Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $116.6896 (9.39%) ($107.6149 - $117.7007) on Wed. Dec. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.03% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $116.6896(9.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(33%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(19%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IWD(-78%)    IVE(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.515% (StdDev 5.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.27(5.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.48(5.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.11(5.98%)
To recent high   -33.1%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 5.16% (three month std-dev: 5.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.75%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.6%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.32%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.47%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2015	129.04	110.11	110.48	110.27	110.06	110.4	116.69(9.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	20	35	-12	0.37	40%	0.09	4.7	5.03%	0	1.2	54	0
2	Dec_1_2015	128.92	109.14	110.04	108.03	108.88	108.42	106.68(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10	-18	-41	0.24	41%	-0.01	-26.1	4.89%	0	-0.4	54	0
3	Nov_30_2015	128.93	109.09	110.38	109.28	108.89	109.71	109.19(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	40	-9	-27	0.57	41%	0	-32.1	5.05%	0	0	54	0
4	Nov_27_2015	128.93	109.25	111.55	110.53	110.32	109.34	110.57(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-70	7	4	0.16	35%	0.12	-26.6	5.12%	0	0.2	58	0
5	Nov_25_2015	128.78	109.44	112.46	110.81	110.99	108.08	108.21(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-23	-180	-33	6	0.27	35%	0.01	-22.8	5.51%	0	-0.2	58	0

6	Nov_24_2015	128.77	109.84	112.95	110.68	111.74	111.3	105.49(-6.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-19	0	-31	18	0.42	40%	-0.03	-21.9	5.53%	0	-0.6	59	0
7	Nov_23_2015	128.81	110.77	113.15	112.24	112.19	113.91	112.94(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	110	20	54	0.58	42%	-0.12	-9.2	5.86%	0	0.3	68	0
8	Nov_20_2015	128.97	111.1	112.59	111.57	111.55	112.18	115.46(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	40	7	47	0.48	47%	0.08	-8.2	6.01%	0	0.6	59	0
9	Nov_19_2015	128.87	111.1	111.45	112.86	112.18	110.47	111.94(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-120	-22	35	0.51	49%	0.04	-1.3	6.06%	0	0.1	50	0
10	Nov_18_2015	128.82	110.93	110.54	114.55	114.95	110.92	107.57(-5.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-22	-230	-38	28	0.72	49%	0.03	6.7	6.13%	0	-0.4	45	0

11	Nov_17_2015	128.78	111.44	109.85	115.54	117.08	113.9	113.29(3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-20	-150	-34	21	0.41	49%	0.06	12.3	6.1%	0	0.2	47	0
12	Nov_16_2015	128.7	111.46	108.28	114.06	116.44	118.98	109.59(-10.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	220	3	4	0.46	49%	0.08	4.3	6.09%	0	-0.2	39	0
13	Nov_13_2015	128.6	111.72	107.82	113.48	114.07	120.26	121.92(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	400	86	21	0.58	52%	0.17	2.4	5.95%	0	1.3	49	0
14	Nov_12_2015	128.38	111.03	106.69	109.78	109.81	113.89	120.39(7.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	59	260	79	-1	0.44	51%	0.18	-12.7	5.98%	0	1.3	55	0
15	Nov_11_2015	128.15	110.42	105.91	106.12	106.34	107.88	112.5(6.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	110	37	-34	0.29	49%	0.13	-27.1	5.95%	0	0.3	51	0

16	Nov_10_2015	127.98	110.53	106.17	103.47	104.25	105.73	105.89(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	120	24	-54	0.35	46%	0.07	-36.5	5.9%	0	-0.6	40	0
17	Nov_9_2015	127.89	111.14	107.92	101.64	102.23	104.79	106.73(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	190	25	-53	0.3	46%	0.05	-44.5	6.02%	0	-0.6	45	0
18	Nov_6_2015	127.83	111.55	109.24	101.28	100.74	102.78	103.42(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	130	13	-55	0.41	46%	0.05	-55.1	6.05%	0	-1.2	42	0
19	Nov_5_2015	127.77	111.96	110.21	103.18	102	99.66	102.04(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-190	-15	-56	0.51	46%	0.03	-68.7	6.07%	0	-1.5	47	0
20	Nov_4_2015	127.73	112.35	111.3	105.8	105.06	98.7	99.28(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-76	-440	-79	-68	0.51	46%	0.02	-95.7	6.07%	0	-2	45	0

21	Nov_3_2015	127.7	113.21	113.28	109.33	109.48	104.33	96.72(-7.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-90	-330	-101	-58	0.43	47%	-0.02	-122.8	6.06%	0	-2.8	38	0
22	Nov_2_2015	127.73	114.41	115.22	115.02	114.72	111.41	104.95(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-210	-56	-16	0.36	49%	0.05	-149.4	6.04%	0	-1.7	40	0
23	Oct_30_2015	127.66	115.55	116.35	118.23	118.84	114.64	112.89(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	-230	-33	9	0.41	52%	0.14	-124.5	6.03%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Oct_29_2015	127.48	116.85	116.06	118.19	119.85	118.02	115.16(-1.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-25	-60	-36	7	0.25	51%	0.17	-82.5	6.03%	0	-0.1	56	0
25	Oct_28_2015	127.27	118.92	115.52	117.56	119.05	123.05	116.94(-6.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	270	18	26	0.33	49%		-66.4	6.05%	0	-0.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.