Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $53.8568 (4.2%) ($51.6862 - $54.6779) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $53.8568(4.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(30%)    UUP(22%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-79%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.04(3.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.83(5.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.72(8.32%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.65%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.94%(59%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 2.83%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(69%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 4.05%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.22%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2017	55.29	49.72	50.83	52.04	51.82	52.07	53.86(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	20	25	72	0.2	40%	-0.32	81.8	3.37%	0	2.2	67	INF
2	Feb_6_2017	55.47	49.41	50.26	51.58	51.5	50.91	51.69(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-80	-11	50	0.14	36%	-0.36	89	3.41%	0	1.4	64	INF
3	Feb_3_2017	55.67	49.13	50.07	51.55	51.7	51.56	50.31(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10	-4	59	0.22	36%	-0.36	83.7	3.4%	0	0.7	57	INF
4	Feb_2_2017	55.87	48.92	49.89	51.28	51.69	52.08	51.69(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	80	22	66	0.17	39%	-0.39	74.6	3.39%	0	1.5	63	INF
5	Feb_1_2017	56.09	48.62	49.61	50.43	50.78	51.84	52.67(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	170	30	57	0.25	39%	-0.3	63.6	3.42%	0	2.3	69	INF

6	Jan_31_2017	56.26	48.25	49.12	49.41	49.63	51.3	51.54(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	39	250	40	37	0.17	39%	-0.23	52.4	3.41%	0	2	57	INF
7	Jan_30_2017	56.39	48.01	48.74	48.76	48.61	49.71	51.54(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	150	34	21	0.27	39%	-0.27	52.3	3.44%	0	2.4	62	INF
8	Jan_27_2017	56.54	47.75	48.41	48.44	48.1	47.96	48.97(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-40	6	13	0.17	35%	-0.21	59.6	3.37%	0	1	63	INF
9	Jan_26_2017	56.66	47.62	48.34	48.33	48.33	47.51	47.45(-0.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-10	-120	-17	10	0.1	35%	-0.32	60.2	3.34%	0	-0.1	59	INF
10	Jan_25_2017	56.84	47.51	48.38	48.63	48.57	48.24	47.54(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-50	-17	23	0.18	35%	-0.32	63.8	3.34%	0	0	60	INF

11	Jan_24_2017	57.02	47.4	48.55	48.74	48.77	49.15	48.28(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	60	6	49	0.17	35%	-0.16	61.8	3.35%	0	0.6	65	INF
12	Jan_23_2017	57.11	47.25	48.53	48.65	48.67	48.9	49.96(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	30	15	55	0.24	37%	-0.35	57.7	3.33%	0	1.9	62	INF
13	Jan_20_2017	57.31	47.02	48.13	48.39	48.27	48.39	48.43(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	10	-1	42	0.13	37%	-0.42	53	3.32%	0	1.1	58	INF
14	Jan_19_2017	57.55	46.89	47.9	48.36	48.37	48.45	48.95(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	10	45	0.16	34%	-0.38	59.5	3.31%	0	1.5	63	INF
15	Jan_18_2017	57.77	46.72	47.58	48.11	48.15	48.14	48.09(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	0	-5	37	0.12	34%	-0.35	59.3	3.34%	0	1	66	INF

16	Jan_17_2017	57.97	46.56	47.33	48.34	48.14	48.3	47.84(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	10	0	46	0.12	34%	-0.5	63.8	3.34%	0	1	63	INF
17	Jan_13_2017	58.26	46.45	47.24	48.36	48.31	48.15	48.63(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-30	12	60	0.1	34%	-0.34	62.9	3.33%	0	1.7	68	INF
18	Jan_12_2017	58.46	46.32	47.04	47.82	47.99	47.98	48.28(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	3	50	0.22	34%	-0.32	53.7	3.33%	0	1.6	63	INF
19	Jan_11_2017	58.65	46.08	46.83	47.35	47.57	48.46	47.69(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	140	18	47	0.39	34%	-0.32	28	3.33%	0	1.5	58	INF
20	Jan_10_2017	58.84	45.94	46.56	46.95	46.96	48	49.27(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	38	160	36	44	0.24	32%	-0.3	6.5	3.35%	0	2.8	68	INF

21	Jan_9_2017	59.02	45.75	46.14	46.18	46.2	46.69	47.94(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	19	80	18	22	0.26	32%	-0.29	-30.8	3.37%	0	2.4	67	INF
22	Jan_6_2017	59.19	45.65	45.84	46	45.74	45.91	45.92(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	10	-1	9	0.16	28%	-0.32	-64	3.32%	0	0.4	52	INF
23	Jan_5_2017	59.38	45.69	45.8	46.15	45.95	45.71	45.92(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-50	-1	10	0.2	26%	-0.37	-75.3	3.32%	0	0.3	48	INF
24	Jan_4_2017	59.6	45.78	45.81	46.23	46.15	45.56	45.72(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-90	-7	18	0.18	26%	-0.4	-126	3.36%	0	-0.1	63	INF
25	Jan_3_2017	59.84	45.87	45.79	46.07	46.13	46.2	45.42(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	10	-6	17	0.43	26%		-152.2	3.38%	0	-0.5	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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