Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $196.2911 (4.35%) ($163.2471 - $196.3898) on Tue. Aug. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.18% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $196.2911(4.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 9.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 13.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.09% (StdDev 4.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 20.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $165.9(18.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $146.65(33.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.8(41.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   113.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 14.81% (three month std-dev: 4.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 6.31%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.01%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.67%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 10.8%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.35%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2015	104.63	138.8	146.65	165.9	165.88	183.29	196.29(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	284	730	275	309	0.24	75%	1	57.5	4.18%	0	2.8	70	0
2	Aug_24_2015	103.59	134.86	139.23	151.87	154.13	171.01	188.1(16.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	383	810	420	271	0.7	74%	0.84	48.8	4.19%	0	3.4	69	0
3	Aug_21_2015	102.73	131.83	132.66	139.28	139.03	148.46	161.87(10.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	207	470	237	115	0.47	72%	0.64	45.9	3.75%	0	3	63	0
4	Aug_20_2015	102.08	130	130.14	132.07	131.74	137.24	146.38(6.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	133	280	161	50	0.38	70%	0.47	42.2	3.58%	0	2.1	62	0
5	Aug_19_2015	101.6	128.71	128.64	127.79	127.48	129.61	136.86(8.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	64	110	84	3	0.31	69%	0.38	37.3	3.5%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Aug_18_2015	101.22	127.91	128.8	124.34	125.11	126.23	126.16(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	80	17	-23	0.1	67%	0.29	30.6	3.39%	0	-0.3	60	0
7	Aug_17_2015	100.93	127.59	129.88	124.4	124.57	125.36	125.12(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	50	8	-9	0.14	67%	0.22	39	3.39%	0	-0.3	54	0
8	Aug_14_2015	100.71	127.33	130.98	124.86	125.71	124	125.81(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-70	-31	-18	0.19	67%	0.25	45.3	3.39%	0	-0.2	47	0
9	Aug_13_2015	100.46	126.81	131.28	127.92	127.95	123.78	124.98(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-230	-93	-21	0.21	67%	0.24	54.8	3.4%	0	-0.2	50	0
10	Aug_12_2015	100.22	126.16	130.98	129.67	131.57	127.42	119.65(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-96	-180	-121	-19	0.33	66%	0.15	56.8	3.36%	0	-0.7	52	0

11	Aug_11_2015	100.07	125.81	131.03	133.87	135.17	132.13	126.45(-0.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-51	-130	-77	29	0.32	70%	0.23	63.7	3.29%	0	0.1	56	0
12	Aug_10_2015	99.84	124.84	130.78	136.07	136.57	135.71	127.39(-9.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	-30	-49	65	0.39	70%	0.26	66.4	3.34%	0	0.2	59	0
13	Aug_7_2015	99.58	123.91	131.42	137.8	137.03	138.22	141.15(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	40	35	143	0.35	74%	0.35	68.8	3.14%	0	1.6	67	0
14	Aug_6_2015	99.23	122.31	130.06	135.13	135.97	137.43	133.7(-4.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	93	90	70	160	0.45	73%	0.32	67.5	3.1%	0	1.1	67	0
15	Aug_5_2015	98.91	121.17	128.87	132.4	132.72	135.84	140.66(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	108	170	88	167	0.35	77%	0.3	63.8	3.02%	0	1.9	75	0

16	Aug_4_2015	98.61	119.72	126.85	127.77	128.45	134.52	137.45(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	140	350	133	161	0.33	77%	0.27	59.5	3.03%	0	1.9	74	0
17	Aug_3_2015	98.34	118.15	124.9	124.79	124.76	129.61	136.02(6.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	143	270	137	159	0.38	77%	0.22	56.4	3.03%	0	2.1	77	0
18	Jul_31_2015	98.12	116.77	123.09	124.33	123.23	122.39	127.79(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-70	22	134	0.3	75%	0.14	68.1	2.97%	0	1.4	70	0
19	Jul_30_2015	97.98	115.66	121.74	124.47	125.12	119.91	120.09(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-40	-280	-89	106	0.29	74%	0.08	74	2.89%	0	0.6	62	0
20	Jul_29_2015	97.9	115.02	120.86	124.76	126.62	124.08	117.48(-4.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-60	-100	-114	102	0.49	74%	0.05	80.8	2.88%	0	0.3	58	0

21	Jul_28_2015	97.85	114.34	120.29	125.49	126.77	130.33	122.56(-8.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	77	230	44	175	0.41	77%	0.14	85.5	2.84%	0	1	60	0
22	Jul_27_2015	97.71	113.47	118.64	124.68	124.97	129.16	133.75(4.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	191	240	177	234	0.37	84%	0.3	89.1	2.62%	0	2.5	78	0
23	Jul_24_2015	97.42	111.72	115.92	121.67	121.1	123.21	128.48(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	111	110	92	167	0.33	83%	0.29	89.8	2.58%	0	2.4	70	0
24	Jul_23_2015	97.14	110.29	113.95	118.75	118.9	120.77	121.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	110	77	141	0.29	82%	0.24	90.7	2.51%	0	1.8	69	0
25	Jul_22_2015	96.91	109.09	112.87	116.45	116.69	119	121.13(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	97	140	87	127	0.33	82%		80.8	2.53%	0	2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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