Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $114.8648 (12.4%) ($106.5299 - $116.3937) on Mon. Jan. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.62% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $114.8648(12.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-75%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.81% (StdDev 5.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.18(10.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.1(12.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.28(3.22%)
To recent high   -15.6%
To recent low   41.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 11.49% (three month std-dev: 5.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2015	89.81	111.28	102.1	104.18	104.68	107.54	114.86(12.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	30	210	62	-66	1.24	63%	0.53	-2.5	5.62%	0	0.3	37	0
2	Jan_2_2015	89.34	110.67	101.25	101.22	101.61	103.55	102.19(-1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	150	24	-115	0.63	60%	0.6	-4.9	5.42%	0	-0.7	33	0
3	Dec_31_2014	88.81	110.64	102.44	100.8	100.5	101.82	103.57(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	80	28	-124	0.88	61%	0.4	-1.6	5.42%	0	-0.6	34	0
4	Dec_30_2014	88.46	110.71	105.04	99.66	99.82	99.68	101.2(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10	6	-124	0.89	62%	0.37	2.9	5.46%	0	-0.7	43	0
5	Dec_29_2014	88.13	111.06	108.29	99.71	99.44	99.18	99.08(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-30	-11	-116	0.69	62%	0.35	12.4	5.47%	0	-0.9	39	0

6	Dec_26_2014	87.82	111.6	111.54	99.62	100.18	99.95	100.07(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	0	-9	-95	0.5	61%	0.53	21.5	5.47%	0	-0.9	51	0
7	Dec_24_2014	87.36	111.3	114.1	101.33	101.01	99.71	100.07(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-100	-30	-78	0.36	62%	0.33	25.6	5.48%	0	-0.9	54	0
8	Dec_23_2014	87.07	110.85	116.71	104.44	103.35	100.4	97.9(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-230	-72	-59	0.47	62%	0.36	30.4	5.47%	0	-0.9	54	0
9	Dec_22_2014	86.76	110.33	118.66	111.39	109.14	102.31	101.45(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-500	-102	-26	1.04	63%	0.36	41	5.45%	0	-0.6	53	0
10	Dec_19_2014	86.45	109.52	120.58	118.34	117.09	106.29	98.59(-9.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-111	-680	-149	4	0.95	63%	0.35	50	5.46%	0	-0.7	49	0

11	Dec_18_2014	86.15	109	121.72	125.15	124.37	115.97	108.65(-6.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-102	-490	-151	44	1.7	66%	0.51	59.7	5.32%	0	-0	54	0
12	Dec_17_2014	85.71	108.07	121.4	128.54	129.51	127.9	115.6(-12.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-60	-54	121	1.19	68%	0.62	65.2	5.25%	0	0.4	70	0
13	Dec_16_2014	85.18	106.8	120.06	130.48	129.84	132.77	132.67(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	140	44	203	0.91	71%	0.83	70	4.96%	0	1.5	81	0
14	Dec_15_2014	84.48	104.58	117.11	126.91	127.22	131.13	136.17(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	113	220	76	223	0.71	71%	0.88	68.2	4.97%	0	1.9	85	0
15	Dec_12_2014	83.74	102.07	114.02	123.37	123.53	126.9	132.67(5.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	119	190	79	239	1.1	72%	0.87	69.4	4.99%	0	2	85	0

16	Dec_11_2014	83.02	99.86	111.39	117.98	119.48	123.31	125.57(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	117	260	77	237	0.91	71%	0.79	67.4	4.97%	0	1.9	79	0
17	Dec_10_2014	82.37	97.86	107.9	113.28	114.69	120.15	125.32(9.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	127	370	96	221	1.01	71%	0.77	61.5	4.97%	0	2.2	74	0
18	Dec_9_2014	81.74	95.77	104.08	108.09	109.48	115.65	114.82(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	125	430	102	193	0.65	69%	0.63	51.3	4.86%	0	1.8	69	0
19	Dec_8_2014	81.23	94.26	100.98	105.76	105.18	109.22	118.47(12.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	105	250	84	167	0.72	70%	0.68	47.2	4.84%	0	2.4	72	0
20	Dec_5_2014	80.68	92.44	97.23	103.42	102.98	103.32	105.74(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	10	14	122	0.62	68%	0.51	46.9	4.66%	0	1.6	67	0

21	Dec_4_2014	80.27	91.44	95.13	103.9	104.11	101.14	102.04(2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-190	-11	113	0.6	69%	0.5	53.4	4.66%	0	1.3	61	0
22	Dec_3_2014	79.87	90.8	93.7	101.59	104.76	102.64	99.38(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-50	-20	93	0.66	69%	0.44	47.7	4.67%	0	1.1	63	0
23	Dec_2_2014	79.52	90.52	92.66	99.15	102.16	107.08	103.18(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	430	54	110	0.91	69%	0.51	42.2	4.64%	0	1.7	68	0
24	Dec_1_2014	79.12	89.77	91.19	95.16	97	106.88	106.78(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	162	770	172	131	1.06	69%	0.52	23.3	4.62%	0	2.5	71	0
25	Nov_28_2014	78.71	88.64	89.16	90.05	90.44	97.23	108.11(19.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	153	540	172	95	0.6	69%		-2.9	4.63%	0	3.6	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.