Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $110.7220 (6.7%) ($105.0010 - $111.2645) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.63% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $110.7220(6.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(31%)    UUP(22%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -3.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.315% (StdDev 6.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $85.57(-22.72%)
Resistance Level   $118.75
5 Day Moving Average   $104.13(6.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.75(2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.75(-6.76%)
To recent high   -49.4%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 13.76% (three month std-dev: 6.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.53%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.8%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.26%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2016	141.06	118.75	107.75	104.13	104.16	106.36	110.72(6.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	150	29	-49	0.54	46%	0.1	-62.4	6.63%	0	-0.5	41	INF
2	Mar_22_2016	140.92	120.57	108.43	103.28	102.88	103.59	103.77(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	40	2	-69	0.38	45%	-0.01	-58.9	6.77%	0	-1	32	INF
3	Mar_21_2016	140.93	123.01	110.49	105.04	103.99	101.96	102.74(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-170	-20	-80	0.37	45%	-0.07	-59.4	6.78%	0	-1.2	27	INF
4	Mar_18_2016	141.03	124.92	111.44	106.85	107.03	102.18	101.25(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-310	-45	-107	0.52	46%	-0.11	-62.8	6.78%	0	-1.4	22	INF
5	Mar_17_2016	141.18	127.44	113.35	108.47	109.9	106.02	102.19(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-210	-61	-123	0.46	47%	-0.11	-68.7	6.82%	0	-1.5	26	INF

6	Mar_16_2016	141.33	129.9	115.5	111.8	112.02	111.88	106.43(-5.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-0	-33	-114	0.43	47%	-0.14	-74.5	6.87%	0	-1.4	27	INF
7	Mar_15_2016	141.53	131.91	117.74	114.29	115.01	113.79	112.6(0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-60	1	-104	0.37	46%	-0.06	-78	6.84%	0	-1.2	29	INF
8	Mar_14_2016	141.62	134.3	120.29	116.85	116.1	112.16	111.76(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-260	-37	-117	0.43	46%	-0.01	-77.6	6.91%	0	-1.4	26	INF
9	Mar_11_2016	141.63	136.98	123.97	116.76	117.89	116.23	109.39(-7.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-70	-38	-112	0.53	48%	-0.01	-75.9	6.9%	0	-1.7	36	INF
10	Mar_10_2016	141.65	140.47	127.65	118.85	119.02	120.04	118.81(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	60	2	-90	0.46	49%	0	-63.1	6.98%	0	-1.2	35	INF

11	Mar_9_2016	141.65	143.37	130.56	119.75	118.89	119.55	118.91(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	20	-2	-90	0.49	49%	0.04	-54	6.99%	0	-1.3	36	INF
12	Mar_8_2016	141.6	146.2	133.56	121.76	120.94	118	125.37(12.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-190	-26	-92	0.49	49%	0.08	-49.9	6.97%	0	-1.1	42	INF
13	Mar_7_2016	141.49	148.17	136.34	124.6	125.06	118.23	111.31(-7.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-97	-370	-91	-115	0.48	49%	0.02	-45.5	6.79%	0	-2	26	INF
14	Mar_4_2016	141.46	150.83	139.49	132.43	132.21	123.88	119.85(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-101	-450	-99	-106	0.44	50%	0.08	-35.8	6.89%	0	-1.9	27	INF
15	Mar_3_2016	141.35	152.57	142.78	137.76	139.07	131.88	123.3(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-94	-330	-92	-101	0.39	52%	0.06	-33.5	6.88%	0	-2	25	INF

16	Mar_2_2016	141.27	154.13	145.7	142.86	143.29	140.54	128.97(-7.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-72	-130	-66	-89	0.41	53%	0.08	-36.3	6.9%	0	-1.9	28	INF
17	Mar_1_2016	141.16	156.2	147.54	146.9	147.11	146.26	139.57(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-40	-16	-72	0.28	55%	0.18	-32.9	6.91%	0	-1.4	32	INF
18	Feb_29_2016	140.9	157.02	149.64	149.79	149.92	146.03	150.47(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-180	-11	-64	0.2	56%	0.3	-44.2	6.79%	0	-0.6	45	INF
19	Feb_26_2016	140.48	156.91	151.02	147.69	150.16	147.96	146.48(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-50	-42	-81	0.3	56%	0.28	-58.3	6.79%	0	-0.9	44	INF
20	Feb_25_2016	140.09	157.63	154.18	148.69	149.43	153.81	148.8(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	220	6	-46	0.21	56%	0.26	-72.3	6.84%	0	-0.8	52	INF

21	Feb_24_2016	139.73	158.97	156.94	149.09	150.28	152.37	149.19(-3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	47	120	65	-9	0.4	55%	0.22	-83.5	6.84%	0	-0.8	53	INF
22	Feb_23_2016	139.42	160.19	159.52	148.3	147.91	145.06	154.02(10.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-140	-27	-45	0.31	55%	0.19	-94.3	6.89%	0	-0.5	45	INF
23	Feb_22_2016	139.16	162.14	160.55	149.68	148.21	148.19	139.97(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-30	-50	-46	0.26	53%	-0.01	-76.8	6.79%	0	-1.6	48	INF
24	Feb_19_2016	139.17	163.84	162.96	154.88	153.04	150.77	151.46(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-140	-8	-7	0.22	54%	-0.07	-73.7	6.72%	0	-0.9	56	INF
25	Feb_18_2016	139.27	166.1	163.17	160.67	156.68	148.23	150.82(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-450	-105	-32	0.21	54%		-57.4	6.73%	0	-1	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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