Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $81.1304 (4.44%) ($77.0418 - $81.9688) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $81.1304(4.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(31%)    UUP(22%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $64.28(-20.77%)
Resistance Level   $96.06
5 Day Moving Average   $82.32(-1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.33(-6.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.06(-15.54%)
To recent high   -55%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 12.83% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 4.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.36%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 6.06%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.36%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 7.22%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.17%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2016	136.99	96.06	86.33	82.32	82.23	79.51	81.13(4.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-230	-34	-122	0.54	32%	-0.44	-53	5.12%	0	-1.2	27	0
2	Apr_27_2016	137.59	97.46	87.7	83.59	83.57	81.61	77.68(-5.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-73	-160	-51	-137	0.84	32%	-0.51	-53.2	5.18%	0	-1.6	19	0
3	Apr_26_2016	138.29	99.08	89.57	85.26	85.4	84.96	82.46(-4.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-30	-17	-128	0.36	31%	-0.44	-52.1	5.16%	0	-1.5	23	0
4	Apr_25_2016	138.9	100.48	91.06	86.45	86.36	85.54	86.6(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-70	-16	-137	0.42	37%	-0.29	-50	5.29%	0	-1.3	22	0
5	Apr_22_2016	139.31	101.72	92.97	87.95	87.54	85.85	83.74(-4.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-150	-44	-141	0.47	34%	-0.3	-44.6	5.58%	0	-1.7	21	0

6	Apr_21_2016	139.73	103.07	95.11	91	91.21	87.18	87.44(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-300	-38	-126	0.41	33%	-0.21	-37.7	5.77%	0	-1.6	26	0
7	Apr_20_2016	140.03	104.29	97.53	92.52	94.06	89.23	86.06(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-310	-68	-127	0.61	35%	-0.16	-34.3	5.84%	0	-2	31	0
8	Apr_19_2016	140.25	105.28	100	94.49	95.97	95.25	88.38(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10	-45	-105	0.47	37%	-0.15	-37.5	5.95%	0	-2.2	33	0
9	Apr_18_2016	140.46	106.12	102.93	96.25	97.53	98.9	94.1(-4.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	140	8	-68	0.74	38%	-0.13	-42.2	5.99%	0	-1.8	36	0
10	Apr_15_2016	140.64	106.57	105.07	98.77	97.87	96.68	99.03(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-110	-8	-59	0.34	40%	-0.3	-40.9	6.02%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Apr_14_2016	141.07	106.8	106.51	99.99	99.53	96.16	95.04(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-250	-47	-65	0.31	38%	-0.1	-48.4	6.11%	0	-1.9	35	0
12	Apr_13_2016	141.21	107.44	108	103.44	102.13	99.05	95.88(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-57	-250	-58	-54	0.34	40%	-0.07	-47.5	6.29%	0	-2.1	34	0
13	Apr_12_2016	141.31	108.32	109.44	106.38	105.99	102.91	97.21(-8.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-210	-44	-31	0.79	40%	-0.12	-48.8	6.37%	0	-2.2	47	0
14	Apr_11_2016	141.48	109.09	110.8	110.52	109.06	105.2	106.68(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-290	-52	-9	0.3	43%	-0.06	-30.7	6.29%	0	-0.6	59	0
15	Apr_8_2016	141.57	109.24	111.26	112.31	112.34	109.08	105.15(-6.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-31	-200	-45	10	0.54	43%	-0.05	-30.5	6.35%	0	-0.9	59	0

16	Apr_7_2016	141.64	109.89	111.77	113.96	114.46	112.92	112.3(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-80	-21	34	0.48	46%	0.04	-23	6.33%	0	0.5	68	0
17	Apr_6_2016	141.59	110.16	111.62	113.25	114.82	115.6	110.57(-6.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	90	3	45	0.51	48%	-0.02	-34.1	6.4%	0	0.1	57	0
18	Apr_5_2016	141.62	110.82	111.02	112.88	113.7	116	117.92(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	160	31	47	0.44	48%	0.06	-40.6	6.54%	0	1.2	55	0
19	Apr_4_2016	141.53	110.44	109.5	111.17	111.17	114.04	115.6(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	180	25	30	0.43	48%	-0.05	-78.2	6.53%	0	0.9	54	0
20	Apr_1_2016	141.6	110.58	108.07	110.19	110.72	111.41	113.39(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	30	22	0.4	48%	-0.05	-97.6	6.53%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Mar_31_2016	141.67	110.99	106.94	109.38	109.83	108.3	108.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-90	-19	-14	0.44	48%	-0.03	-108.5	6.56%	0	-0.3	37	0
22	Mar_30_2016	141.71	111.93	106.69	109.77	110.78	110.02	108.75(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-20	-8	-18	0.48	48%	0.02	-104.5	6.56%	0	-0.4	37	0
23	Mar_29_2016	141.68	113.34	106.98	108.78	110.93	111.37	109.34(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	90	11	-25	0.52	48%	0.01	-92.3	6.58%	0	-0.4	32	0
24	Mar_28_2016	141.66	115.23	107.15	107.46	108.95	111.54	110.72(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	210	22	-26	0.31	48%	0.35	-71.7	6.58%	0	-0.4	51	0
25	Mar_24_2016	141.17	116.89	106.95	105.56	107.03	110.48	109.34(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	28	270	48	-32	0.54	48%		-63.5	6.62%	0	-0.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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