Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $70.7733 (-0.76%) ($68.4553 - $72.1542) on Wed. Aug. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $70.7733(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(36%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.18% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.76(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.65(6.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.29(8.4%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 4.53% (three month std-dev: 2.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -4.12%(52%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 1.74%(24%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.51%(76%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2014	75.35	65.29	66.65	69.76	69.97	70.36	70.77(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	50	47	152	0.09	49%	-0.38	62.7	2.36%	0	1.9	63	INF
2	Aug_5_2014	75.64	64.86	65.72	68.56	69.13	69.34	71.32(6.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	50	34	121	0.15	49%	-0.41	56.9	2.36%	0	2.4	70	INF
3	Aug_4_2014	75.95	64.46	64.81	67.02	67.59	69.59	67.03(-5.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	230	45	89	0.1	45%	-0.48	50.7	2.22%	0	1.1	54	INF
4	Aug_1_2014	76.32	64.27	64.5	66.24	66.21	68.91	70.67(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	121	280	126	106	0.17	48%	-0.44	43.2	2.13%	0	2.9	64	INF
5	Jul_31_2014	76.66	63.82	63.8	64.65	64.43	65.59	69(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	80	120	90	48	0.14	47%	-0.42	28.3	2.12%	0	3.1	56	INF

6	Jul_30_2014	76.98	63.49	63.32	63.12	63.14	63.51	64.81(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	16	40	27	-16	0.11	42%	-0.48	3.7	1.95%	0	1.1	51	INF
7	Jul_29_2014	77.35	63.37	63.04	62.46	62.53	63.26	63.57(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	90	20	-40	0.05	42%	-0.44	-18.6	1.93%	0	0.2	54	INF
8	Jul_28_2014	77.69	63.34	63.16	62.28	62.23	62.77	63.13(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	60	23	-39	0.05	42%	-0.46	-16	1.93%	0	-0.2	49	INF
9	Jul_25_2014	78.05	63.33	63.25	62.49	62.16	61.8	62.73(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-11	-45	0.04	42%	-0.46	-5.3	1.93%	0	-0.5	49	INF
10	Jul_24_2014	78.41	63.34	63.54	62.83	62.7	61.7	61.35(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-120	-46	-35	0.05	40%	-0.51	1.6	1.92%	0	-1.7	50	INF

11	Jul_23_2014	78.81	63.44	63.87	63.55	63.52	62.52	61.5(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-110	-38	-6	0.05	40%	-0.48	14.3	1.92%	0	-1.7	48	INF
12	Jul_22_2014	79.19	63.6	64.02	63.66	63.87	63.7	62.68(-2.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-22	-10	-30	1	0.07	40%	-0.49	10.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	52	INF
13	Jul_21_2014	79.58	63.52	64.16	63.66	63.9	64.53	64.16(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	60	11	36	0.02	41%	-0.45	1.1	1.9%	0	0.5	55	INF
14	Jul_18_2014	79.94	63.39	64.1	64.13	64.03	64.03	64.46(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-0	16	41	0.08	41%	-0.46	-20.1	1.91%	0	0.8	56	INF
15	Jul_17_2014	80.31	63.32	63.88	64.39	64	63.27	64.95(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-12	-100	-25	29	0.13	39%	-0.46	-37.1	1.92%	0	1.3	57	INF

16	Jul_16_2014	80.68	63.29	63.67	64.29	64.45	64.02	62.04(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-13	-40	-27	28	0.07	32%	-0.47	-60.2	1.84%	0	-1	47	INF
17	Jul_15_2014	81.06	63.49	63.76	64.4	64.8	64.73	65(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	8	37	0.05	33%	-0.43	-68.4	1.81%	0	1.1	51	INF
18	Jul_14_2014	81.41	63.51	63.53	64.17	64.33	64.87	64.16(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	70	5	39	0.04	31%	-0.5	-83.3	1.85%	0	0.5	63	INF
19	Jul_11_2014	81.82	63.65	63.4	64.05	64.19	64.86	65.79(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	80	50	60	0.08	32%	-0.44	-84	1.89%	0	1.3	67	INF
20	Jul_10_2014	82.18	63.78	63.09	63.32	63.62	63.78	64.46(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	21	27	0.15	34%	-0.48	-85.7	1.86%	0	0.3	54	INF

21	Jul_9_2014	82.58	64.02	62.93	63	63.1	63.52	62.59(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	50	3	5	0.07	31%	-0.52	-82.4	1.91%	0	-0.6	43	INF
22	Jul_8_2014	83.01	64.41	63.11	63.01	63	63.47	63.87(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	30	8	0.09	31%	-0.23	-76.4	1.91%	0	-0.2	40	INF
23	Jul_7_2014	83.2	64.71	62.82	62.79	63	62.69	63.52(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-0	6	-30	0.07	36%	-0.83	-77.8	1.93%	0	-0.4	40	INF
24	Jul_3_2014	83.9	65.05	62.61	62.66	62.62	62.53	62.14(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10	-5	-63	0.03	34%	-0.6	-72.5	2.01%	0	-0.8	31	INF
25	Jul_2_2014	84.41	65.55	62.72	62.81	62.81	62.54	62.88(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-30	-7	-86	0.05	34%		-67.7	2.02%	0	-0.7	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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