Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $27.2900 (0.66%) ($27.0400 - $27.4900) on Wed. Aug. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $27.2900(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(50%)    XLP(33%)    EEM(32%)    VWO(32%)    SPY(30%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(7%)    USO(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.12(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.01(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.2(4.16%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $9.35b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.41%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.47%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.55%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2008	26.13	26.2	27.01	27.12	27.13	27.24	27.29(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	6	116	0.47	60%	0.08	61.5	1.43%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Aug_19_2008	26.11	26.08	26.91	27.08	27.05	27.19	27.11(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	30	7	128	0.51	60%	0.12	63.2	1.43%	0	1	69	0
3	Aug_18_2008	26.08	25.97	26.81	27.07	27.05	27.03	27.39(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	0	4	145	0.73	60%	0.12	64.2	1.43%	0	1.4	74	0
4	Aug_15_2008	26.05	25.84	26.68	27.07	26.99	26.92	26.86(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	41	-30	-2	169	0.57	56%	0.12	64.5	1.41%	0	1.1	73	0
5	Aug_14_2008	26.02	25.72	26.48	27.06	27.02	26.96	26.97(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	-20	9	174	0.74	55%	0.12	61.2	1.43%	0	1.3	74	0

6	Aug_13_2008	25.99	25.6	26.3	26.88	26.9	27.05	27.08(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	40	13	168	0.61	55%	0.12	52.3	1.44%	0	1.6	75	0
7	Aug_12_2008	25.96	25.47	26.12	26.69	26.68	27.08	27.04(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	100	26	167	0.66	55%	0.12	43.9	1.44%	0	1.8	74	0
8	Aug_11_2008	25.93	25.35	25.92	26.5	26.46	26.76	27.33(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	65	70	34	159	1.02	55%	0.04	39.1	1.43%	0	2.5	77	0
9	Aug_8_2008	25.92	25.23	25.66	26.26	26.22	26.29	26.89(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	61	10	34	140	1.47	53%	0.12	39.9	1.42%	0	2.6	75	0
10	Aug_7_2008	25.89	25.16	25.44	25.81	25.98	26.17	26.04(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	70	17	101	0.62	50%	0.04	30.2	1.36%	0	1.6	72	0

11	Aug_6_2008	25.88	25.12	25.32	25.63	25.71	26.15	26.16(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	130	28	94	0.73	50%	0.04	24.6	1.36%	0	2	75	0
12	Aug_5_2008	25.87	25.09	25.18	25.46	25.46	25.8	26.06(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	49	90	36	87	1.76	50%	0.08	17.1	1.36%	0	2.1	74	0
13	Aug_4_2008	25.85	25.05	25.05	25.25	25.25	25.27	26.13(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	35	10	25	63	1.7	50%	0.04	3	1.36%	0	2.6	66	0
14	Aug_1_2008	25.84	24.98	25.05	24.98	25.08	25.12	24.66(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	20	-5	25	0.47	49%	0	-27.9	1.18%	0	-0.9	40	0
15	Jul_31_2008	25.84	24.98	24.91	25.01	25.03	25.23	25.16(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	60	15	18	0.61	51%	0	-43.4	1.16%	0	0.5	37	0

16	Jul_30_2008	25.84	24.99	24.85	24.94	24.92	25.05	25.31(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	13	30	19	-6	0.47	51%	0.04	-68.4	1.22%	0	0.9	42	0
17	Jul_29_2008	25.83	25.01	24.77	24.84	24.8	24.83	25(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	0	4	-45	0.46	50%	0	-74.3	1.2%	0	-0	30	0
18	Jul_28_2008	25.83	25.04	24.75	24.82	24.8	24.79	24.78(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-0	-0	-59	0.36	50%	0	-83.8	1.2%	0	-0.6	38	0
19	Jul_25_2008	25.83	25.07	24.78	24.83	24.78	24.78	24.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10	4	-51	0.85	51%	0	-94.4	1.2%	0	-0.7	53	0
20	Jul_24_2008	25.83	25.14	24.85	24.79	24.75	24.77	24.8(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	0	3	-45	0.65	51%	0	-89.8	1.22%	0	-0.7	48	0

21	Jul_23_2008	25.83	25.23	24.92	24.74	24.72	24.79	24.84(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	20	8	-45	0.92	53%	-0.04	-81.1	1.22%	0	-0.7	45	0
22	Jul_22_2008	25.84	25.3	25	24.74	24.64	24.73	24.89(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	20	4	-54	0.59	53%	0	-83.5	1.23%	0	-0.7	38	0
23	Jul_21_2008	25.84	25.38	25	24.68	24.61	24.65	24.83(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	0	-0	-60	0.45	51%	-0.04	-81	1.23%	0	-0.9	42	0
24	Jul_18_2008	25.85	25.46	25.04	24.73	24.67	24.54	24.6(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-40	-19	-76	0.48	51%	-0.04	-78.3	1.24%	0	-1.3	39	0
25	Jul_17_2008	25.86	25.57	25.09	24.93	24.88	24.57	24.52(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-90	-28	-81	0.68	51%		-65.3	1.24%	0	-1.5	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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