Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $110.5740 (-6.23%) ($110.3274 - $117.7747) on Wed. Apr. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.4% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $110.5740(-6.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(31%)    UUP(21%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -3.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.2% (StdDev 6.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.25(-2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.62(-0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.16(0.38%)
To recent high   -49.5%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.63% (three month std-dev: 6.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20160506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2016	141.59	110.16	111.62	113.25	114.82	115.6	110.57(-6.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	90	3	45	0.51	48%	-0.02	-34.1	6.4%	0	0.1	57	INF
2	Apr_5_2016	141.62	110.82	111.02	112.88	113.7	116	117.92(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	160	31	47	0.44	48%	0.06	-40.6	6.54%	0	1.2	55	INF
3	Apr_4_2016	141.53	110.44	109.5	111.17	111.17	114.04	115.6(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	180	25	30	0.43	48%	-0.05	-78.2	6.53%	0	0.9	54	INF
4	Apr_1_2016	141.6	110.58	108.07	110.19	110.72	111.41	113.39(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	30	22	0.4	48%	-0.05	-97.6	6.53%	0	0.5	55	INF
5	Mar_31_2016	141.67	110.99	106.94	109.38	109.83	108.3	108.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-90	-19	-14	0.44	48%	-0.03	-108.5	6.56%	0	-0.3	37	INF

6	Mar_30_2016	141.71	111.93	106.69	109.77	110.78	110.02	108.75(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-20	-8	-18	0.48	48%	0.02	-104.5	6.56%	0	-0.4	37	INF
7	Mar_29_2016	141.68	113.34	106.98	108.78	110.93	111.37	109.34(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	90	11	-25	0.52	48%	0.01	-92.3	6.58%	0	-0.4	32	INF
8	Mar_28_2016	141.66	115.23	107.15	107.46	108.95	111.54	110.72(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	210	22	-26	0.31	48%	0.35	-71.7	6.58%	0	-0.4	51	INF
9	Mar_24_2016	141.17	116.89	106.95	105.56	107.03	110.48	109.34(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	28	270	48	-32	0.54	48%	0.08	-63.5	6.62%	0	-0.5	43	INF
10	Mar_23_2016	141.06	118.75	107.75	104.13	104.16	106.36	110.72(6.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	150	29	-49	0.54	46%	0.1	-62.4	6.63%	0	-0.5	41	INF

11	Mar_22_2016	140.92	120.57	108.43	103.28	102.88	103.59	103.77(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	40	2	-69	0.38	45%	-0.01	-58.9	6.77%	0	-1	32	INF
12	Mar_21_2016	140.93	123.01	110.49	105.04	103.99	101.96	102.74(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-170	-20	-80	0.37	45%	-0.07	-59.4	6.78%	0	-1.2	27	INF
13	Mar_18_2016	141.03	124.92	111.44	106.85	107.03	102.18	101.25(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-310	-45	-107	0.52	46%	-0.11	-62.8	6.78%	0	-1.4	22	INF
14	Mar_17_2016	141.18	127.44	113.35	108.47	109.9	106.02	102.19(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-210	-61	-123	0.46	47%	-0.11	-68.7	6.82%	0	-1.5	26	INF
15	Mar_16_2016	141.33	129.9	115.5	111.8	112.02	111.88	106.43(-5.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-0	-33	-114	0.43	47%	-0.14	-74.5	6.87%	0	-1.4	27	INF

16	Mar_15_2016	141.53	131.91	117.74	114.29	115.01	113.79	112.6(0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-60	1	-104	0.37	46%	-0.06	-78	6.84%	0	-1.2	29	INF
17	Mar_14_2016	141.62	134.3	120.29	116.85	116.1	112.16	111.76(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-260	-37	-117	0.43	46%	-0.01	-77.6	6.91%	0	-1.4	26	INF
18	Mar_11_2016	141.63	136.98	123.97	116.76	117.89	116.23	109.39(-7.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-70	-38	-112	0.53	48%	-0.01	-75.9	6.9%	0	-1.7	36	INF
19	Mar_10_2016	141.65	140.47	127.65	118.85	119.02	120.04	118.81(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	60	2	-90	0.46	49%	0	-63.1	6.98%	0	-1.2	35	INF
20	Mar_9_2016	141.65	143.37	130.56	119.75	118.89	119.55	118.91(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	20	-2	-90	0.49	49%	0.04	-54	6.99%	0	-1.3	36	INF

21	Mar_8_2016	141.6	146.2	133.56	121.76	120.94	118	125.37(12.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-190	-26	-92	0.49	49%	0.08	-49.9	6.97%	0	-1.1	42	INF
22	Mar_7_2016	141.49	148.17	136.34	124.6	125.06	118.23	111.31(-7.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-97	-370	-91	-115	0.48	49%	0.02	-45.5	6.79%	0	-2	26	INF
23	Mar_4_2016	141.46	150.83	139.49	132.43	132.21	123.88	119.85(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-101	-450	-99	-106	0.44	50%	0.08	-35.8	6.89%	0	-1.9	27	INF
24	Mar_3_2016	141.35	152.57	142.78	137.76	139.07	131.88	123.3(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-94	-330	-92	-101	0.39	52%	0.06	-33.5	6.88%	0	-2	25	INF
25	Mar_2_2016	141.27	154.13	145.7	142.86	143.29	140.54	128.97(-7.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-72	-130	-66	-89	0.41	53%		-36.3	6.9%	0	-1.9	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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