Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $75.3600 (-3.35%) ($74.8224 - $79.2069) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $75.3600(-3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(31%)    UUP(22%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-90%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

Resistance Level   $79.87
5 Day Moving Average   $79.53(-5.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.78(-4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.87(-5.65%)
To recent high   -36.1%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.21%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 4.5%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.75%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 6.85%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.46%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2016	107.23	79.87	78.78	79.53	79.67	77.15	75.36(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-220	-40	-18	0.53	27%	-0.74	-45.2	3.52%	0	-1.4	39	0
2	Jun_20_2016	108.03	80.41	78.64	80.65	80.72	78.77	77.97(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-170	-62	-33	0.3	27%	-0.64	-35.8	3.51%	0	-0.7	42	0
3	Jun_17_2016	108.73	80.77	78.68	81.2	81.81	82.2	80.14(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	60	-6	-10	0.39	27%	-0.74	-37.1	3.5%	0	-0.2	47	0
4	Jun_16_2016	109.54	81.09	78.95	81.11	81.8	82.67	82.61(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	100	41	10	0.69	27%	-0.87	-35.7	3.51%	0	0.4	51	0
5	Jun_15_2016	110.5	81.27	78.89	79.53	80.39	81.41	81.57(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	21	120	31	-9	0.37	27%	-0.84	-45.9	3.56%	0	0.1	52	0

6	Jun_14_2016	111.44	81.41	78.88	77.91	78.91	80.93	80.93(0.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	34	220	53	-24	0.54	27%	-1.05	-60.5	3.56%	0	-0.1	42	0
7	Jun_13_2016	112.62	81.65	79	76.33	76.65	79.37	80.74(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	24	260	49	-50	0.4	27%	-0.82	-77.2	3.58%	0	-0.2	40	0
8	Jun_10_2016	113.55	82.1	79.05	75.84	75.37	76.88	79.7(6.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	120	31	-68	0.44	25%	-1.06	-73.4	3.69%	0	-0.5	39	0
9	Jun_9_2016	114.77	82.46	79.24	76.6	75.83	73.94	74.72(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-200	-28	-97	0.32	18%	-1.26	-70.5	3.57%	0	-1.7	24	0
10	Jun_8_2016	116.24	83.14	79.9	78.23	77.85	73.87	73.49(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-96	-370	-89	-115	0.53	30%	-1.12	-69.1	3.61%	0	-2.2	20	0

11	Jun_7_2016	117.56	83.93	81.07	79.98	80.71	77.72	72.99(-6.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-82	-230	-80	-87	0.46	27%	-0.39	-65.7	3.97%	0	-2.8	28	0
12	Jun_6_2016	118.02	84.98	82.43	81.92	82.83	81.84	78.32(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-50	-31	-49	0.39	29%	-0.97	-44.5	3.97%	0	-1.9	33	0
13	Jun_3_2016	119.18	85.57	83.17	82.6	83.23	83.71	83.5(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	60	2	-38	0.31	32%	-0.79	-31.5	3.92%	0	-0.6	32	0
14	Jun_2_2016	120.13	85.84	83.48	82.28	83	83.82	82.86(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	100	22	-34	0.33	29%	-1.01	-23.4	3.95%	0	-0.9	41	0
15	Jun_1_2016	121.35	86.26	83.88	81.88	82.21	82.75	82.22(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	60	7	-44	0.31	27%	-0.89	-8.4	4.04%	0	-1.2	38	0

16	May_31_2016	122.44	86.55	84.15	82.42	81.77	82.18	82.71(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	10	-3	-51	0.37	29%	-1.34	2.9	4.01%	0	-1.2	37	0
17	May_27_2016	124.1	86.56	84.48	83.1	82.53	81.67	81.7(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-90	-8	-57	0.34	27%	-0.74	2.3	4.13%	0	-1.4	28	0
18	May_26_2016	125.02	86.61	85.34	83.85	83.54	81.36	81.92(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-190	-41	-63	0.29	27%	-0.63	5.7	4.16%	0	-1.4	38	0
19	May_25_2016	125.81	86.62	85.89	84.88	85	83.39	80.88(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-130	-47	-59	0.39	27%	-0.51	5.4	4.16%	0	-1.5	38	0
20	May_24_2016	126.45	86.54	86.63	86.12	86.75	85.71	84.88(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-60	-13	-41	0.33	28%	-0.47	4.9	4.13%	0	-0.4	39	0

21	May_23_2016	127.05	86.45	87.02	86.09	87.09	86.62	86.11(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-0	-11	-39	0.22	35%	-0.34	-2.6	4.14%	0	-0.1	49	0
22	May_20_2016	127.48	86.48	87.72	86.07	86.73	87.78	85.47(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	110	-3	-19	0.21	33%	-0.48	-11.5	4.4%	0	-0.3	58	0
23	May_19_2016	128.09	86.41	88.17	87.08	86.69	87.57	87.05(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	60	21	11	0.49	33%	-0.47	-22.2	4.43%	0	0.2	61	0
24	May_18_2016	128.7	86.42	88.38	87.1	86.74	85.67	87.1(2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-100	-3	13	0.51	33%	-0.43	-31.3	4.44%	0	0.2	62	0
25	May_17_2016	129.26	86.37	88.8	87.27	86.79	85.8	84.73(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-100	-33	22	0.57	30%		-41.2	4.45%	0	-0.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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