Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $123.7916 (6.09%) ($113.8784 - $125.4192) on Thu. Dec. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.09% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $123.7916(6.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(33%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(19%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.545% (StdDev 5.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.39(9.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.2(10.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.34(11.18%)
To recent high   -29%
To recent low   28%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 5.28% (three month std-dev: 5.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.76%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2015	129.17	111.34	112.2	113.39	112.25	116.08	123.79(6.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	67	210	80	29	0.39	43%	0.1	33	5.09%	0	2.1	51	INF
2	Dec_2_2015	129.04	110.11	110.48	110.27	110.06	110.4	116.69(9.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	20	35	-12	0.37	40%	0.09	4.7	5.03%	0	1.2	54	INF
3	Dec_1_2015	128.92	109.14	110.04	108.03	108.88	108.42	106.68(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-18	-41	0.24	41%	-0.01	-26.1	4.89%	0	-0.4	54	INF
4	Nov_30_2015	128.93	109.09	110.38	109.28	108.89	109.71	109.19(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	40	-9	-27	0.57	41%	0	-32.1	5.05%	0	0	54	INF
5	Nov_27_2015	128.93	109.25	111.55	110.53	110.32	109.34	110.57(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-70	7	4	0.16	35%	0.12	-26.6	5.12%	0	0.2	58	INF

6	Nov_25_2015	128.78	109.44	112.46	110.81	110.99	108.08	108.21(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-23	-180	-33	6	0.27	35%	0.01	-22.8	5.51%	0	-0.2	58	INF
7	Nov_24_2015	128.77	109.84	112.95	110.68	111.74	111.3	105.49(-6.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-19	0	-31	18	0.42	40%	-0.03	-21.9	5.53%	0	-0.6	59	INF
8	Nov_23_2015	128.81	110.77	113.15	112.24	112.19	113.91	112.94(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	110	20	54	0.58	42%	-0.12	-9.2	5.86%	0	0.3	68	INF
9	Nov_20_2015	128.97	111.1	112.59	111.57	111.55	112.18	115.46(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	40	7	47	0.48	47%	0.08	-8.2	6.01%	0	0.6	59	INF
10	Nov_19_2015	128.87	111.1	111.45	112.86	112.18	110.47	111.94(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-120	-22	35	0.51	49%	0.04	-1.3	6.06%	0	0.1	50	INF

11	Nov_18_2015	128.82	110.93	110.54	114.55	114.95	110.92	107.57(-5.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-22	-230	-38	28	0.72	49%	0.03	6.7	6.13%	0	-0.4	45	INF
12	Nov_17_2015	128.78	111.44	109.85	115.54	117.08	113.9	113.29(3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-20	-150	-34	21	0.41	49%	0.06	12.3	6.1%	0	0.2	47	INF
13	Nov_16_2015	128.7	111.46	108.28	114.06	116.44	118.98	109.59(-10.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	220	3	4	0.46	49%	0.08	4.3	6.09%	0	-0.2	39	INF
14	Nov_13_2015	128.6	111.72	107.82	113.48	114.07	120.26	121.92(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	400	86	21	0.58	52%	0.17	2.4	5.95%	0	1.3	49	INF
15	Nov_12_2015	128.38	111.03	106.69	109.78	109.81	113.89	120.39(7.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	59	260	79	-1	0.44	51%	0.18	-12.7	5.98%	0	1.3	55	INF

16	Nov_11_2015	128.15	110.42	105.91	106.12	106.34	107.88	112.5(6.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	110	37	-34	0.29	49%	0.13	-27.1	5.95%	0	0.3	51	INF
17	Nov_10_2015	127.98	110.53	106.17	103.47	104.25	105.73	105.89(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	120	24	-54	0.35	46%	0.07	-36.5	5.9%	0	-0.6	40	INF
18	Nov_9_2015	127.89	111.14	107.92	101.64	102.23	104.79	106.73(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	190	25	-53	0.3	46%	0.05	-44.5	6.02%	0	-0.6	45	INF
19	Nov_6_2015	127.83	111.55	109.24	101.28	100.74	102.78	103.42(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	130	13	-55	0.41	46%	0.05	-55.1	6.05%	0	-1.2	42	INF
20	Nov_5_2015	127.77	111.96	110.21	103.18	102	99.66	102.04(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-190	-15	-56	0.51	46%	0.03	-68.7	6.07%	0	-1.5	47	INF

21	Nov_4_2015	127.73	112.35	111.3	105.8	105.06	98.7	99.28(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-76	-440	-79	-68	0.51	46%	0.02	-95.7	6.07%	0	-2	45	INF
22	Nov_3_2015	127.7	113.21	113.28	109.33	109.48	104.33	96.72(-7.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-90	-330	-101	-58	0.43	47%	-0.02	-122.8	6.06%	0	-2.8	38	INF
23	Nov_2_2015	127.73	114.41	115.22	115.02	114.72	111.41	104.95(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-210	-56	-16	0.36	49%	0.05	-149.4	6.04%	0	-1.7	40	INF
24	Oct_30_2015	127.66	115.55	116.35	118.23	118.84	114.64	112.89(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	-230	-33	9	0.41	52%	0.14	-124.5	6.03%	0	-0.4	50	INF
25	Oct_29_2015	127.48	116.85	116.06	118.19	119.85	118.02	115.16(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-25	-60	-36	7	0.25	51%		-82.5	6.03%	0	-0.1	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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