Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $88.3803 (-6.08%) ($88.1830 - $93.8548) on Tue. Apr. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.95% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $88.3803(-6.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(31%)    UUP(21%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.975% (StdDev 5.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.6%

Resistance Level   $105.28
5 Day Moving Average   $94.49(-6.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100(-11.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.28(-16.05%)
To recent high   -59.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 7.47% (three month std-dev: 5.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.61%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.45%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -4.15%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.69%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.14%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2016	140.25	105.28	100	94.49	95.97	95.25	88.38(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10	-45	-105	0.47	37%	-0.15	-37.5	5.95%	0	-2.2	33	0
2	Apr_18_2016	140.46	106.12	102.93	96.25	97.53	98.9	94.1(-4.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	140	8	-68	0.74	38%	-0.13	-42.2	5.99%	0	-1.8	36	0
3	Apr_15_2016	140.64	106.57	105.07	98.77	97.87	96.68	99.03(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-110	-8	-59	0.34	40%	-0.3	-40.9	6.02%	0	-1.2	38	0
4	Apr_14_2016	141.07	106.8	106.51	99.99	99.53	96.16	95.04(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-250	-47	-65	0.31	38%	-0.1	-48.4	6.11%	0	-1.9	35	0
5	Apr_13_2016	141.21	107.44	108	103.44	102.13	99.05	95.88(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-57	-250	-58	-54	0.34	40%	-0.07	-47.5	6.29%	0	-2.1	34	0

6	Apr_12_2016	141.31	108.32	109.44	106.38	105.99	102.91	97.21(-8.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-210	-44	-31	0.79	40%	-0.12	-48.8	6.37%	0	-2.2	47	0
7	Apr_11_2016	141.48	109.09	110.8	110.52	109.06	105.2	106.68(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-290	-52	-9	0.3	43%	-0.06	-30.7	6.29%	0	-0.6	59	0
8	Apr_8_2016	141.57	109.24	111.26	112.31	112.34	109.08	105.15(-6.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-31	-200	-45	10	0.54	43%	-0.05	-30.5	6.35%	0	-0.9	59	0
9	Apr_7_2016	141.64	109.89	111.77	113.96	114.46	112.92	112.3(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-80	-21	34	0.48	46%	0.04	-23	6.33%	0	0.5	68	0
10	Apr_6_2016	141.59	110.16	111.62	113.25	114.82	115.6	110.57(-6.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	90	3	45	0.51	48%	-0.02	-34.1	6.4%	0	0.1	57	0

11	Apr_5_2016	141.62	110.82	111.02	112.88	113.7	116	117.92(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	160	31	47	0.44	48%	0.06	-40.6	6.54%	0	1.2	55	0
12	Apr_4_2016	141.53	110.44	109.5	111.17	111.17	114.04	115.6(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	180	25	30	0.43	48%	-0.05	-78.2	6.53%	0	0.9	54	0
13	Apr_1_2016	141.6	110.58	108.07	110.19	110.72	111.41	113.39(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	30	22	0.4	48%	-0.05	-97.6	6.53%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Mar_31_2016	141.67	110.99	106.94	109.38	109.83	108.3	108.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-90	-19	-14	0.44	48%	-0.03	-108.5	6.56%	0	-0.3	37	0
15	Mar_30_2016	141.71	111.93	106.69	109.77	110.78	110.02	108.75(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-20	-8	-18	0.48	48%	0.02	-104.5	6.56%	0	-0.4	37	0

16	Mar_29_2016	141.68	113.34	106.98	108.78	110.93	111.37	109.34(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	90	11	-25	0.52	48%	0.01	-92.3	6.58%	0	-0.4	32	0
17	Mar_28_2016	141.66	115.23	107.15	107.46	108.95	111.54	110.72(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	210	22	-26	0.31	48%	0.35	-71.7	6.58%	0	-0.4	51	0
18	Mar_24_2016	141.17	116.89	106.95	105.56	107.03	110.48	109.34(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	28	270	48	-32	0.54	48%	0.08	-63.5	6.62%	0	-0.5	43	0
19	Mar_23_2016	141.06	118.75	107.75	104.13	104.16	106.36	110.72(6.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	150	29	-49	0.54	46%	0.1	-62.4	6.63%	0	-0.5	41	0
20	Mar_22_2016	140.92	120.57	108.43	103.28	102.88	103.59	103.77(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	40	2	-69	0.38	45%	-0.01	-58.9	6.77%	0	-1	32	0

21	Mar_21_2016	140.93	123.01	110.49	105.04	103.99	101.96	102.74(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-170	-20	-80	0.37	45%	-0.07	-59.4	6.78%	0	-1.2	27	0
22	Mar_18_2016	141.03	124.92	111.44	106.85	107.03	102.18	101.25(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-310	-45	-107	0.52	46%	-0.11	-62.8	6.78%	0	-1.4	22	0
23	Mar_17_2016	141.18	127.44	113.35	108.47	109.9	106.02	102.19(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-210	-61	-123	0.46	47%	-0.11	-68.7	6.82%	0	-1.5	26	0
24	Mar_16_2016	141.33	129.9	115.5	111.8	112.02	111.88	106.43(-5.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-0	-33	-114	0.43	47%	-0.14	-74.5	6.87%	0	-1.4	27	0
25	Mar_15_2016	141.53	131.91	117.74	114.29	115.01	113.79	112.6(0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-60	1	-104	0.37	46%		-78	6.84%	0	-1.2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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