Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $69.2937 (2.26%) ($67.4196 - $69.3677) on Fri. Aug. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.78% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $69.2937(2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(32%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(24%)    DIA(5%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-79%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.39% (StdDev 2.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.87(3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.89(6.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.41(7.58%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 2.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.59%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.56%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.05%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.1%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.8%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2017	62.89	64.41	64.89	66.87	66.58	67.53	69.29(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	90	47	88	0.18	58%	0.18	7.6	2.78%	0	2.3	57	0
2	Aug_10_2017	62.78	64.16	64.09	65.78	65.76	66.08	67.76(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	30	22	46	0.15	55%	0.16	-17.9	2.77%	0	1.9	55	0
3	Aug_9_2017	62.68	64.04	63.44	65.14	65.16	65.63	65.69(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	50	17	25	0.13	53%	0.13	-35.7	2.8%	0	0.9	56	0
4	Aug_8_2017	62.6	64.09	63.18	64.4	64.62	65.45	65.89(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	100	33	18	0.15	53%	0.14	-44	2.82%	0	0.9	58	0
5	Aug_7_2017	62.51	64.14	62.89	63.49	63.78	64.69	65.69(2.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	26	110	36	-6	0.14	53%	0.14	-42.8	2.83%	0	0.7	47	0

6	Aug_4_2017	62.42	64.25	62.87	62.6	62.79	63.8	63.87(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	120	29	-23	0.2	52%	0.13	-46	2.88%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Aug_3_2017	62.34	64.5	63	62.14	62.08	62.86	64.56(4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	90	30	-29	0.17	52%	0.16	-45.6	2.96%	0	0	48	0
8	Aug_2_2017	62.24	64.7	62.9	61.51	61.58	61.77	61.99(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	30	5	-57	0.26	50%	0.03	-50.4	2.92%	0	-1.1	36	0
9	Aug_1_2017	62.22	64.94	63.04	61.79	61.63	61.29	61.35(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-50	-10	-70	0.2	50%	0.08	-52.7	2.93%	0	-1.4	31	0
10	Jul_31_2017	62.17	65.05	63.52	62.2	61.99	61.4	61.21(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-80	-26	-73	0.18	50%	0.06	-61.6	2.95%	0	-1.6	30	0

11	Jul_28_2017	62.13	65.34	63.93	63.19	62.53	61.97	61.6(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-90	-30	-68	0.24	50%	0.06	-57.6	2.95%	0	-1.6	28	0
12	Jul_27_2017	62.09	65.66	64.29	63.99	63.57	62.59	61.4(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-130	-20	-63	0.27	52%	0.06	-56.1	2.95%	0	-2	26	0
13	Jul_26_2017	62.05	66	64.77	64.47	64.17	63.1	63.38(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-130	-25	-66	0.26	53%	0.15	-59.7	2.95%	0	-1.3	30	0
14	Jul_25_2017	61.96	66.29	65.13	64.45	64.23	64.55	63.42(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	20	-21	-65	0.2	53%	0.18	-54.1	2.95%	0	-1.5	41	0
15	Jul_24_2017	61.85	66.57	65.53	65	64.56	65.24	66.14(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	50	25	-26	0.14	56%	0.23	-37.3	2.93%	0	-0.2	62	0

16	Jul_21_2017	61.71	66.68	65.74	64.83	64.49	63.92	65.59(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-80	2	-34	0.19	56%	0.21	-27.1	2.94%	0	-0.6	48	0
17	Jul_20_2017	61.58	66.88	66.08	64.7	64.52	63.87	63.82(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-80	-32	-46	0.29	56%	0.21	-19.7	2.92%	0	-1.5	42	0
18	Jul_19_2017	61.45	67.18	66.6	65.14	65.18	65.07	63.28(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10	-14	-29	0.34	58%	0.15	-2.7	2.92%	0	-2	40	0
19	Jul_18_2017	61.36	67.37	66.99	65.89	65.66	65.16	66.19(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-60	-7	-21	0.14	62%	0.2	22	2.91%	0	-0.7	43	0
20	Jul_17_2017	61.24	67.29	66.7	66.15	65.89	65.29	65.25(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-80	-30	-42	0.23	62%	0.18	28.2	2.92%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Jul_14_2017	61.13	67.2	66.87	66.81	66.69	66.15	64.95(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-60	-24	-34	0.16	62%	0.18	32.6	2.93%	0	-1.1	42	0
22	Jul_13_2017	61.02	67.28	67.16	67.68	67.58	66.5	66.04(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-120	-26	-26	0.22	64%	0.2	39.2	2.94%	0	-0.6	40	0
23	Jul_12_2017	60.9	67.23	67.37	68.27	68.38	67.22	67.03(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-110	-27	-22	0.26	64%	0.25	38.1	3%	0	-0.1	43	0
24	Jul_11_2017	60.75	66.98	67.57	68.22	68.68	68.66	67.47(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	20	2	-4	0.19	64%	0.12	24.3	3%	0	0.2	54	0
25	Jul_10_2017	60.68	66.76	67.7	67.28	67.97	69.54	68.55(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	190	30	5	0.19	64%		3.8	2.99%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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