Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $28.0300 (0.83%) ($27.8200 - $28.0700) on Wed. Dec. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $28.0300(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(52%)    XLP(34%)    EEM(33%)    VWO(33%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(6%)    USO(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.88(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.15(-0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.77(0.94%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $9.604b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.11%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.77%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.03%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2006	24.41	27.77		27.88	27.86	27.88	28.03(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	0	-5	24	0.69	78%	0.25	73.2	0.73%	0	0.5	61	0
2	Dec_12_2006	24.35	27.7		27.97	27.93	27.79	27.8(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-40	-32	46	0.72	78%	0.29	76.8	0.73%	0	0.2	59	0
3	Dec_11_2006	24.28	27.63	28.15	28.18	28.13	27.84	27.71(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-80	-42	92	1.25	78%	0.25	84.1	0.73%	0	0.1	61	0
4	Dec_8_2006	24.22	27.56	28.12	28.35	28.36	28.07	27.87(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-70	-40	135	0.86	78%	0.25	92.2	0.72%	0	0.4	65	0
5	Dec_7_2006	24.16	27.47	28.11	28.35	28.51	28.43	28(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	36	-10	-14	187	1.43	78%	0.29	92.9	0.71%	0	0.7	68	0

6	Dec_6_2006	24.09	27.38	28.06	28.44	28.49	28.64	28.49(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	40	21	239	0.81	82%	0.29	94.8	0.67%	0	1.3	80	0
7	Dec_5_2006	24.02	27.24	27.95	28.33	28.34	28.6	28.81(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	108	70	53	271	0.69	86%	0.33	92.6	0.65%	0	1.8	89	0
8	Dec_4_2006	23.94	27.07	27.78	28.12	28.12	28.34	28.59(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	112	50	60	269	0.84	85%	0.34	89.8	0.65%	0	1.7	89	0
9	Dec_1_2006	23.86	26.9	27.62	27.87	27.87	28.07	28.3(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	86	50	34	240	0.89	85%	0.29	84	0.65%	0	1.6	85	0
10	Nov_30_2006	23.79	26.74	27.49	27.75	27.71	27.9	28.03(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	94	40	38	261	0.88	84%	0.3	81.3	0.64%	0	1.4	86	0

11	Nov_29_2006	23.72	26.6	27.35	27.62	27.59	27.67	27.94(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	87	20	31	254	0.86	84%	0.3	79.3	0.66%	0	1.5	85	0
12	Nov_28_2006	23.65	26.45	27.21	27.5	27.47	27.51	27.72(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	75	10	14	259	0.88	84%	0.3	77.4	0.65%	0	1.4	86	0
13	Nov_27_2006	23.58	26.3	27.06	27.39	27.42	27.52	27.35(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	80	30	14	276	0.69	83%	0.26	72.9	0.64%	0	1.1	86	0
14	Nov_24_2006	23.52	26.17	26.96	27.33	27.4	27.44	27.7(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	110	20	36	332	0.24	87%	0.43	71.6	0.61%	0	1.6	96	0
15	Nov_22_2006	23.42	26.03	26.79	27.18	27.25	27.31	27.39(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	94	20	17	324	0.82	83%	0.17	74	0.62%	0	1.5	95	0

16	Nov_21_2006	23.38	25.9	26.64	27.05	27.14	27.36	27.34(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	118	70	43	343	0.93	83%	0.26	76.5	0.62%	0	1.7	95	0
17	Nov_20_2006	23.32	25.77	26.48	26.87	26.96	27.2	27.18(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	130	70	59	341	0.95	83%	0.3	78.3	0.63%	0	1.7	95	0
18	Nov_17_2006	23.25	25.65	26.3	26.68	26.68	26.91	27.04(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	110	60	40	320	1	84%	0.3	78.6	0.64%	0	1.8	95	0
19	Nov_16_2006	23.18	25.51	26.12	26.53	26.5	26.73	26.97(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	120	60	54	318	0.88	80%	0.26	79.2	0.64%	0	1.9	94	0
20	Nov_15_2006	23.12	25.38	25.93	26.33	26.32	26.45	26.7(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	98	30	38	277	0.76	79%	0.3	78.5	0.66%	0	1.8	86	0

21	Nov_14_2006	23.05	25.25	25.77	26.18	26.16	26.27	26.47(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	88	30	30	261	0.64	78%	0.26	81.4	0.65%	0	1.8	82	0
22	Nov_13_2006	22.99	25.14	25.63	26.03	26.04	26.18	26.22(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	40	39	246	0.43	77%	0.26	86.5	0.65%	0	1.7	82	0
23	Nov_10_2006	22.93	25.04	25.48	25.86	25.86	26.05	26.3(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	50	46	217	0.52	77%	0.26	88.9	0.66%	0	2.1	85	0
24	Nov_9_2006	22.87	24.92	25.32	25.63	25.7	25.9	25.95(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	60	46	186	0.49	76%	0.26	89.1	0.65%	0	1.8	86	0
25	Nov_8_2006	22.81	24.82	25.21	25.48	25.49	25.66	25.98(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	75	50	41	176	0.74	76%		87.2	0.65%	0	2.1	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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