Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $98.3428 (3.26%) ($96.7153 - $98.9840) on Fri. Jun. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $98.3428(3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    IGOV(8%)    SHY(8%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.63(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.9(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.94(5.81%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.25% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(54%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.22%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.1%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.27%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2015	94.87	92.94	95.9	96.63	95.66	96.05	98.34(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-0	34	65	0.31	40%	-0.11	67.3	3.01%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Jun_11_2015	94.97	92.37	95.41	96.17	95.52	94.29	95.24(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-110	-27	50	0.26	37%	-0.16	65.2	2.99%	0	0.7	72	0
3	Jun_10_2015	95.12	91.97	95.24	96.75	96.18	95.27	94.15(-3.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-80	-32	66	0.24	37%	-0.24	72.1	2.98%	0	0.5	62	0
4	Jun_9_2015	95.35	91.6	95.08	96.81	96.84	96.75	97.75(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10	9	89	0.2	39%	0.03	74.6	3.01%	0	1.5	69	0
5	Jun_8_2015	95.32	91.08	94.48	95.76	96.1	97.1	97.65(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	80	18	93	0.18	39%	-0.22	80	3.02%	0	1.7	74	0

6	Jun_5_2015	95.53	90.35	93.5	95.04	95.06	96.94	96.07(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	140	42	98	0.33	43%	-0.37	78.6	3.09%	0	1.5	73	0
7	Jun_4_2015	95.88	89.89	92.59	94.54	94.2	95.1	98.15(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	60	47	96	0.47	43%	-0.29	88.2	3.08%	0	2.2	74	0
8	Jun_3_2015	96.16	89.18	91.66	93.57	93.3	93.18	94.45(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-20	1	73	0.24	40%	-0.34	97.1	3.05%	0	1.6	69	0
9	Jun_2_2015	96.49	88.63	91.16	93.1	93.36	93.3	92.47(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	0	2	76	0.39	40%	-0.33	98.4	3.04%	0	1.2	68	0
10	Jun_1_2015	96.81	88.06	90.55	92.96	93.07	93.3	94.05(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	16	78	0.24	40%	-0.21	87.2	3.04%	0	1.7	67	0

11	May_29_2015	97.01	87.36	89.75	91.68	92.35	93.42	93.56(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	100	35	77	0.26	40%	-0.19	72.1	3.06%	0	1.7	75	0
12	May_28_2015	97.19	86.71	89.07	90.29	90.99	92.71	93.31(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	160	45	64	0.38	40%	-0.27	61.9	3.09%	0	1.8	61	0
13	May_27_2015	97.45	86.04	88.41	89.47	89.4	91.28	92.1(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	140	42	59	0.21	40%	-0.3	53	3.11%	0	1.7	64	0
14	May_26_2015	97.74	85.5	87.82	88.97	88.75	89.27	91.78(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	30	42	60	0.29	40%	-0.29	48.1	3.11%	0	1.9	65	0
15	May_22_2015	98.02	85.04	87.37	87.82	88.22	87.52	87.64(1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-40	-6	42	0.23	36%	-0.11	44.6	3.07%	0	0.9	66	0

16	May_21_2015	98.13	84.79	86.95	87.5	87.92	88.23	86.6(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	40	-12	43	0.26	36%	-0.18	41.2	3.09%	0	0.6	66	0
17	May_20_2015	98.31	84.54	87	87.58	87.88	88.93	89.22(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	90	32	77	0.25	36%	-0.12	43	3.09%	0	1.6	69	0
18	May_19_2015	98.43	84.2	86.52	87.16	87.17	87.6	89.61(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	30	24	79	0.3	36%	-0.1	45.9	3.1%	0	2	71	0
19	May_18_2015	98.53	83.93	85.91	86.54	86.47	86.84	86.02(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	30	-2	67	0.13	33%	-0.14	39.9	3.06%	0	0.8	61	0
20	May_15_2015	98.67	83.73	85.42	86.87	86.58	86.73	86.06(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	0	20	78	0.17	33%	-0.13	26.6	3.06%	0	1	57	0

21	May_14_2015	98.8	83.57	84.86	86.27	86.12	86.09	87(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10	-2	56	0.17	33%	-0.14	8.2	3.09%	0	1.4	59	0
22	May_13_2015	98.94	83.28	84.23	86.3	85.74	86.43	87.1(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	40	7	60	0.25	30%	-0.11	-9.2	3.11%	0	1.6	62	0
23	May_12_2015	99.05	82.95	83.52	85.77	85.94	86.15	86.51(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	31	55	0.25	30%	-0.16	-42.5	3.21%	0	1.5	57	0
24	May_11_2015	99.21	82.94	83.02	85.18	84.93	85.06	87.69(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	0	10	34	0.32	30%	-0.11	-47.9	3.25%	0	1.6	54	0
25	May_8_2015	99.32	83.08	82.49	83.77	83.85	85.73	83.05(-4.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	160	31	27	0.53	24%		-60.2	3.13%	0	-0	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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