Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $112.5961 (0.75%) ($112.3989 - $118.7117) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.84% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $112.5961(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -11.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(31%)    VIXM(31%)    UUP(22%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -3.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.42% (StdDev 6.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $94.69(-15.9%)
Resistance Level   $131.91
5 Day Moving Average   $114.29(-1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.74(-4.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.91(-14.64%)
To recent high   -48.5%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 12.52% (three month std-dev: 6.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 8.44%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.94%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 14.29%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.62%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	141.53	131.91	117.74	114.29	115.01	113.79	112.6(0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-60	1	-104	0.37	46%	-0.06	-78	6.84%	0	-1.2	29	INF
2	Mar_14_2016	141.62	134.3	120.29	116.85	116.1	112.16	111.76(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-260	-37	-117	0.43	46%	-0.01	-77.6	6.91%	0	-1.4	26	INF
3	Mar_11_2016	141.63	136.98	123.97	116.76	117.89	116.23	109.39(-7.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-70	-38	-112	0.53	48%	-0.01	-75.9	6.9%	0	-1.7	36	INF
4	Mar_10_2016	141.65	140.47	127.65	118.85	119.02	120.04	118.81(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	60	2	-90	0.46	49%	0	-63.1	6.98%	0	-1.2	35	INF
5	Mar_9_2016	141.65	143.37	130.56	119.75	118.89	119.55	118.91(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	20	-2	-90	0.49	49%	0.04	-54	6.99%	0	-1.3	36	INF

6	Mar_8_2016	141.6	146.2	133.56	121.76	120.94	118	125.37(12.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-190	-26	-92	0.49	49%	0.08	-49.9	6.97%	0	-1.1	42	INF
7	Mar_7_2016	141.49	148.17	136.34	124.6	125.06	118.23	111.31(-7.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-97	-370	-91	-115	0.48	49%	0.02	-45.5	6.79%	0	-2	26	INF
8	Mar_4_2016	141.46	150.83	139.49	132.43	132.21	123.88	119.85(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-101	-450	-99	-106	0.44	50%	0.08	-35.8	6.89%	0	-1.9	27	INF
9	Mar_3_2016	141.35	152.57	142.78	137.76	139.07	131.88	123.3(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-94	-330	-92	-101	0.39	52%	0.06	-33.5	6.88%	0	-2	25	INF
10	Mar_2_2016	141.27	154.13	145.7	142.86	143.29	140.54	128.97(-7.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-72	-130	-66	-89	0.41	53%	0.08	-36.3	6.9%	0	-1.9	28	INF

11	Mar_1_2016	141.16	156.2	147.54	146.9	147.11	146.26	139.57(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-40	-16	-72	0.28	55%	0.18	-32.9	6.91%	0	-1.4	32	INF
12	Feb_29_2016	140.9	157.02	149.64	149.79	149.92	146.03	150.47(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-180	-11	-64	0.2	56%	0.3	-44.2	6.79%	0	-0.6	45	INF
13	Feb_26_2016	140.48	156.91	151.02	147.69	150.16	147.96	146.48(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-50	-42	-81	0.3	56%	0.28	-58.3	6.79%	0	-0.9	44	INF
14	Feb_25_2016	140.09	157.63	154.18	148.69	149.43	153.81	148.8(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	220	6	-46	0.21	56%	0.26	-72.3	6.84%	0	-0.8	52	INF
15	Feb_24_2016	139.73	158.97	156.94	149.09	150.28	152.37	149.19(-3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	47	120	65	-9	0.4	55%	0.22	-83.5	6.84%	0	-0.8	53	INF

16	Feb_23_2016	139.42	160.19	159.52	148.3	147.91	145.06	154.02(10.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-140	-27	-45	0.31	55%	0.19	-94.3	6.89%	0	-0.5	45	INF
17	Feb_22_2016	139.16	162.14	160.55	149.68	148.21	148.19	139.97(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-30	-50	-46	0.26	53%	-0.01	-76.8	6.79%	0	-1.6	48	INF
18	Feb_19_2016	139.17	163.84	162.96	154.88	153.04	150.77	151.46(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-140	-8	-7	0.22	54%	-0.07	-73.7	6.72%	0	-0.9	56	INF
19	Feb_18_2016	139.27	166.1	163.17	160.67	156.68	148.23	150.82(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-450	-105	-32	0.21	54%	-0.08	-57.4	6.73%	0	-1	49	INF
20	Feb_17_2016	139.38	169.31	163.43	166.11	166.23	155.31	145.25(-9.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-92	-460	-112	-31	0.31	54%	-0.22	-32.6	6.76%	0	-1.3	41	INF

21	Feb_16_2016	139.69	172.17	165.95	172.2	172.83	165.13	160.93(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-300	-107	-11	0.18	54%	-0.21	-20.6	6.63%	0	-0.6	46	INF
22	Feb_12_2016	139.98	173.64	165.4	172.81	176.23	177.14	165.96(-8.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	100	-23	3	0.22	56%	0.07	-16.9	6.71%	0	-0.4	41	INF
23	Feb_11_2016	139.88	174.16	163.62	171.91	176.05	180.52	180.41(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	250	78	28	0.35	58%	0.16	-17.5	6.66%	0	0.3	54	INF
24	Feb_10_2016	139.65	175.04	161.39	166.01	169.75	175.32	177.99(1.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	49	300	69	-12	0.24	58%	0.19	-15.9	6.69%	0	0.2	45	INF
25	Feb_9_2016	139.38	175.47	160.89	160.53	162.95	171.57	175.72(7.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	44	420	73	-45	0.31	58%		-13.5	6.7%	0	0	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.