Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $54.5472 (4.73%) ($52.7717 - $54.6459) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.11% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $54.5472(4.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(22%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-89%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.55(3.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.87(5.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.34(6.25%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(59%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.46%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2017	53.61	51.34	51.87	52.55	52.54	52.78	54.55(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	30	24	22	0.15	60%	-0.15	51.6	3.11%	0	1.7	54	0
2	Feb_21_2017	53.69	51.03	51.75	51.6	51.67	52.56	52.08(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	120	13	6	0.18	50%	-0.32	39.5	3.05%	0	0.6	52	0
3	Feb_17_2017	53.86	50.92	51.7	51.24	51.26	52.3	53.31(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	140	38	9	0.2	50%	-0.2	37.2	3.14%	0	1.3	56	0
4	Feb_16_2017	53.97	50.67	51.4	50.67	50.59	50.77	52.43(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	20	13	-9	0.21	50%	-0.2	30.3	3.14%	0	1	62	0
5	Feb_15_2017	54.08	50.5	51.31	50.5	50.36	50.23	50.4(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-30	-15	-10	0.13	40%	-0.42	30.7	3.11%	0	-0.1	63	0

6	Feb_14_2017	54.31	50.4	51.53	51.1	50.81	50.41	49.76(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-70	-20	18	0.16	40%	-0.42	36	3.27%	0	-0.3	61	0
7	Feb_13_2017	54.54	50.32	51.73	51.92	51.84	50.5	50.31(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-190	-20	46	0.15	40%	-0.37	47.7	3.27%	0	-0	59	0
8	Feb_10_2017	54.74	50.24	51.88	52.2	52.48	51.22	50.45(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-150	-30	53	0.21	44%	-0.33	57.9	3.35%	0	0.1	53	0
9	Feb_9_2017	54.92	50.14	51.77	52.17	52.63	53.19	51.59(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	100	-6	65	0.23	41%	-0.31	62.7	3.34%	0	0.7	61	0
10	Feb_8_2017	55.09	49.95	51.4	52.19	52.33	53.74	53.41(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	200	31	77	0.39	44%	-0.36	67.2	3.37%	0	1.7	64	0

11	Feb_7_2017	55.29	49.72	50.83	52.04	51.82	52.07	53.86(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	20	25	72	0.2	40%	-0.32	81.8	3.37%	0	2.2	67	0
12	Feb_6_2017	55.47	49.41	50.26	51.58	51.5	50.91	51.69(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-80	-11	50	0.14	36%	-0.36	89	3.41%	0	1.4	64	0
13	Feb_3_2017	55.67	49.13	50.07	51.55	51.7	51.56	50.31(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10	-4	59	0.22	36%	-0.36	83.7	3.4%	0	0.7	57	0
14	Feb_2_2017	55.87	48.92	49.89	51.28	51.69	52.08	51.69(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	80	22	66	0.17	39%	-0.39	74.6	3.39%	0	1.5	63	0
15	Feb_1_2017	56.09	48.62	49.61	50.43	50.78	51.84	52.67(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	170	30	57	0.25	39%	-0.3	63.6	3.42%	0	2.3	69	0

16	Jan_31_2017	56.26	48.25	49.12	49.41	49.63	51.3	51.54(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	39	250	40	37	0.17	39%	-0.23	52.4	3.41%	0	2	57	0
17	Jan_30_2017	56.39	48.01	48.74	48.76	48.61	49.71	51.54(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	150	34	21	0.27	39%	-0.27	52.3	3.44%	0	2.4	62	0
18	Jan_27_2017	56.54	47.75	48.41	48.44	48.1	47.96	48.97(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-40	6	13	0.17	35%	-0.21	59.6	3.37%	0	1	63	0
19	Jan_26_2017	56.66	47.62	48.34	48.33	48.33	47.51	47.45(-0.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-10	-120	-17	10	0.1	35%	-0.32	60.2	3.34%	0	-0.1	59	0
20	Jan_25_2017	56.84	47.51	48.38	48.63	48.57	48.24	47.54(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-50	-17	23	0.18	35%	-0.32	63.8	3.34%	0	0	60	0

21	Jan_24_2017	57.02	47.4	48.55	48.74	48.77	49.15	48.28(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	60	6	49	0.17	35%	-0.16	61.8	3.35%	0	0.6	65	0
22	Jan_23_2017	57.11	47.25	48.53	48.65	48.67	48.9	49.96(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	30	15	55	0.24	37%	-0.35	57.7	3.33%	0	1.9	62	0
23	Jan_20_2017	57.31	47.02	48.13	48.39	48.27	48.39	48.43(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	10	-1	42	0.13	37%	-0.42	53	3.32%	0	1.1	58	0
24	Jan_19_2017	57.55	46.89	47.9	48.36	48.37	48.45	48.95(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	10	45	0.16	34%	-0.38	59.5	3.31%	0	1.5	63	0
25	Jan_18_2017	57.77	46.72	47.58	48.11	48.15	48.14	48.09(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	0	-5	37	0.12	34%		59.3	3.34%	0	1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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