Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $86.0623 (-1.08%) ($85.2239 - $88.9722) on Fri. May. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.06% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $86.0623(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.53% (StdDev 3.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.87(-0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.42(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.73(2.79%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 2.93% (three month std-dev: 3.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.14%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.51%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.23%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.68%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.03%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2015	98.67	83.73	85.42	86.87	86.58	86.73	86.06(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	0	20	78	0.17	33%	-0.13	26.6	3.06%	0	1	57	0
2	May_14_2015	98.8	83.57	84.86	86.27	86.12	86.09	87(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10	-2	56	0.17	33%	-0.14	8.2	3.09%	0	1.4	59	0
3	May_13_2015	98.94	83.28	84.23	86.3	85.74	86.43	87.1(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	40	7	60	0.25	30%	-0.11	-9.2	3.11%	0	1.6	62	0
4	May_12_2015	99.05	82.95	83.52	85.77	85.94	86.15	86.51(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	31	55	0.25	30%	-0.16	-42.5	3.21%	0	1.5	57	0
5	May_11_2015	99.21	82.94	83.02	85.18	84.93	85.06	87.69(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	0	10	34	0.32	30%	-0.11	-47.9	3.25%	0	1.6	54	0

6	May_8_2015	99.32	83.08	82.49	83.77	83.85	85.73	83.05(-4.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	160	31	27	0.53	24%	-0.27	-60.2	3.13%	0	-0	53	0
7	May_7_2015	99.59	83.37	82.45	83.16	82.68	84.8	87.15(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	62	160	71	34	0.63	26%	-0.3	-70	3.1%	0	1.1	58	0
8	May_6_2015	99.89	83.49	81.82	81.86	81.15	81.97	84.43(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	40	38	4	0.46	22%	-0.5	-75.1	3.09%	0	0.2	58	0
9	May_5_2015	100.39	83.97	81.64	80.95	80.4	80.55	83.6(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10	6	-16	0.49	22%	-0.54	-78.9	3.09%	0	-0.1	58	0
10	May_4_2015	100.94	84.39	81.7	80.58	80.48	80.32	80.64(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-20	-8	-32	0.32	17%	-0.53	-79.9	3.09%	0	-0.8	36	0

11	May_1_2015	101.48	84.99	81.87	81.05	81.05	80.24	80(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-70	-13	-44	0.37	13%	-0.46	-86.7	3.45%	0	-1	28	0
12	Apr_30_2015	101.95	85.88	82.19	81.6	81.49	80.63	80.64(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-80	-24	-54	0.58	13%	-0.46	-77.9	3.48%	0	-0.9	35	0
13	Apr_29_2015	102.42	86.76	82.29	81.75	82.16	81.86	79.9(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10	-12	-65	0.65	13%	-0.35	-72.9	3.48%	0	-1.1	32	0
14	Apr_28_2015	102.78	87.73	82.42	82.37	82.23	82.35	81.72(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	10	-9	-84	0.31	25%	-0.37	-70.5	3.48%	0	-0.9	29	0
15	Apr_27_2015	103.16	88.51	82.93	82.98	82.55	82.46	83(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-20	4	-76	0.26	25%	-0.23	-71	3.8%	0	-0.8	35	0

16	Apr_24_2015	103.4	89.51	83.74	82.82	82.82	82.1	82.76(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-60	-6	-84	0.4	25%	-0.19	-65.4	3.8%	0	-0.9	34	0
17	Apr_23_2015	103.6	90.43	84.37	82.9	82.61	82.65	81.38(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10	-15	-101	0.75	25%	-0.18	-66.7	3.83%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Apr_22_2015	103.79	91.42	85.29	82.88	83.03	83.53	83(-2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	50	20	-100	0.62	25%	-0.2	-68.1	3.83%	0	-1.1	28	0
19	Apr_21_2015	104	92.51	86.44	82.44	82.43	82.57	84.78(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	10	-2	-120	0.36	23%	-0.22	-71.4	3.83%	0	-1	28	0
20	Apr_20_2015	104.23	93.43	87.2	82.92	82.41	82.52	82.17(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10	-22	-131	0.47	23%	-0.26	-73.7	3.87%	0	-1.5	29	0

21	Apr_17_2015	104.5	94.45	88.32	84.89	84.11	82.29	83.15(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-180	-21	-129	0.51	23%	-0.21	-78	3.87%	0	-1.5	25	0
22	Apr_16_2015	104.72	95.64	89.81	86.16	85.85	82.3	81.28(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-92	-300	-74	-144	0.58	21%	-0.1	-79.3	3.88%	0	-2	26	0
23	Apr_15_2015	104.82	96.73	91.61	88.05	87.97	85.93	80.83(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-89	-170	-76	-128	0.71	21%	-0.07	-88.1	4.05%	0	-2.4	26	0
24	Apr_14_2015	104.89	98.3	93.57	90.93	90.27	89.4	87.15(-5.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-90	-23	-92	0.5	23%	0.04	-83.5	4%	0	-1.8	27	0
25	Apr_13_2015	104.85	99.47	94.65	92.06	91.44	90.01	92.03(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-130	-21	-92	0.31	24%		-79.5	3.95%	0	-1.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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