Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $27.8500 (2.2%) ($27.6800 - $28.8200) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.44% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $27.8500(2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(39%)    VIXM(33%)    TLT(24%)    BND(17%)    UUP(15%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -3.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-92%)    OIH(-90%)    USO(-66%)    XME(-65%)    VYM(-59%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.22% (StdDev 6.44%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $29.24
5 Day Moving Average   $26.58(4.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.4(5.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.24(-4.75%)
To recent high   -64.9%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 12.14% (three month std-dev: 6.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 4.33%(45%) Average negative next day return: -3.12%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 17.68%(27%) Average negative next three day return: -5.45%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 20.63%(18%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.02%(82%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2021	49.4	29.24	26.4	26.58	26.88	27.94	27.85(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	310	12	-54	0.8	33%	-0.58	-47.7	6.44%	0.6	-0.4	31	0.8
2	Jan_22_2021	49.69	29.53	26.44	26.33	26.27	27.09	27.25(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	210	18	-73	0.68	32%	-0.56	-46.5	6.43%	0.7	-0.6	28	1.5
3	Jan_21_2021	49.97	29.92	26.54	25.8	25.86	25.83	27.03(6.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-0	6	-101	0.58	33%	-0.56	-44.4	6.48%	1.7	-0.8	30	1.8
4	Jan_20_2021	50.25	30.28	26.75	25.64	25.54	25.46	25.28(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-36	-30	-6	-124	0.53	31%	-0.57	-43.6	6.43%	-0.6	-1.3	20	1.7
5	Jan_19_2021	50.54	30.69	27.33	25.74	25.73	25.9	25.5(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-36	50	-4	-130	0.41	32%	-0.55	-40.5	6.43%	-0.3	-1.4	23	1.3

6	Jan_15_2021	50.82	31.04	28.18	26.19	25.94	25.63	26.58(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-110	-7	-123	0.93	34%	-0.51	-37.5	6.45%	1.1	-1.2	26	0.7
7	Jan_14_2021	51.08	31.32	28.94	26.6	26.6	25.56	24.61(-6.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-44	-270	-18	-121	1.09	31%	-0.56	-36.7	6.35%	-1.7	-1.9	18	1.2
8	Jan_13_2021	51.37	31.7	29.88	27.39	27.42	26.26	26.23(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-290	-21	-114	0.46	31%	-0.48	-36	6.32%	0	-1.8	18	1.4
9	Jan_12_2021	51.62	32.05	30.77	28.04	28.1	27.64	25.8(-6.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-110	-23	-103	0.8	31%	-0.46	-34.3	6.33%	-0.2	-2.2	23	1.1
10	Jan_11_2021	51.86	32.33	31.68	29.13	28.95	28.58	27.71(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-110	-18	-82	0.65	32%	-0.48	-30.3	6.29%	0.1	-2	33	0.2

11	Jan_8_2021	52.11	32.47	32.36	30.48	29.77	28.57	28.65(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-350	-25	-60	0.86	31%	-0.44	-28	6.31%	-0.6	-1.8	41	1.6
12	Jan_7_2021	52.34	32.65	32.91	31.67	31.22	29.32	28.57(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-470	-30	-39	0.51	31%	-0.4	-23.2	6.36%	-1	-2	43	1.5
13	Jan_6_2021	52.55	32.84	33.63	32.74	32.64	30.97	29.45(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-28	-370	-33	-14	0.65	31%	-0.36	-26.1	6.36%	-0.9	-1.9	48	-0.4
14	Jan_5_2021	52.74	33.03	34.16	33.88	33.75	33.11	31.27(-9.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-11	-140	-19	14	0.88	30%	-0.3	-26	6.35%	-1.5	-1.1	48	-0.5
15	Jan_4_2021	52.9	33.06	34.39	34.56	34.41	34.3	34.46(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-40	-0	40	0.42	31%	-0.11	-25.8	6.29%	0.6	0.9	68	-1.6

16	Dec_31_2020	52.96	33.08	34.17	34.53	34.4	34.39	34.59(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10	1	48	0.2	34%	-0.21	-23	6.29%	-0.1	0.9	71	1.2
17	Dec_30_2020	53.07	33.13	33.89	34.38	34.33	34.53	33.95(-3.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	40	-1	45	0.55	34%	-0.24	-15.8	6.36%	-0.9	0.5	59	1.3
18	Dec_29_2020	53.2	33.32	33.65	34.67	34.27	34.41	35.15(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	3	52	0.67	36%	-0.21	-4.9	6.35%	0.5	0.9	62	0.2
19	Dec_28_2020	53.31	33.32	33.39	34.5	34.32	34.14	34.66(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-50	2	49	0.42	35%	-0.19	-13.1	6.39%	0.5	0.5	56	1.2
20	Dec_24_2020	53.41	33.47	32.99	34.19	34.52	34.12	34.29(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-50	3	43	0.32	35%	-0.26	-29.4	6.36%	-2.4	0.3	60	1.3

21	Dec_23_2020	53.55	33.46	32.55	33.74	34.14	34.5	33.85(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	110	4	22	0.56	37%	-0.3	-50.8	6.36%	-1.1	0.2	46	0.5
22	Dec_22_2020	53.71	33.4	32.33	33.3	33.53	34.93	35.41(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	310	21	10	0.51	37%	-0.32	-70.4	6.46%	1.3	0.8	47	-0.7
23	Dec_21_2020	53.88	33.43	31.94	32.48	32.66	33.78	34.28(3.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	260	20	-20	1.25	39%	-0.33	-86.8	6.45%	0.9	0.3	39	-1.6
24	Dec_18_2020	54.06	33.79	31.77	32.16	31.88	32.13	33.11(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	11	-44	0.59	39%	-0.35	-78.5	6.48%	1.9	-0.2	35	1.2
25	Dec_17_2020	54.25	34.2	31.58	31.64	31.5	31.54	32.03(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-0	5	-63	0.64	39%		-83.4	6.48%	0.5	-0.6	45	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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