Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 15, 2019

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $59.3000 (1.66%) ($58.3000 - $61.0800) on Thu. Aug. 15, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.87% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $59.3000(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 10.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(59%)    VXX(56%)    TLT(32%)    IFRA(11%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    OIH(-90%)    XOP(-89%)    IWD(-80%)    IVE(-80%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.935% (StdDev 3.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.97(7.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.63(10.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.02(20.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   46.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 10.83% (three month std-dev: 3.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 5.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.67%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 11.93%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.28%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 15.58%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.65%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2019	44.33	49.02	53.63	54.97	55.49	58.03	59.3(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	105	350	76	190	0.17	59%	0.45	63.7	3.87%	0	1.9	75	-1.7
2	Aug_14_2019	44.13	48.24	52.4	53.08	53.37	54.85	58.33(12.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	210	41	158	0.2	58%	0.46	62.7	3.87%	0	2.1	75	-2.1
3	Aug_13_2019	43.93	47.5	50.98	52.35	52.15	52.95	51.95(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	100	6	152	0.16	55%	0.25	69.6	3.61%	0	1	72	-1
4	Aug_12_2019	43.82	47.04	50.18	52.65	52.81	51.89	53.5(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-110	7	168	0.09	55%	0.3	72.6	3.62%	0	1.5	74	-1.9
5	Aug_9_2019	43.69	46.43	49.33	52.62	52.88	51.36	51.76(3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-190	-30	167	0.12	55%	0.32	73.4	3.61%	0	1.3	71	-1.4

6	Aug_8_2019	43.55	45.86	48.61	52.03	53.34	53.72	49.86(-8.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	49	130	5	179	0.16	54%	0.28	68	3.58%	0	1	66	-1.1
7	Aug_7_2019	43.43	45.41	48.03	51.47	52.3	54.41	54.69(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	101	330	67	203	0.24	58%	0.35	62.1	3.39%	0	2.3	76	-1.9
8	Aug_6_2019	43.28	44.69	46.75	49.33	49.99	52.96	53.45(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	105	460	87	159	0.14	58%	0.32	50.9	3.39%	0	2.5	74	-2
9	Aug_5_2019	43.14	44.12	45.64	47.31	47.55	50.2	53.34(9.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	94	410	87	115	0.17	58%	0.3	43.3	3.39%	0	3.2	77	-3.5
10	Aug_2_2019	43.01	43.55	44.54	45.65	45.5	47.01	48.82(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	220	52	74	0.28	56%	0.19	42.7	3.22%	0	2.8	74	-2.3

11	Aug_1_2019	42.93	43.23	43.98	44.76	44.79	44.89	47.04(6.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	20	28	56	0.26	57%	0.14	36.1	3.26%	0	2.5	74	-2.3
12	Jul_31_2019	42.87	43.01	43.67	44.09	44.27	43.98	44.01(1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-30	-4	43	0.17	55%	0.02	32.7	3.17%	0	0.8	65	-0.5
13	Jul_30_2019	42.86	43	43.69	43.74	44.08	44.68	43.34(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	120	8	53	0.1	55%	0	22.9	3.26%	0	0.3	63	0.8
14	Jul_29_2019	42.86	42.92	43.65	43.63	43.58	44.55	45.02(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	150	27	59	0.07	57%	0	13.1	3.22%	0	1.7	59	1.4
15	Jul_26_2019	42.86	42.75	43.3	43.23	43.08	43.48	44.4(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	50	18	42	0.09	58%	0.02	2.6	3.21%	0	1.4	56	1.4

16	Jul_25_2019	42.85	42.69	42.92	43.09	42.86	42.61	43.7(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-60	-6	19	0.18	58%	0.05	-0.8	3.24%	0	0.9	53	1.1
17	Jul_24_2019	42.83	42.62	42.65	43.22	43.15	42.68	42.24(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-80	-19	9	0.19	59%	0.02	-14.1	3.21%	0	-0.3	45	1.6
18	Jul_23_2019	42.82	42.72	42.55	43.64	43.76	43.12	42.78(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-90	-9	12	0.09	59%	0.07	-10.4	3.27%	0	0.1	43	1.4
19	Jul_22_2019	42.79	42.75	42.54	43.65	43.89	43.63	43.04(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-20	-5	18	0.09	56%	0.05	-27.4	3.27%	0	0.2	57	1
20	Jul_19_2019	42.77	42.72	42.52	43.34	43.63	44.4	43.67(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	140	20	25	0.1	56%	0.02	-61.7	3.36%	0	0.8	59	0.8

21	Jul_18_2019	42.76	42.7	42.43	42.69	42.84	44.16	44.36(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	230	39	15	0.19	56%	0.07	-96.7	3.38%	0	1.4	53	1.1
22	Jul_17_2019	42.73	42.77	42.28	42	41.76	42.85	44.34(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	27	170	35	1	0.1	56%	0.05	-107.8	3.38%	0	1.1	57	1
23	Jul_16_2019	42.71	42.84	42.2	41.33	41.15	41.53	42.85(3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	50	14	-25	0.11	54%	0.05	-114.9	3.36%	0	0	43	1.4
24	Jul_15_2019	42.69	43.08	42.08	41.32	40.96	40.68	41.49(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-70	-11	-43	0.15	54%	-0.02	-92.4	3.35%	0	-0.8	42	1.5
25	Jul_12_2019	42.7	43.46	42.13	41.61	41.52	40.78	40.4(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-130	-20	-43	0.13	54%		-73	3.34%	0	-1.3	45	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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