Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $105.7407 (-1.15%) ($103.9159 - $106.3326) on Thu. Jul. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $105.7407(-1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    IGOV(8%)    SHY(8%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.18(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.41(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.32(6.46%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   32.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(61%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(39%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(45%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 3.59%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2015	94.39	99.32	101.41	104.18	104.35	105.21	105.74(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	60	42	91	0.27	56%	0.1	74.7	2.7%	0	1.9	62	0
2	Jul_1_2015	94.3	98.91	100.59	103.15	103.16	104.08	106.97(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	52	60	41	85	0.39	56%	0.13	78.2	2.7%	0	2.5	69	0
3	Jun_30_2015	94.18	98.25	99.61	101.28	101.66	103.48	103.18(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	140	52	75	0.23	50%	0.09	73.3	2.66%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Jun_29_2015	94.1	97.72	98.97	99.82	100.06	102.24	105.25(5.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	73	160	76	64	0.24	50%	0.11	63.7	2.76%	0	2.8	61	0
5	Jun_26_2015	94	97.13	98.28	98.13	98.2	99.84	99.77(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	120	45	35	0.19	46%	0.04	70.6	2.68%	0	1.2	54	0

6	Jun_25_2015	93.96	96.83	98.12	98.25	97.41	97.87	100.56(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	10	27	34	0.16	46%	0.01	86.6	2.68%	0	1.7	59	0
7	Jun_24_2015	93.95	96.46	97.59	97.69	97.54	96.56	97.65(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-70	-8	7	0.16	44%	0.02	88.4	2.7%	0	0.5	49	0
8	Jun_23_2015	93.93	96.2	97.27	97.68	97.59	96.94	95.88(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-50	-31	-2	0.17	44%	-0.09	88.8	2.7%	0	-0.1	55	0
9	Jun_22_2015	94.01	96.02	97.47	97.91	97.62	98.53	96.76(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	60	-0	24	0.16	44%	-0.19	101.2	2.7%	0	0.3	60	0
10	Jun_19_2015	94.19	95.6	97.56	98.39	97.8	98.24	100.41(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	10	31	51	0.2	47%	-0.18	89.9	2.72%	0	1.6	63	0

11	Jun_18_2015	94.36	94.92	97.11	97.98	97.83	96.72	97.75(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-80	-10	35	0.16	40%	-0.22	77.8	2.76%	0	0.8	60	0
12	Jun_17_2015	94.57	94.51	97.13	97.47	98.03	97.36	97.6(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-5	-30	-17	33	0.21	40%	-0.1	74.4	2.97%	0	0.9	60	0
13	Jun_16_2015	94.66	94.12	96.83	96.78	97.5	98.95	97.01(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	130	14	43	0.15	40%	-0.09	72.5	2.98%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Jun_15_2015	94.75	93.59	96.42	96.93	96.49	98.69	99.18(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	150	54	63	0.25	40%	-0.13	66.3	3.01%	0	1.4	68	0
15	Jun_12_2015	94.87	92.94	95.9	96.63	95.66	96.05	98.34(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-0	34	65	0.31	40%	-0.11	67.3	3.01%	0	1.4	74	0

16	Jun_11_2015	94.97	92.37	95.41	96.17	95.52	94.29	95.24(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-110	-27	50	0.26	37%	-0.16	65.2	2.99%	0	0.7	72	0
17	Jun_10_2015	95.12	91.97	95.24	96.75	96.18	95.27	94.15(-3.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-80	-32	66	0.24	37%	-0.24	72.1	2.98%	0	0.5	62	0
18	Jun_9_2015	95.35	91.6	95.08	96.81	96.84	96.75	97.75(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10	9	89	0.2	39%	0.03	74.6	3.01%	0	1.5	69	0
19	Jun_8_2015	95.32	91.08	94.48	95.76	96.1	97.1	97.65(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	80	18	93	0.18	39%	-0.22	80	3.02%	0	1.7	74	0
20	Jun_5_2015	95.53	90.35	93.5	95.04	95.06	96.94	96.07(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	140	42	98	0.33	43%	-0.37	78.6	3.09%	0	1.5	73	0

21	Jun_4_2015	95.88	89.89	92.59	94.54	94.2	95.1	98.15(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	60	47	96	0.47	43%	-0.29	88.2	3.08%	0	2.2	74	0
22	Jun_3_2015	96.16	89.18	91.66	93.57	93.3	93.18	94.45(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-20	1	73	0.24	40%	-0.34	97.1	3.05%	0	1.6	69	0
23	Jun_2_2015	96.49	88.63	91.16	93.1	93.36	93.3	92.47(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	0	2	76	0.39	40%	-0.33	98.4	3.04%	0	1.2	68	0
24	Jun_1_2015	96.81	88.06	90.55	92.96	93.07	93.3	94.05(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	16	78	0.24	40%	-0.21	87.2	3.04%	0	1.7	67	0
25	May_29_2015	97.01	87.36	89.75	91.68	92.35	93.42	93.56(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	100	35	77	0.26	40%		72.1	3.06%	0	1.7	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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