Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $93.6082 (4.11%) ($90.7477 - $97.0605) on Mon. May. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.64% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $93.6082(4.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(31%)    UUP(22%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.32% (StdDev 4.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.31(3.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.91(8.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.33(5.98%)
To recent high   -48.1%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 7.81% (three month std-dev: 4.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.32%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 16.21%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.56%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2016	132.7	88.33	85.91	90.31	90.09	91.43	93.61(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	100	50	57	0.52	35%	-0.51	-62.2	4.64%	0	0.8	55	0
2	May_6_2016	133.38	88.86	85.11	87.97	88.44	88.89	89.91(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	50	22	15	0.53	35%	-0.48	-69.2	4.68%	0	0.1	44	0
3	May_5_2016	134.02	89.53	84.44	86.3	86.61	88.74	89.02(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	180	27	-17	0.61	38%	-0.4	-67.5	4.71%	0	-0.1	38	0
4	May_4_2016	134.56	90.58	84.2	84.72	84.92	87.99	91.39(4.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	44	260	66	-23	0.55	38%	-0.36	-64.5	4.81%	0	0.1	45	0
5	May_3_2016	135.04	91.44	83.56	81.98	82.48	84.47	87.64(7.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	190	44	-67	0.62	35%	-0.48	-62.2	4.77%	0	-0.3	41	0

6	May_2_2016	135.69	92.84	83.54	80.94	80.68	81.85	81.87(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	90	7	-100	0.55	36%	-0.53	-57.8	4.83%	0	-0.9	32	0
7	Apr_29_2016	136.41	94.48	84.68	81.89	81.04	80.48	81.57(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-80	0	-106	0.78	34%	-0.42	-53.8	5.03%	0	-1	25	0
8	Apr_28_2016	136.99	96.06	86.33	82.32	82.23	79.51	81.13(4.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-230	-34	-122	0.54	32%	-0.44	-53	5.12%	0	-1.2	27	0
9	Apr_27_2016	137.59	97.46	87.7	83.59	83.57	81.61	77.68(-5.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-73	-160	-51	-137	0.84	32%	-0.51	-53.2	5.18%	0	-1.6	19	0
10	Apr_26_2016	138.29	99.08	89.57	85.26	85.4	84.96	82.46(-4.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-30	-17	-128	0.36	31%	-0.44	-52.1	5.16%	0	-1.5	23	0

11	Apr_25_2016	138.9	100.48	91.06	86.45	86.36	85.54	86.6(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-70	-16	-137	0.42	37%	-0.29	-50	5.29%	0	-1.3	22	0
12	Apr_22_2016	139.31	101.72	92.97	87.95	87.54	85.85	83.74(-4.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-150	-44	-141	0.47	34%	-0.3	-44.6	5.58%	0	-1.7	21	0
13	Apr_21_2016	139.73	103.07	95.11	91	91.21	87.18	87.44(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-300	-38	-126	0.41	33%	-0.21	-37.7	5.77%	0	-1.6	26	0
14	Apr_20_2016	140.03	104.29	97.53	92.52	94.06	89.23	86.06(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-310	-68	-127	0.61	35%	-0.16	-34.3	5.84%	0	-2	31	0
15	Apr_19_2016	140.25	105.28	100	94.49	95.97	95.25	88.38(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10	-45	-105	0.47	37%	-0.15	-37.5	5.95%	0	-2.2	33	0

16	Apr_18_2016	140.46	106.12	102.93	96.25	97.53	98.9	94.1(-4.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	140	8	-68	0.74	38%	-0.13	-42.2	5.99%	0	-1.8	36	0
17	Apr_15_2016	140.64	106.57	105.07	98.77	97.87	96.68	99.03(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-110	-8	-59	0.34	40%	-0.3	-40.9	6.02%	0	-1.2	38	0
18	Apr_14_2016	141.07	106.8	106.51	99.99	99.53	96.16	95.04(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-250	-47	-65	0.31	38%	-0.1	-48.4	6.11%	0	-1.9	35	0
19	Apr_13_2016	141.21	107.44	108	103.44	102.13	99.05	95.88(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-57	-250	-58	-54	0.34	40%	-0.07	-47.5	6.29%	0	-2.1	34	0
20	Apr_12_2016	141.31	108.32	109.44	106.38	105.99	102.91	97.21(-8.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-210	-44	-31	0.79	40%	-0.12	-48.8	6.37%	0	-2.2	47	0

21	Apr_11_2016	141.48	109.09	110.8	110.52	109.06	105.2	106.68(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-290	-52	-9	0.3	43%	-0.06	-30.7	6.29%	0	-0.6	59	0
22	Apr_8_2016	141.57	109.24	111.26	112.31	112.34	109.08	105.15(-6.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-31	-200	-45	10	0.54	43%	-0.05	-30.5	6.35%	0	-0.9	59	0
23	Apr_7_2016	141.64	109.89	111.77	113.96	114.46	112.92	112.3(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-80	-21	34	0.48	46%	0.04	-23	6.33%	0	0.5	68	0
24	Apr_6_2016	141.59	110.16	111.62	113.25	114.82	115.6	110.57(-6.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	90	3	45	0.51	48%	-0.02	-34.1	6.4%	0	0.1	57	0
25	Apr_5_2016	141.62	110.82	111.02	112.88	113.7	116	117.92(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	160	31	47	0.44	48%		-40.6	6.54%	0	1.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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