Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $128.4770 (5.72%) ($121.1284 - $129.8579) on Fri. Jul. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $128.4770(5.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $121.67(5.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.92(10.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.72(15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   60.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 6.27% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.89%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.18%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2015	97.42	111.72	115.92	121.67	121.1	123.21	128.48(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	111	110	92	167	0.33	83%	0.29	89.8	2.58%	0	2.4	70	0
2	Jul_23_2015	97.14	110.29	113.95	118.75	118.9	120.77	121.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	110	77	141	0.29	82%	0.24	90.7	2.51%	0	1.8	69	0
3	Jul_22_2015	96.91	109.09	112.87	116.45	116.69	119	121.13(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	97	140	87	127	0.33	82%	0.24	80.8	2.53%	0	2	67	0
4	Jul_21_2015	96.68	107.82	111.96	114.29	113.92	117.02	118.51(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	106	180	99	127	0.23	82%	0.21	71.2	2.54%	0	1.8	69	0
5	Jul_20_2015	96.48	106.73	110.76	111.58	111.58	114.39	118.71(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	113	180	115	105	0.2	82%	0.22	57.9	2.56%	0	2	65	0

6	Jul_17_2015	96.27	105.77	109.77	109.32	109.1	110.83	113.88(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	100	60	77	0.23	81%	0.19	54.3	2.53%	0	1.5	67	0
7	Jul_16_2015	96.09	104.96	108.95	108.5	108	108.77	110.03(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	40	25	65	0.16	80%	0.21	53.8	2.51%	0	1	63	0
8	Jul_15_2015	95.89	104.34	108.65	108.77	108.06	107.37	110.33(5.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-60	-5	78	0.31	73%	0.19	58.4	2.51%	0	1.1	67	0
9	Jul_14_2015	95.71	103.68	107.96	109.34	108.37	107.23	104.95(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-100	-44	83	0.27	66%	0.13	61.4	2.63%	0	0.2	65	0
10	Jul_13_2015	95.59	103.4	108.06	109.7	109.47	108.74	107.42(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-50	-21	114	0.35	66%	0.16	64.9	2.7%	0	0.7	67	0

11	Jul_10_2015	95.44	102.95	107.38	110.16	109.81	109.51	109.78(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-30	-7	128	0.23	66%	0.21	70.1	2.7%	0	1.3	62	0
12	Jul_9_2015	95.24	102.22	106.49	109.36	109.78	110.19	111.36(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	40	19	138	0.29	62%	0.23	64.3	2.7%	0	1.7	67	0
13	Jul_8_2015	95.02	101.34	105.14	108.48	108.73	110.1	113.19(6.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	100	43	138	0.36	62%	0.28	62.2	2.76%	0	2.3	70	0
14	Jul_7_2015	94.75	100.52	103.4	106.48	107.29	109.36	106.75(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	160	57	123	0.41	60%	0.13	66.2	2.68%	0	1.4	66	0
15	Jul_6_2015	94.63	100.04	102.42	106.17	105.72	107.36	109.74(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	100	70	123	0.27	58%	0.25	72.7	2.65%	0	2.4	65	0

16	Jul_2_2015	94.39	99.32	101.41	104.18	104.35	105.21	105.74(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	60	42	91	0.27	56%	0.1	74.7	2.7%	0	1.9	62	0
17	Jul_1_2015	94.3	98.91	100.59	103.15	103.16	104.08	106.97(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	52	60	41	85	0.39	56%	0.13	78.2	2.7%	0	2.5	69	0
18	Jun_30_2015	94.18	98.25	99.61	101.28	101.66	103.48	103.18(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	140	52	75	0.23	50%	0.09	73.3	2.66%	0	1.7	67	0
19	Jun_29_2015	94.1	97.72	98.97	99.82	100.06	102.24	105.25(5.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	73	160	76	64	0.24	50%	0.11	63.7	2.76%	0	2.8	61	0
20	Jun_26_2015	94	97.13	98.28	98.13	98.2	99.84	99.77(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	120	45	35	0.19	46%	0.04	70.6	2.68%	0	1.2	54	0

21	Jun_25_2015	93.96	96.83	98.12	98.25	97.41	97.87	100.56(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	10	27	34	0.16	46%	0.01	86.6	2.68%	0	1.7	59	0
22	Jun_24_2015	93.95	96.46	97.59	97.69	97.54	96.56	97.65(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-70	-8	7	0.16	44%	0.02	88.4	2.7%	0	0.5	49	0
23	Jun_23_2015	93.93	96.2	97.27	97.68	97.59	96.94	95.88(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-50	-31	-2	0.17	44%	-0.09	88.8	2.7%	0	-0.1	55	0
24	Jun_22_2015	94.01	96.02	97.47	97.91	97.62	98.53	96.76(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	60	-0	24	0.16	44%	-0.19	101.2	2.7%	0	0.3	60	0
25	Jun_19_2015	94.19	95.6	97.56	98.39	97.8	98.24	100.41(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	10	31	51	0.2	47%		89.9	2.72%	0	1.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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