Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $27.8200 (-3%) ($27.7700 - $28.5200) on Tue. Feb. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $27.8200(-3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(51%)    XLP(33%)    EEM(32%)    VWO(32%)    SPY(30%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(6%)    USO(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.01(-28.07%)
Resistance Level   $29.06
5 Day Moving Average   $27.89(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.05(-0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.06(-4.27%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $9.532b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 4.27% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.41%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.65%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.08%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.66%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2008	30.11	29.06	28.05	27.89	27.94	28.24	27.82(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	80	8	-111	0.86	45%	0.03	-60.4	1.57%	0	-1	35	0
2	Feb_4_2008	30.1	29.23	28.1	27.87	27.76	28.13	28.68(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	80	21	-135	1.06	48%	0.03	-61.4	1.58%	0	-0.4	36	0
3	Feb_1_2008	30.09	29.32	28.17	27.78	27.7	27.64	27.98(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	-20	9	-163	1.21	45%	0.03	-64.6	1.55%	0	-1	31	0
4	Jan_31_2008	30.08	29.46	28.35	27.76	27.73	27.38	27.79(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-90	-23	-189	1.16	45%	0	-68.7	1.55%	0	-1.3	29	0
5	Jan_30_2008	30.08	29.62	28.61	27.9	27.95	27.76	27.18(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-73	-40	-33	-191	1.2	42%	0	-72.2	1.52%	0	-1.9	23	0

6	Jan_29_2008	30.08	29.83	28.92	28.24	28.28	28.07	27.71(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-50	-8	-167	2.12	49%	0.03	-74.6	1.52%	0	-1.8	24	0
7	Jan_28_2008	30.07	30.03	29.2	28.35	28.31	28.15	28.23(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-40	-24	-169	0.8	51%	0.03	-76.9	1.56%	0	-1.7	25	0
8	Jan_25_2008	30.06	30.19	29.44	28.61	28.41	28.49	27.9(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-0	-26	-156	1.02	53%	0.03	-73.9	1.56%	0	-2.2	27	0
9	Jan_24_2008	30.05	30.38	29.73	29.03	28.8	28.48	28.46(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-100	-22	-128	1.65	55%	0.03	-73.9	1.56%	0	-2.1	30	0
10	Jan_23_2008	30.04	30.56	29.96	29.45	29.21	28.34	28.9(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-230	-46	-111	1.95	55%	0	-64.7	1.56%	0	-2	32	0

11	Jan_22_2008	30.04	30.72	30.16	29.7	29.74	29.12	28.26(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-73	-140	-61	-108	1.97	53%	0.03	-60.6	1.53%	0	-3.2	20	0
12	Jan_18_2008	30.03	30.89	30.47	30.17	30.21	30.07	29.55(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-36	-30	-24	-71	1.08	56%	0.07	-59.2	1.43%	0	-2.2	23	0
13	Jan_17_2008	30.01	30.99	30.59	30.37	30.43	30.37	29.99(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10	-8	-57	2.1	59%	0.07	-61	1.42%	0	-1.8	35	0
14	Jan_16_2008	29.99	31.07	30.68	30.53	30.49	30.36	30.55(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-30	-8	-57	1.35	62%	0.1	-60.2	1.4%	0	-1	36	0
15	Jan_15_2008	29.96	31.11	30.71	30.57	30.56	30.49	30.17(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-20	-12	-71	0.97	62%	0.03	-69.6	1.39%	0	-1.9	26	0

16	Jan_14_2008	29.95	31.19	30.82	30.7	30.64	30.62	30.6(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-8	-69	0.66	65%	0.03	-77.1	1.4%	0	-1.3	28	0
17	Jan_11_2008	29.94	31.26	30.92	30.81	30.75	30.64	30.55(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-30	-5	-59	0.6	65%	0.07	-80.1	1.4%	0	-1.6	39	0
18	Jan_10_2008	29.92	31.32	30.99	30.81	30.85	30.67	30.78(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-40	-7	-60	1.07	65%	0.07	-89.3	1.39%	0	-1.2	43	0
19	Jan_9_2008	29.9	31.38	31.07	30.84	30.84	30.87	30.74(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	10	-9	-64	1.22	65%	0.1	-96.4	1.4%	0	-1.5	39	0
20	Jan_8_2008	29.87	31.46	31.18	30.86	30.93	31.04	30.84(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	30	4	-49	0.92	65%	0.1	-91.8	1.41%	0	-1.5	46	0

21	Jan_7_2008	29.84	31.54	31.3	30.96	30.89	30.81	31.15(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-20	-8	-44	0.78	65%	0.1	-71.9	1.41%	0	-0.8	44	0
22	Jan_4_2008	29.81	31.62	31.33	31.06	31.02	30.82	30.71(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-50	-14	-46	0.63	63%	0.1	-53.3	1.4%	0	-1.9	36	0
23	Jan_3_2008	29.78	31.72	31.41	31.16	31.21	30.97	30.78(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-50	-19	-45	0.53	63%	0.1	-36	1.41%	0	-1.8	40	0
24	Jan_2_2008	29.75	31.8	31.5	31.32	31.34	31.21	30.84(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-30	-23	-38	1.15	63%	0.17	-20.1	1.41%	0	-1.8	40	0
25	Dec_31_2007	29.7	31.86	31.56	31.54	31.56	31.45	31.31(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-20	-10	-31	0.67	66%		-4.9	1.41%	0	-1.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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