Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $61.2547 (3.33%) ($60.4656 - $62.9315) on Thu. Apr. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.76% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $61.2547(3.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(32%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(23%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.38% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.11(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.59(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.42(6.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.46% (three month std-dev: 2.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.43%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.73%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.85%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.45%(91%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.44%(9%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2017	52.3	57.42	59.59	60.11	59.85	60.03	61.25(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	10	20	116	0.37	67%	0.29	21.3	2.76%	0	1.5	71	0
2	Apr_26_2017	52.15	57.11	58.94	59.96	59.83	59.02	59.28(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-100	-20	95	0.35	66%	0.23	15.8	2.76%	0	0.9	61	0
3	Apr_25_2017	52.03	57.03	58.44	60.34	60.2	59.66	58.59(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-70	-20	102	0.28	66%	0.21	20.4	2.76%	0	0.7	62	0
4	Apr_24_2017	51.92	57.09	58	60.36	60.33	60.65	60.22(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	40	12	110	0.29	63%	0.23	27	2.74%	0	1.3	61	0
5	Apr_21_2017	51.8	57.03	57.48	59.73	59.82	60.73	61.21(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	110	33	102	0.36	63%	0.23	26.5	2.77%	0	1.7	65	0

6	Apr_20_2017	51.68	56.88	56.78	58.97	58.84	60	60.51(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	130	46	88	0.4	63%	0.23	23.9	2.79%	0	1.6	65	0
7	Apr_19_2017	51.56	56.74	56.27	57.76	57.8	58.92	61.16(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	60	140	57	68	0.38	63%	0.04	15.9	2.79%	0	2.1	68	0
8	Apr_18_2017	51.54	56.55	55.62	56.29	56.35	57.68	58.69(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	170	42	21	0.26	61%	0.04	-6.2	2.75%	0	1.1	50	0
9	Apr_17_2017	51.52	56.43	55.34	55.3	55.35	56.68	57.06(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	31	170	46	-13	0.15	59%	0.06	-22.7	2.73%	0	0.3	37	0
10	Apr_13_2017	51.49	56.4	55.21	54.89	54.47	55.01	57.41(5.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	12	50	30	-41	0.33	59%	0.08	-32.1	2.74%	0	0.6	41	0

11	Apr_12_2017	51.45	56.34	55	54.29	54.11	54.02	54.5(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-20	-4	-82	0.29	56%	0	-43	2.67%	0	-1	34	0
12	Apr_11_2017	51.45	56.4	55.1	54.55	54.3	53.93	53.81(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-60	-10	-90	0.27	56%	-0.02	-45.2	2.67%	0	-1.4	35	0
13	Apr_10_2017	51.46	56.67	55.5	54.82	54.41	54.21	53.71(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-50	-22	-89	0.27	56%	-0.1	-30.9	2.7%	0	-1.7	35	0
14	Apr_7_2017	51.51	56.86	56.14	55.35	54.97	54.67	55.04(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-60	-7	-60	0.21	59%	-0.08	-12.3	2.73%	0	-1.1	46	0
15	Apr_6_2017	51.55	56.98	56.58	55.55	55.45	54.6	54.4(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-110	-19	-50	0.21	59%	-0.08	3.3	2.75%	0	-1.6	45	0

16	Apr_5_2017	51.59	57.13	57.04	55.8	55.78	55.27	55.78(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-70	-20	-38	0.56	59%	-0.02	21.8	2.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
17	Apr_4_2017	51.6	57.25	57.29	55.73	55.94	55.27	55.19(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	60	-9	-25	0.25	59%	-0.14	39.2	2.72%	0	-1.3	53	0
18	Apr_3_2017	51.67	57.22	57.59	56.28	56.13	56.3	56.32(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	10	-5	-17	0.34	59%	-0.14	41.9	2.71%	0	-0.5	41	0
19	Mar_31_2017	51.74	57.06	57.64	57.1	56.77	55.59	56.08(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-160	-29	-11	0.22	59%	-0.08	47.2	2.75%	0	-0.5	49	0
20	Mar_30_2017	51.78	56.93	57.71	57.81	57.97	55.97	55.63(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-230	-55	-9	0.31	59%	-0.1	48.4	2.77%	0	-0.6	47	0

21	Mar_29_2017	51.83	56.81	57.82	58.46	58.97	57.96	55.44(-4.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-35	-90	-48	5	0.33	59%	-0.17	48.4	2.77%	0	-0.6	47	0
22	Mar_28_2017	51.92	56.63	57.86	59.02	59.4	59.96	57.95(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	90	1	28	0.36	63%	-0.12	48.3	2.7%	0	0.5	50	0
23	Mar_27_2017	51.98	56.46	57.97	59.03	59.22	59.98	60.42(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	100	42	65	0.26	67%	-0.17	52.5	2.66%	0	1.5	70	0
24	Mar_24_2017	52.07	56.12	57.62	58.27	58.3	58.83	59.63(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	70	21	57	0.27	67%	-0.15	48.8	2.66%	0	1.5	72	0
25	Mar_23_2017	52.15	55.89	57.37	57.62	57.79	58.47	58.89(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	90	26	61	0.2	67%		49.8	2.68%	0	1.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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