Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $85.2239 (6.01%) ($79.1576 - $85.8650) on Wed. Oct. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.72% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $85.2239(6.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.36% (StdDev 2.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.02(6.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.68(9.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.46(14.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   38.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 6.2% (three month std-dev: 2.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 3.71%(70%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.57%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.04%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.45%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2014	69.16	74.46	77.68	80.02	79.76	80.99	85.22(6.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	86	100	66	146	0.29	66%	0.13	85.2	2.72%	0	2.3	73	0
2	Sep_30_2014	69.07	73.46	76.27	78.26	78.66	78.95	80.39(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	40	21	105	0.37	63%	0.06	84.7	2.63%	0	1.7	68	0
3	Sep_29_2014	69.03	72.75	75.27	77.53	78.13	78.54	77.38(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	33	60	13	91	0.16	62%	-0.03	86.3	2.6%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Sep_26_2014	69.05	72.09	74.83	77.26	77.48	78.37	76.99(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	90	31	104	0.14	62%	-0.01	75.6	2.6%	0	1.2	67	0
5	Sep_25_2014	69.06	71.5	74.57	76.42	76.59	77.73	80.09(4.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	73	110	55	126	0.17	63%	0.07	67.4	2.54%	0	2	79	0

6	Sep_24_2014	69.01	70.72	73.67	74.95	75.11	76.59	76.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	140	49	109	0.13	64%	0	60.8	2.5%	0	1.5	70	0
7	Sep_23_2014	69.01	70.13	73.17	73.96	73.83	75.45	76.74(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	77	150	64	114	0.14	64%	-0.01	52.1	2.6%	0	1.7	75	0
8	Sep_22_2014	69.02	69.56	72.58	72.69	72.51	73.63	76.05(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	100	43	98	0.13	64%	-0.04	42.3	2.6%	0	1.8	72	0
9	Sep_19_2014	69.05	69.1	71.97	72.09	71.68	72.21	72.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	30	7	95	0.09	58%	-0.09	39.5	2.58%	0	1.1	73	0
10	Sep_18_2014	69.11	68.76	71.43	72.46	72.12	71.39	72.75(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-80	3	110	0.12	57%	-0.09	38	2.6%	0	1.2	69	0

11	Sep_17_2014	69.17	68.43	71.01	72.2	72.51	71.15	71.51(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-120	-38	102	0.07	57%	-0.1	33	2.61%	0	1	67	0
12	Sep_16_2014	69.24	68.18	70.48	72.22	72.96	72.86	70.38(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	20	-22	117	0.07	55%	-0.14	29.5	2.6%	0	0.7	66	0
13	Sep_15_2014	69.34	68.06	70.11	72.36	73.09	73.86	73.04(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	100	32	149	0.05	58%	-0.1	31.2	2.57%	0	1.7	69	0
14	Sep_12_2014	69.41	67.82	69.21	71.78	72.23	73.05	74.62(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	100	43	133	0.06	56%	-0.06	29	2.59%	0	2.5	65	0
15	Sep_11_2014	69.45	67.56	68.22	70.26	71.14	72.33	71.46(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	150	38	101	0.06	54%	-0.1	12.9	2.53%	0	1.7	64	0

16	Sep_10_2014	69.52	67.42	67.56	69.66	70.01	71.41	71.61(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	160	57	94	0.07	54%	-0.11	3	2.54%	0	1.9	64	0
17	Sep_9_2014	69.6	67.29	66.84	68.48	68.78	69.96	71.07(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	130	54	64	0.06	54%	-0.13	-15.4	2.54%	0	1.8	61	0
18	Sep_8_2014	69.69	67.14	66.25	67.52	67.43	68.6	70.13(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	120	46	33	0.07	54%	0.01	-27.5	2.53%	0	1.5	53	0
19	Sep_5_2014	69.68	67.03	65.93	66.27	66.49	67.59	67.03(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	130	43	2	0.06	50%	-0.21	-53.1	2.48%	0	0	42	0
20	Sep_4_2014	69.83	67.26	65.83	65.85	65.58	66.27	68.46(4.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	18	60	32	-25	0.07	50%	-0.21	-45.1	2.48%	0	0.6	41	0

21	Sep_3_2014	69.98	67.35	65.58	65.16	65.11	65.38	65.74(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	15	-57	0.03	47%	-0.31	-40.1	2.42%	0	-0.7	38	0
22	Sep_2_2014	70.2	67.62	65.66	64.93	64.96	64.9	66.24(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10	5	-77	0.08	47%	-0.69	-26.9	2.43%	0	-0.6	37	0
23	Aug_29_2014	70.69	67.67	65.84	64.82	64.79	64.83	63.87(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	0	-19	-94	0.02	43%	-0.42	-21.2	2.36%	0	-1.6	34	0
24	Aug_28_2014	70.99	68.02	66.35	65.55	65.24	65.03	64.95(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-40	-3	-72	0.04	43%	-0.35	2.5	2.37%	0	-1.4	37	0
25	Aug_27_2014	71.24	68.24	66.88	65.79	65.72	64.74	65(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-110	-24	-81	0.04	43%		21.4	2.37%	0	-1.5	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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