Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $79.0096 (0.82%) ($77.9739 - $79.4042) on Tue. May. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $79.0096(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(37%)    TLT(31%)    UUP(15%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(6%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    XLB(-73%)    VT(-72%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.19(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.62(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.05(1.23%)
To recent high   -24%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2014	92.15	78.05	77.62	78.19	78.67	78.84	79.01(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	30	13	9	0.06	42%	-0.19	-68.3	2.16%	0	0.8	51	0
2	May_19_2014	92.33	78.08	77.42	77.57	77.94	79.04	78.37(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	110	25	-3	0.06	42%	-0.23	-116.5	2.17%	0	0.2	50	0
3	May_16_2014	92.54	78.13	77.32	77.26	77.28	78.5	79.16(0.82%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	33	110	46	-7	0.11	42%	-0.2	-168.5	2.15%	0	0.8	48	0
4	May_15_2014	92.73	78.2	77.22	77.15	76.82	76.84	78.52(3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10	17	-27	0.15	42%	-0.24	-193.5	2.16%	0	0.2	44	0
5	May_14_2014	92.95	78.42	77.25	77.09	76.97	76.06	75.9(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-25	-90	-19	-42	0.05	37%	-0.27	-169.4	2.12%	0	-1.4	41	0

6	May_13_2014	93.2	78.93	77.52	76.95	77.23	76.8	75.9(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-30	-26	-47	0.04	37%	-0.29	-135.8	2.17%	0	-1.2	41	0
7	May_12_2014	93.47	79.6	77.78	77.19	77.23	77.88	76.84(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	70	4	-35	0.06	37%	-0.28	-102.6	2.17%	0	-0.8	39	0
8	May_9_2014	93.73	80.4	78.05	77.34	77.23	77.65	78.57(0.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	16	40	29	-23	0.1	37%	-0.26	-72.2	2.19%	0	-0.4	46	0
9	May_8_2014	93.97	81.09	78.16	77.32	77.12	76.37	78.22(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-80	-13	-44	0.11	37%	-0.27	-58.4	2.2%	0	-0.5	39	0
10	May_7_2014	94.22	81.62	78.19	77.51	77.57	76.58	75.21(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-90	-49	-71	0.09	34%	-0.34	-56.2	2.14%	0	-1.2	19	0

11	May_6_2014	94.54	82.4	78.55	78.18	78.36	77.88	77.14(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-40	-25	-75	0.06	35%	-0.31	-52.7	2.14%	0	-0.9	17	0
12	May_5_2014	94.83	83.19	78.83	78.44	78.77	78.57	77.58(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-31	-10	-9	-95	0.04	35%	-0.3	-48.5	2.16%	0	-1	13	0
13	May_2_2014	95.12	83.78	79.03	78.82	78.62	78.84	78.47(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	10	-10	-132	0.07	35%	-0.3	-50.4	2.18%	0	-0.9	11	0
14	May_1_2014	95.41	84.27	79.28	79.11	78.88	78.97	79.16(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-0	13	-153	0.05	35%	-0.29	-56.1	2.2%	0	-0.9	15	0
15	Apr_30_2014	95.69	84.82	79.66	79.11	79.01	78.39	78.57(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-50	-7	-182	0.1	35%	-0.32	-63.5	2.21%	0	-1.1	28	0

16	Apr_29_2014	96	85.45	80.41	78.99	78.83	78.8	78.42(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-10	-26	-201	0.14	35%	-0.33	-69.6	2.23%	0	-1.2	26	0
17	Apr_28_2014	96.32	86.16	81.52	78.99	79.15	79.63	79.5(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	40	16	-189	0.11	35%	-0.32	-75.5	2.24%	0	-1.2	24	0
18	Apr_25_2014	96.63	86.83	82.88	79.28	79.24	78.86	79.9(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-40	-1	-182	0.16	35%	-0.32	-82.2	2.27%	0	-1.3	36	0
19	Apr_24_2014	96.94	87.63	84.16	79.5	79.43	78.68	78.57(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-79	-70	-44	-184	0.11	35%	-0.37	-84	2.26%	0	-1.6	36	0
20	Apr_23_2014	97.3	88.63	85.27	80.46	80.39	79.62	78.57(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	-70	-47	-172	0.1	35%	-0.37	-82.6	2.28%	0	-1.8	34	0

21	Apr_22_2014	97.66	89.59	86.53	82.08	81.67	80.19	79.85(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-92	-140	-70	-157	0.12	35%	-0.37	-80.9	2.3%	0	-1.8	34	0
22	Apr_21_2014	98.02	90.6	87.92	84.15	83.8	81.16	79.5(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-115	-230	-107	-137	0.11	35%	-0.39	-74.4	2.32%	0	-2.1	31	0
23	Apr_17_2014	98.4	91.61	88.98	87.05	86.54	83.15	81.03(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-127	-290	-132	-112	0.14	35%	-0.36	-66.4	2.34%	0	-2.1	33	0
24	Apr_16_2014	98.76	92.59	89.8	89.51	89.52	86.44	83.35(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-104	-240	-110	-85	0.14	37%	-0.33	-61	2.34%	0	-1.9	31	0
25	Apr_15_2014	99.09	93.51	90.55	90.74	91.35	89.93	86.65(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-72	-90	-71	-73	0.21	39%		-58.9	2.32%	0	-1.6	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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