Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $60.5149 (-1.05%) ($58.9865 - $60.8838) on Thu. Apr. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $60.5149(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(32%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(23%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.97(2.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.78(6.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.88(6.39%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.01% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.11%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.67%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.86%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2017	51.68	56.88	56.78	58.97	58.84	60	60.51(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	130	46	88	0.4	63%	0.23	23.9	2.79%	0	1.6	65	INF
2	Apr_19_2017	51.56	56.74	56.27	57.76	57.8	58.92	61.16(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	60	140	57	68	0.38	63%	0.04	15.9	2.79%	0	2.1	68	INF
3	Apr_18_2017	51.54	56.55	55.62	56.29	56.35	57.68	58.69(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	170	42	21	0.26	61%	0.04	-6.2	2.75%	0	1.1	50	INF
4	Apr_17_2017	51.52	56.43	55.34	55.3	55.35	56.68	57.06(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	31	170	46	-13	0.15	59%	0.06	-22.7	2.73%	0	0.3	37	INF
5	Apr_13_2017	51.49	56.4	55.21	54.89	54.47	55.01	57.41(5.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	12	50	30	-41	0.33	59%	0.08	-32.1	2.74%	0	0.6	41	INF

6	Apr_12_2017	51.45	56.34	55	54.29	54.11	54.02	54.5(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-20	-4	-82	0.29	56%	0	-43	2.67%	0	-1	34	INF
7	Apr_11_2017	51.45	56.4	55.1	54.55	54.3	53.93	53.81(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-60	-10	-90	0.27	56%	-0.02	-45.2	2.67%	0	-1.4	35	INF
8	Apr_10_2017	51.46	56.67	55.5	54.82	54.41	54.21	53.71(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-50	-22	-89	0.27	56%	-0.1	-30.9	2.7%	0	-1.7	35	INF
9	Apr_7_2017	51.51	56.86	56.14	55.35	54.97	54.67	55.04(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-60	-7	-60	0.21	59%	-0.08	-12.3	2.73%	0	-1.1	46	INF
10	Apr_6_2017	51.55	56.98	56.58	55.55	55.45	54.6	54.4(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-110	-19	-50	0.21	59%	-0.08	3.3	2.75%	0	-1.6	45	INF

11	Apr_5_2017	51.59	57.13	57.04	55.8	55.78	55.27	55.78(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-70	-20	-38	0.56	59%	-0.02	21.8	2.72%	0	-0.9	50	INF
12	Apr_4_2017	51.6	57.25	57.29	55.73	55.94	55.27	55.19(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	60	-9	-25	0.25	59%	-0.14	39.2	2.72%	0	-1.3	53	INF
13	Apr_3_2017	51.67	57.22	57.59	56.28	56.13	56.3	56.32(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	10	-5	-17	0.34	59%	-0.14	41.9	2.71%	0	-0.5	41	INF
14	Mar_31_2017	51.74	57.06	57.64	57.1	56.77	55.59	56.08(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-160	-29	-11	0.22	59%	-0.08	47.2	2.75%	0	-0.5	49	INF
15	Mar_30_2017	51.78	56.93	57.71	57.81	57.97	55.97	55.63(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-230	-55	-9	0.31	59%	-0.1	48.4	2.77%	0	-0.6	47	INF

16	Mar_29_2017	51.83	56.81	57.82	58.46	58.97	57.96	55.44(-4.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-35	-90	-48	5	0.33	59%	-0.17	48.4	2.77%	0	-0.6	47	INF
17	Mar_28_2017	51.92	56.63	57.86	59.02	59.4	59.96	57.95(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	90	1	28	0.36	63%	-0.12	48.3	2.7%	0	0.5	50	INF
18	Mar_27_2017	51.98	56.46	57.97	59.03	59.22	59.98	60.42(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	100	42	65	0.26	67%	-0.17	52.5	2.66%	0	1.5	70	INF
19	Mar_24_2017	52.07	56.12	57.62	58.27	58.3	58.83	59.63(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	70	21	57	0.27	67%	-0.15	48.8	2.66%	0	1.5	72	INF
20	Mar_23_2017	52.15	55.89	57.37	57.62	57.79	58.47	58.89(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	90	26	61	0.2	67%	-0.17	49.8	2.68%	0	1.3	68	INF

21	Mar_22_2017	52.24	55.63	57.18	57.12	57.17	57.78	58.2(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	80	27	68	0.29	67%	-0.15	53.6	2.68%	0	1.2	68	INF
22	Mar_21_2017	52.32	55.44	57.15	56.54	56.51	57.12	58(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	70	9	75	0.24	67%	-0.17	55.9	2.69%	0	1.2	71	INF
23	Mar_20_2017	52.41	55.14	56.77	56.79	56.38	56.56	56.62(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	0	5	80	0.23	67%	-0.15	64.9	2.68%	0	0.7	56	INF
24	Mar_17_2017	52.49	54.98	56.4	56.89	56.94	55.9	56.42(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-130	-12	73	0.17	67%	-0.13	73.4	2.67%	0	0.7	58	INF
25	Mar_16_2017	52.56	54.78	56.09	57.08	57.24	56.21	56.37(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-120	-38	60	0.29	67%		77.3	2.69%	0	0.7	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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