Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $74.5709 (-1.63%) ($73.0913 - $76.5437) on Fri. Aug. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $74.5709(-1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(32%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(24%)    DIA(5%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-79%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.73(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.01(6.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.58(12%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 6.43% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 1.71%(48%) Average negative next day return: -2.32%(52%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 8.69%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -3.31%(58%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 6.74%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.22%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2017	63.65	66.58	70.01	72.73	72.83	74.66	74.57(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	90	180	56	190	0.22	61%	0.32	52.4	2.82%	0	1.9	89	0
2	Aug_17_2017	63.45	66.09	68.94	71.67	71.35	72.97	75.8(4.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	97	150	67	188	0.23	61%	0.32	51.1	2.81%	0	2.5	91	0
3	Aug_16_2017	63.25	65.44	67.77	70.06	69.88	70.99	72.8(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	80	100	51	167	0.13	59%	0.24	44.6	2.79%	0	2.3	90	0
4	Aug_15_2017	63.1	64.94	66.68	68.64	68.63	69.74	70.67(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	110	41	137	0.12	58%	0.17	31.5	2.77%	0	2.1	73	0
5	Aug_14_2017	62.99	64.67	65.75	67.69	67.42	68.77	69.79(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	130	40	114	0.17	58%	0.16	22.2	2.78%	0	2.1	72	0

6	Aug_11_2017	62.89	64.41	64.89	66.87	66.58	67.53	69.29(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	90	47	88	0.18	58%	0.18	7.6	2.78%	0	2.3	57	0
7	Aug_10_2017	62.78	64.16	64.09	65.78	65.76	66.08	67.76(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	30	22	46	0.15	55%	0.16	-17.9	2.77%	0	1.9	55	0
8	Aug_9_2017	62.68	64.04	63.44	65.14	65.16	65.63	65.69(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	50	17	25	0.13	53%	0.13	-35.7	2.8%	0	0.9	56	0
9	Aug_8_2017	62.6	64.09	63.18	64.4	64.62	65.45	65.89(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	100	33	18	0.15	53%	0.14	-44	2.82%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Aug_7_2017	62.51	64.14	62.89	63.49	63.78	64.69	65.69(2.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	26	110	36	-6	0.14	53%	0.14	-42.8	2.83%	0	0.7	47	0

11	Aug_4_2017	62.42	64.25	62.87	62.6	62.79	63.8	63.87(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	120	29	-23	0.2	52%	0.13	-46	2.88%	0	-0.2	45	0
12	Aug_3_2017	62.34	64.5	63	62.14	62.08	62.86	64.56(4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	90	30	-29	0.17	52%	0.16	-45.6	2.96%	0	0	48	0
13	Aug_2_2017	62.24	64.7	62.9	61.51	61.58	61.77	61.99(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	30	5	-57	0.26	50%	0.03	-50.4	2.92%	0	-1.1	36	0
14	Aug_1_2017	62.22	64.94	63.04	61.79	61.63	61.29	61.35(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-50	-10	-70	0.2	50%	0.08	-52.7	2.93%	0	-1.4	31	0
15	Jul_31_2017	62.17	65.05	63.52	62.2	61.99	61.4	61.21(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-80	-26	-73	0.18	50%	0.06	-61.6	2.95%	0	-1.6	30	0

16	Jul_28_2017	62.13	65.34	63.93	63.19	62.53	61.97	61.6(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-90	-30	-68	0.24	50%	0.06	-57.6	2.95%	0	-1.6	28	0
17	Jul_27_2017	62.09	65.66	64.29	63.99	63.57	62.59	61.4(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-130	-20	-63	0.27	52%	0.06	-56.1	2.95%	0	-2	26	0
18	Jul_26_2017	62.05	66	64.77	64.47	64.17	63.1	63.38(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-130	-25	-66	0.26	53%	0.15	-59.7	2.95%	0	-1.3	30	0
19	Jul_25_2017	61.96	66.29	65.13	64.45	64.23	64.55	63.42(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	20	-21	-65	0.2	53%	0.18	-54.1	2.95%	0	-1.5	41	0
20	Jul_24_2017	61.85	66.57	65.53	65	64.56	65.24	66.14(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	50	25	-26	0.14	56%	0.23	-37.3	2.93%	0	-0.2	62	0

21	Jul_21_2017	61.71	66.68	65.74	64.83	64.49	63.92	65.59(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-80	2	-34	0.19	56%	0.21	-27.1	2.94%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Jul_20_2017	61.58	66.88	66.08	64.7	64.52	63.87	63.82(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-80	-32	-46	0.29	56%	0.21	-19.7	2.92%	0	-1.5	42	0
23	Jul_19_2017	61.45	67.18	66.6	65.14	65.18	65.07	63.28(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10	-14	-29	0.34	58%	0.15	-2.7	2.92%	0	-2	40	0
24	Jul_18_2017	61.36	67.37	66.99	65.89	65.66	65.16	66.19(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-60	-7	-21	0.14	62%	0.2	22	2.91%	0	-0.7	43	0
25	Jul_17_2017	61.24	67.29	66.7	66.15	65.89	65.29	65.25(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-80	-30	-42	0.23	62%		28.2	2.92%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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