-34.8	2.14%	0	-2.2	32	NAN
17	Feb_20_2009	22.82	23.83	23.48	22.85	22.71	22.32	22.06(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-140	-26	-93	1.15	35%	-0.13	-23.8	2.48%	0	-2.2	37	NAN
18	Feb_19_2009	22.85	23.91	23.77	23.23	23.19	22.66	22.63(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-170	-19	-60	2.22	37%	-0.17	-11.6	2.59%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
19	Feb_18_2009	22.89	23.96	24.01	23.44	23.5	23.1	22.37(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-29	-110	-25	-42	2.03	37%	-0.13	-5.8	2.63%	0	-2.6	38	NAN
20	Feb_17_2009	22.92	24.01	24.22	23.76	23.77	23.72	23.15(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10	-15	-22	2.01	39%	-0.26	-0.4	2.6%	0	-1.6	41	NAN

21	Feb_13_2009	22.98	24.05	24.32	24.04	23.96	23.9	24.02(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-30	-6	-5	1.14	55%	-0.09	5.2	2.56%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
22	Feb_12_2009	23	24.02	24.31	24.22	24.11	23.81	23.99(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-100	-12	5	2	55%	-0.04	0.9	2.87%	0	-0.1	60	NAN
23	Feb_11_2009	23.01	23.99	24.32	24.41	24.4	24.02	23.66(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-110	-17	16	1.58	59%	-0.09	0	2.91%	0	-0.6	55	NAN
24	Feb_10_2009	23.03	24	24.36	24.68	24.68	24.4	23.96(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-80	-9	37	1.08	59%	-0.09	5.2	2.97%	0	-0.1	60	NAN
25	Feb_9_2009	23.05	24.02	24.39	24.74	24.79	24.79	24.55(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	10	2	53	1.02	59%		4.7	2.96%	0	0.9	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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