Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 25, 2006

Trading Signals: ES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eversource Energy)
ES latest price $19.8000 (1.54%) ($19.4900 - $19.8100) on Thu. May. 25, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $19.8000(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ES advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ES declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(52%)    XLP(34%)    EEM(33%)    VWO(33%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting ES price   ES will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $19.83
5 Day Moving Average   $19.57(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.55(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.83(-0.15%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $6.784b

Eversource Energy engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of natural gas and electricity. It operates through the following segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Water Distribution and Natural Gas Distribution. The Electric Distribution segment distributes electricity to retail customers. The Electric Transmission segment owns and maintains transmission facilities through CL&P, NSTAR Electric, PSNH, and WMECO. The Water Distribution segments operates three separate regulated water utilities in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The Natural Gas Distribution segment transmits and distributes natural gas to retail customers. The company was founded on July 1, 1966 and is headquartered in Springfield, MA.

$. ES price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2006	19.73	19.83		19.57	19.56	19.54	19.8(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10	15	-94	0.86	54%	0	-18.1	0.82%	0	-0.1	35	0
2	May_24_2006	19.73	19.84	19.55	19.48	19.52	19.51	19.5(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	0	4	-133	0.68	51%	0	-20.5	0.8%	0	-1	32	0
3	May_23_2006	19.73	19.85	19.61	19.43	19.49	19.57	19.36(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	40	-1	-145	0.69	47%	-0.05	-22.3	0.8%	0	-1.5	35	0
4	May_22_2006	19.74	19.87	19.69	19.47	19.44	19.53	19.65(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-30	30	5	-136	0.51	50%	0	-19.9	0.82%	0	-0.7	37	0
5	May_19_2006	19.74	19.88	19.73	19.48	19.46	19.42	19.52(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-20	-3	-135	0.46	50%	0	-11.5	0.81%	0	-1.2	39	0

6	May_18_2006	19.74	19.89	19.82	19.53	19.48	19.35	19.38(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-50	-26	-130	0.74	50%	0	-2.6	0.81%	0	-1.7	33	0
7	May_17_2006	19.74	19.91	19.91	19.63	19.6	19.49	19.24(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-56	-40	-38	-109	0.76	52%	-0.05	11	0.81%	0	-2.3	33	0
8	May_16_2006	19.75	19.91	20	19.82	19.76	19.62	19.54(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-60	-25	-53	0.44	55%	0	31.1	0.81%	0	-1.4	51	0
9	May_15_2006	19.75	19.93	20.07	19.94	19.88	19.71	19.74(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-70	-27	-11	0.52	57%	0	41.8	0.8%	0	-0.7	57	0
10	May_12_2006	19.75	19.91	20.1	20.02	20.02	19.9	19.75(-0.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-19	-40	-30	15	0.27	57%	0	47	0.79%	0	-0.5	51	0

11	May_11_2006	19.75	19.9	20.14	20.15	20.12	20.05	19.9(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-30	-18	62	0.64	57%	0	52.2	0.79%	0	0	57	0
12	May_10_2006	19.75	19.88	20.16	20.22	20.21	20.14	20.17(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-30	-1	99	0.58	60%	0.05	55.4	0.78%	0	0.9	64	0
13	May_9_2006	19.74	19.84	20.11	20.2	20.2	20.2	20.12(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	0	-2	104	0.36	60%	0	51.8	0.78%	0	0.8	68	0
14	May_8_2006	19.74	19.81	20.07	20.21	20.1	20.27	20.17(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	40	9	116	0.34	62%	0	47.9	0.78%	0	1.1	66	0
15	May_5_2006	19.74	19.77	20.03	20.19	20.06	20.2	20.38(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	30	25	137	0.67	65%	0	44.9	0.78%	0	1.8	76	0

16	May_4_2006	19.74	19.73	19.96	20.14	20.06	19.94	20.26(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-40	6	135	0.68	65%	0.05	45.4	0.78%	0	1.8	72	0
17	May_3_2006	19.73	19.7	19.9	20.1	20.06	19.92	20.08(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-40	1	133	0.53	64%	0	41.6	0.78%	0	1.4	64	0
18	May_2_2006	19.73	19.67	19.84	20.01	20.01	20.08	20.18(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	20	18	124	0.54	64%	0.05	29.9	0.78%	0	2	68	0
19	May_1_2006	19.72	19.65	19.78	19.89	19.91	20.1	20.03(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	70	21	105	0.48	64%	0.05	13.7	0.78%	0	1.7	66	0
20	Apr_28_2006	19.71	19.62	19.7	19.84	19.81	19.93	20.15(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	40	28	95	0.58	64%	0	0	0.77%	0	2.5	70	0

21	Apr_27_2006	19.71	19.59	19.62	19.76	19.71	19.72	20.04(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	26	-0	13	63	0.66	64%	0.05	-19.5	0.77%	0	2.6	60	0
22	Apr_26_2006	19.7	19.58	19.56	19.69	19.68	19.68	19.65(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-0	5	42	0.4	60%	0	-29.3	0.73%	0	0.4	49	0
23	Apr_25_2006	19.7	19.6	19.55	19.65	19.67	19.68	19.59(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	10	4	25	0.55	60%	0.05	-23.9	0.73%	0	-0.1	46	0
24	Apr_24_2006	19.69	19.6	19.53	19.64	19.61	19.69	19.79(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	20	20	16	0.42	63%	0.05	-18.6	0.72%	0	0.8	47	0
25	Apr_21_2006	19.68	19.62	19.49	19.54	19.54	19.65	19.71(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	40	23	-11	0.79	63%		-33.6	0.72%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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