Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $76.7410 (0.91%) ($74.4723 - $76.7410) on Tue. Sep. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $76.7410(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.96(3.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.17(4.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.13(9.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 5.49% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.57%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 4.24%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -3.37%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 5.9%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.57%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2014	69.01	70.13	73.17	73.96	73.83	75.45	76.74(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	77	150	64	114	0.14	64%	-0.01	52.1	2.6%	0	1.7	75	0
2	Sep_22_2014	69.02	69.56	72.58	72.69	72.51	73.63	76.05(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	100	43	98	0.13	64%	-0.04	42.3	2.6%	0	1.8	72	0
3	Sep_19_2014	69.05	69.1	71.97	72.09	71.68	72.21	72.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	30	7	95	0.09	58%	-0.09	39.5	2.58%	0	1.1	73	0
4	Sep_18_2014	69.11	68.76	71.43	72.46	72.12	71.39	72.75(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-80	3	110	0.12	57%	-0.09	38	2.6%	0	1.2	69	0
5	Sep_17_2014	69.17	68.43	71.01	72.2	72.51	71.15	71.51(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-120	-38	102	0.07	57%	-0.1	33	2.61%	0	1	67	0

6	Sep_16_2014	69.24	68.18	70.48	72.22	72.96	72.86	70.38(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	20	-22	117	0.07	55%	-0.14	29.5	2.6%	0	0.7	66	0
7	Sep_15_2014	69.34	68.06	70.11	72.36	73.09	73.86	73.04(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	100	32	149	0.05	58%	-0.1	31.2	2.57%	0	1.7	69	0
8	Sep_12_2014	69.41	67.82	69.21	71.78	72.23	73.05	74.62(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	100	43	133	0.06	56%	-0.06	29	2.59%	0	2.5	65	0
9	Sep_11_2014	69.45	67.56	68.22	70.26	71.14	72.33	71.46(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	150	38	101	0.06	54%	-0.1	12.9	2.53%	0	1.7	64	0
10	Sep_10_2014	69.52	67.42	67.56	69.66	70.01	71.41	71.61(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	160	57	94	0.07	54%	-0.11	3	2.54%	0	1.9	64	0

11	Sep_9_2014	69.6	67.29	66.84	68.48	68.78	69.96	71.07(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	130	54	64	0.06	54%	-0.13	-15.4	2.54%	0	1.8	61	0
12	Sep_8_2014	69.69	67.14	66.25	67.52	67.43	68.6	70.13(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	120	46	33	0.07	54%	0.01	-27.5	2.53%	0	1.5	53	0
13	Sep_5_2014	69.68	67.03	65.93	66.27	66.49	67.59	67.03(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	130	43	2	0.06	50%	-0.21	-53.1	2.48%	0	0	42	0
14	Sep_4_2014	69.83	67.26	65.83	65.85	65.58	66.27	68.46(4.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	18	60	32	-25	0.07	50%	-0.21	-45.1	2.48%	0	0.6	41	0
15	Sep_3_2014	69.98	67.35	65.58	65.16	65.11	65.38	65.74(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	15	-57	0.03	47%	-0.31	-40.1	2.42%	0	-0.7	38	0

16	Sep_2_2014	70.2	67.62	65.66	64.93	64.96	64.9	66.24(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10	5	-77	0.08	47%	-0.69	-26.9	2.43%	0	-0.6	37	0
17	Aug_29_2014	70.69	67.67	65.84	64.82	64.79	64.83	63.87(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	0	-19	-94	0.02	43%	-0.42	-21.2	2.36%	0	-1.6	34	0
18	Aug_28_2014	70.99	68.02	66.35	65.55	65.24	65.03	64.95(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-40	-3	-72	0.04	43%	-0.35	2.5	2.37%	0	-1.4	37	0
19	Aug_27_2014	71.24	68.24	66.88	65.79	65.72	64.74	65(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-110	-24	-81	0.04	43%	-0.36	21.4	2.37%	0	-1.5	28	0
20	Aug_26_2014	71.5	68.24	67.3	66.05	66.12	65.46	64.61(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-70	-38	-88	0.09	43%	-0.42	30.2	2.37%	0	-1.6	33	0

21	Aug_25_2014	71.8	68.26	67.84	66.46	66.62	66.7	65.64(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	20	-12	-74	0.06	43%	-0.33	35.6	2.38%	0	-1.1	34	0
22	Aug_22_2014	72.04	68.18	68.15	67.01	66.88	66.77	67.52(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-20	-2	-57	0.06	45%	-0.29	37.5	2.36%	0	-0.3	54	0
23	Aug_21_2014	72.25	67.97	68.25	67.3	67.17	66.54	66.19(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-70	-31	-71	0.05	43%	-0.33	33.6	2.35%	0	-0.6	41	0
24	Aug_20_2014	72.49	67.77	68.83	68.17	67.99	66.99	66.29(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-110	-34	-45	0.06	43%	-0.34	34	2.37%	0	-0.5	46	0
25	Aug_19_2014	72.74	67.57	69.29	68.75	68.76	67.8	66.68(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-100	-38	-16	0.13	43%		37.1	2.38%	0	-0.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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