Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $28.5100 (1.5%) ($28.0200 - $28.6300) on Wed. Oct. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $28.5100(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ES declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(51%)    XLP(33%)    EEM(32%)    VWO(32%)    SPY(31%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(6%)    USO(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $28.7
5 Day Moving Average   $28.24(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.5(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.7(-0.66%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $9.768b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2007	28.24	28.7	28.5		28.19	28.23	28.51(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	0	2	-56	0.74	53%	-0.07	18.6	1.58%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
2	Oct_23_2007	28.26	28.69	28.55	28.24	28.25	28.13	28.09(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-30	-7	-54	0.47	53%	-0.07	20	1.62%	0	-1.4	46	NAN
3	Oct_22_2007	28.28	28.68	28.67	28.33	28.35	28.16	28.13(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-40	-14	-41	0.69	53%	-0.11	30.6	1.63%	0	-1.2	46	NAN
4	Oct_19_2007	28.31	28.67	28.76	28.44	28.48	28.38	27.98(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-20	-17	-36	0.64	53%	-0.07	42.1	1.63%	0	-1.4	37	NAN
5	Oct_18_2007	28.33	28.66	28.88	28.67	28.61	28.55	28.5(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-20	-9	-10	0.5	55%	-0.11	58.4	1.61%	0	-0.3	51	NAN

6	Oct_17_2007	28.36	28.63	28.94	28.8	28.75	28.58	28.49(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-50	-10	-0	0.66	54%	-0.07	68.6	1.61%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
7	Oct_16_2007	28.38	28.61	28.95	28.91	28.9	28.67	28.57(-0.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-11	-60	-17	7	0.54	54%	0	70	1.62%	0	-0.1	55	NAN
8	Oct_15_2007	28.38	28.54	28.96	29.07	29.05	28.92	28.67(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-30	-10	32	0.59	54%	-0.07	69	1.62%	0	0.2	64	NAN
9	Oct_12_2007	28.4	28.46	28.99	29.12	29.15	29.13	29.14(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-0	-3	54	0.66	56%	-0.04	67.3	1.62%	0	0.9	68	NAN
10	Oct_11_2007	28.41	28.37	28.94	29.13	29.22	29.13	29.14(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-0	1	67	0.77	56%	-0.07	67.5	1.65%	0	1	68	NAN

11	Oct_10_2007	28.43	28.27	28.91	29.09	29.27	29.18	29.02(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-0	3	80	0.81	55%	-0.14	64.7	1.65%	0	1	68	NAN
12	Oct_9_2007	28.47	28.18	28.84	28.99	29.17	29.27	29.36(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	40	7	81	0.47	55%	-0.11	58.2	1.65%	0	1.5	67	NAN
13	Oct_8_2007	28.5	28.07	28.68	28.83	29	29.36	28.96(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	100	11	80	0.33	55%	-0.11	48.7	1.64%	0	1.2	72	NAN
14	Oct_5_2007	28.53	27.97	28.56	28.84	28.85	29.08	29.15(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	60	20	95	0.5	53%	-0.14	45.7	1.64%	0	1.6	76	NAN
15	Oct_4_2007	28.57	27.87	28.42	28.72	28.73	28.65	28.97(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-20	2	88	0.38	53%	-0.14	40.7	1.65%	0	1.6	71	NAN

16	Oct_3_2007	28.61	27.79	28.29	28.7	28.71	28.63	28.52(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-20	-5	93	0.52	53%	-0.14	39.6	1.65%	0	1.1	69	NAN
17	Oct_2_2007	28.65	27.74	28.23	28.67	28.76	28.81	28.56(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	20	11	106	0.58	55%	-0.14	37.9	1.65%	0	1.3	65	NAN
18	Oct_1_2007	28.69	27.71	28.1	28.49	28.59	28.79	28.99(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	60	18	98	0.67	55%	-0.1	25.8	1.65%	0	2.1	72	NAN
19	Sep_28_2007	28.72	27.64	27.9	28.24	28.31	28.72	28.57(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	110	22	84	0.57	55%	-0.14	1.6	1.64%	0	1.8	72	NAN
20	Sep_27_2007	28.76	27.59	27.76	28.07	28.04	28.39	28.87(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	80	30	78	0.99	56%	-0.14	-20.7	1.63%	0	2.7	75	NAN

21	Sep_26_2007	28.8	27.54	27.57	27.83	27.82	27.9	28.34(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	20	11	49	0.86	56%	-0.14	-48.6	1.63%	0	2.1	61	NAN
22	Sep_25_2007	28.84	27.51	27.46	27.75	27.75	27.69	27.67(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-20	3	36	0.33	54%	-0.21	-63.4	1.62%	0	0.4	47	NAN
23	Sep_24_2007	28.9	27.56	27.41	27.64	27.76	27.74	27.74(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	10	8	19	0.55	54%	-0.17	-51.5	1.62%	0	0.4	43	NAN
24	Sep_21_2007	28.95	27.63	27.34	27.49	27.6	27.81	27.71(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	70	9	0	0.95	53%	-0.17	-37.8	1.63%	0	0.1	50	NAN
25	Sep_20_2007	29	27.69	27.27	27.39	27.42	27.78	27.68(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	100	20	-11	0.3	52%		-28.9	1.63%	0	-0	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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