Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 27, 2020

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $85.7600 (16.24%) ($75.4500 - $85.7600) on Thu. Feb. 27, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.67% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $85.7600(16.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 11.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 16.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(59%)    VXX(56%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(22%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    OIH(-90%)    XOP(-89%)    IWD(-80%)    IVE(-80%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.335% (StdDev 4.67%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $67.84(26.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60(42.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.46(51.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   127.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 16.12% (three month std-dev: 4.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 7.3%(63%) Average negative next day return: -5.26%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 9.02%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -6.9%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 10.64%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -18.15%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2020	47.21	56.46	60	67.84	68.55	75.95	85.76(16.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	220	790	195	294	1.27	70%	0.68	60.8	4.67%	1.5	3.2	83	-3.1
2	Feb_26_2020	46.89	54.61	56.17	60.76	61.16	66.84	73.78(9.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	154	670	142	188	0.76	66%	0.36	60.1	4.25%	1.7	3.1	80	-2.4
3	Feb_25_2020	46.72	53.32	53.8	56.06	56.12	61.15	67.59(13.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	115	630	120	99	0.63	63%	0.3	60.5	4.12%	1.8	3.4	62	-3.2
4	Feb_24_2020	46.58	52.41	52.24	53	52.92	55.49	59.77(14.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	74	340	88	30	0.5	59%	0.17	78.9	3.8%	1.3	2.7	52	-3.1
5	Feb_21_2020	46.5	51.75	51.45	51.28	51.4	51.09	52.29(3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	-40	19	-37	0.27	49%	-0.02	81.7	3.37%	1.2	0.2	45	-0.8

6	Feb_20_2020	46.51	51.42	51.45	50.88	50.99	50.35	50.39(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-80	-19	-57	0.23	47%	-0.11	75	3.4%	-0.7	-0.4	53	0.4
7	Feb_19_2020	46.56	51.18	51.38	50.75	51.1	51.71	50.24(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	100	-0	-56	0.32	50%	-0.04	73.7	3.42%	-1.6	-0.3	50	1
8	Feb_18_2020	46.58	50.88	51.98	51.06	50.84	51.64	52.3(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	100	16	-26	0.25	54%	0.09	73.8	3.42%	0.8	0.4	57	0.8
9	Feb_14_2020	46.54	50.37	52.41	51.34	50.62	50.49	51.2(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-60	-4	-10	0.24	54%	0.09	68.6	3.43%	1.4	0.2	53	0.9
10	Feb_13_2020	46.5	49.87	52.79	51.68	51.41	50.05	50.29(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-200	-19	15	0.39	54%	0.13	65.5	3.43%	-0.5	0.1	60	0.6

11	Feb_12_2020	46.44	49.42	52.85	51.96	52.06	50.76	49.7(-4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-17	-170	-33	32	0.33	54%	0.09	63.2	3.43%	-1.2	0.1	62	1
12	Feb_11_2020	46.4	48.97	53.09	52.06	52.31	52.77	51.81(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	80	-20	63	0.36	56%	0.19	61.3	3.38%	-1	0.5	67	0.1
13	Feb_10_2020	46.31	48.39	52.95	53.01	52.34	53.36	53.68(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	100	11	120	0.21	58%	0.22	66.1	3.35%	0.9	0.9	72	0.2
14	Feb_7_2020	46.21	47.71	52.67	53.71	52.75	51.86	52.91(2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	-170	-4	167	0.2	56%	0.2	70.6	3.35%	1.2	0.9	75	-0.1
15	Feb_6_2020	46.12	47.03	52.11	54.13	53.6	51.32	51.69(2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-330	-38	191	0.19	59%	0.2	73.1	3.4%	-0.5	0.8	75	0.2

16	Feb_5_2020	46.03	46.44	51.53	53.86	54.39	53.64	50.19(-11.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	26	-70	-35	207	0.62	59%	0.15	72.4	3.48%	-1.5	0.6	73	0.1
17	Feb_4_2020	45.96	45.85	51.06	54.15	54.38	55.88	56.57(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	105	210	40	298	0.42	60%	0.37	71	3.15%	0.6	1.7	89	-0.7
18	Feb_3_2020	45.79	44.88	49.75	52.82	53.1	55.15	57.17(3.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	118	290	63	283	0.3	60%	0.26	66.9	3.39%	1.3	2.1	91	-1.4
19	Jan_31_2020	45.67	43.92	48.14	51.53	51.46	52.88	55.02(9.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	106	190	54	260	0.44	54%	0.18	67.7	3.5%	1.4	2.1	89	-2.4
20	Jan_30_2020	45.59	43.04	46.66	49.88	50.47	51.05	50.36(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	91	120	40	243	0.45	52%	0.11	64.7	3.3%	0.2	1.6	88	-0.4

21	Jan_29_2020	45.54	42.46	45.68	48.84	49.15	50.04	51.64(3.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	77	150	30	219	0.23	52%	0.13	61.7	3.38%	2.2	2.1	87	-0.7
22	Jan_28_2020	45.48	41.84	44.46	47.45	48	49.89	49.92(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	93	310	54	210	0.25	51%	0.04	59.6	3.36%	0.5	2.1	88	-0.7
23	Jan_27_2020	45.46	41.29	43.42	46.15	46.62	48.25	50.7(8.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	106	280	74	200	0.35	51%	0	54.8	3.36%	1.6	2.8	91	-1.9
24	Jan_24_2020	45.46	40.66	42.27	44.25	44.78	46.11	46.78(3.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	77	240	50	158	0.4	46%	-0.09	46.7	3.2%	1.1	2.5	81	0
25	Jan_23_2020	45.5	40.25	41.47	42.96	43.31	45	45.18(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	72	300	52	132	0.35	43%		32.7	3.17%	0.5	2.4	79	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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